House prices 'fall 10.5% in year'
UK house prices have seen an annual double-digit fall for the first time
since 1990, according to the latest survey from the Nationwide.
Prices were 10.5% lower in August than they were a year ago. Prices fell
by 1.9% compared with July.
The average home now costs £164,654, which is more than £19,000 cheaper
than the average price one year ago.
Gloomy forecasts from house builders mean the market is likely to remain
subdued, Nationwide says.
The Nationwide survey found that house prices have fallen for 10 months
in a row and are at their lowest level since early 2006.
Fixed-rate favour
Data from estate agents suggested "there may be some glimmers of
interest returning to the market" as some buyers were taking the
opportunity to secure large discounts, said Nationwide's chief economist
Fionnuala Earley.
But she said that an increased supply of properties on agents' books
would continue to act as a dampener to house price growth in the short
term.
House builders were pointing to a loss of consumer confidence for the
continued slowdown, the report said.
And Ms Earley added that the lack of availability of mortgages was still
pushing down house purchase activity.
"There is clearly less mortgage borrowing taking place in the current
market, but those borrowers choosing a new loan are tending to opt for
fixed rate loans, even though they have been more expensive than
trackers," Ms Earley said.
First-time buyers
Earlier this month, figures from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML)
suggested that the slump in mortgage lending continued in July.
Total lending stood at £24.8bn, up by 5% from June, but still 27% lower
than a year ago.
First-time buyers, who would normally benefit from falling prices, have
struggled to obtain cheap mortgage deals without a large deposit.
However, the cost of fixed-rate mortgages has been falling in recent
weeks with a series of lenders cutting their interest rates.
Ms Earley said the "gloomier feel" of the economy in general, as well as
rising food and fuel prices and a lack of confidence with jobs made
people more prudent with their borrowing.
She said that prices, that were still higher than five years ago, were
likely to keep falling this year as there remained a lot of uncertainty
in the market.
She added that the situation would not turn around very rapidly unless
there was a significant change in consumer sentiment.
Rate cuts
The door was open for interest rate cuts by the Bank of England, she
added, but this in itself would not turn things around.
"We expect the next move in the bank rate to be down, but the extent to
which this will revive the mortgage and housing market is likely to be
limited while overall confidence in economic and housing market
conditions is low," she said.
The picture is not completely the same across the UK. Although the
Nationwide figures take an average from across the country, Ms Earley
said the Scottish market was proving more resilient than most areas.
Northern Ireland, in contrast, was experiencing higher than average
falls.
Henry Pryor, who runs property website primemove.co. uk, said that
markets were affected by local factors.
Story from BBC NEWS:
http://news. bbc.co.uk/ go/pr/fr/ -/1/hi/business/ 7584877.stm
Published: 2008/08/28 08:42:19 GMT
Thursday, 28 August 2008
AND THE REST.....
Posted by Britannia Radio at 13:14