Wednesday, 13 August 2008
A Broker with Interests
 2008/08/11
Last weekend German Chancellor Angela Merkel joined the German  foreign minister's interventions in the armed conflict between Georgia and  Russia. Coordinating the activities of the French EU Council Presidency with  Berlin's concepts, Merkel demanded that, following an "unconditional ceasefire,  all military forces retreat "to their positions before the outbreak of the armed  conflict".[1] Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier is in contact with all  governments, alliances and organizations involved and dispatched the foreign  ministry's Caucasus commissioner to Tbilisi. Germany feels a "special  responsibility" is how the foreign ministry in Berlin paraphrases the German  claim to qualify as the exclusive broker on Russia's southern  border.
Pro-Western Belt of States
 Berlin has strong interests in the southern Caucasus, which are  now being seriously threatened by the armed conflict between Georgia and Russia.  Germany is particularly interested in Georgia's sovereignty having been the  first state in the world to recognize Georgia, after its secession from the  Soviet Union. Since its secession, Georgia, together with Armenia and  Azerbaijan, form a belt of states at Russia's southern border, that escaping  Moscow's direct grip, are, to varying degrees, open to western influence.  Tbilisi in particular, has unconditionally oriented its policy on the EU and  USA, when the current Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili came to power  through a German supported putsch at the end of 2003. This is not only of  geostrategic but also of great economic importance, because the southern  Caucasian countries are forming a small land corridor between Russia and Iran,  allowing the transport of substantial energy resources from the Caspian Basin to  the West, while avoiding the control of both Moscow and Teheran. Berlin is  worried about the survival of this pro-western belt of states in the southern  Caucasus. This explains Germany's current demand that Russia pull back its  troops from Georgian territory.[2]
US-Domination
 Berlin however is explicitly criticizing Georgia's military  offensive last week that was aimed at seriously weakening Russian influence on  the South Ossetian Autonomous Region. This must be seen in the context of the  controversies over which policy to follow in relation to the Caucasus within the  Western camp. Washington pleads for taking the offensive in Eastern Europe and  Central Asia and demands Georgia's admission into NATO, to make Tbilisi's  integration into the western alliances irreversible. Up to now, Germany has been  rejecting this request. At the NATO summit in early April, the German Chancellor  prevented, against US insistence, Georgia's further rapprochement to the war  alliance [3] and not solely out of fear that NATO's eastward expansion could  seriously jeopardize German-Russian cooperation. The Konrad-Adenauer Foundation  (CDU) warned already at the end of 2006 that the USA seeks "to include more  pro-American oriented countries into the Alliance" to strengthen its own  domination.[4]
Tensions
 Georgia's military intervention, that was repelled by Russia,  corresponds to Washington's offensive course. More than 100 US military advisors  are currently stationed in Georgia. Wanting to maintain its own influence,  Berlin is not supportive of this intervention. The armed conflict is also  threatening to escalate tensions between Moscow and Washington. It could become  problematic for Germany to fulfil its obligations of western assistance due to  its cooperation with Russia.[5] The groundwork for Berlin's efforts to enhance  its own position through simultaneous cooperation with Russia and the USA, may  be undermined. This explains why Germany not only insists on the withdrawal of  Russian troops, but also on the withdrawal of the Georgian military from South  Ossetia and a return to the pre-war status quo.
Contain Conflicts
 If Germany succeeds, it can hope to have a greater influence on  the eventual negotiations concerning the perspectives of the secessionist  regions South Ossetia and Abkhazia. Germany has been active in these disputed  regions since the early 1990s. Since 1994, German soldiers have been  participants in the UNOMIG (United Nations Observer Mission in Georgia). UNOMIG  is supposed to monitor the cease-fire with the separatists and help de-escalate  the conflict with Tbilisi's government. A German diplomat, who had also  submitted proposals for the containment of the secessionist conflicts, has been  at the head of UNOMIG for several years. An OSCE mission in South Ossetia had  also been temporarily under German leadership [6] and its upgrading is being  currently discussed. With a visit to Abkhazia, in mid July, Foreign Minister  Steinmeier continued efforts to reach a settlement of the secessionist conflicts  that Germany has been engaged in for the past ten years.
Foment Conflicts
 At the same time, Berlin's foreign policy has fomented  secessionist conflicts in the past. When Kosovo, strongly supported by Germany  and the USA, declared its independence last February, the secessionist endeavors  in Abkhazia and South Ossetia received new impetus. "The Kosovo precedence  prompted us to claim our rights more actively," a speaker for the South Ossetian  secessionists announced at the beginning of March.[7] While politically  supporting the secessionist efforts, the German government has strengthened the  direct opponent of the secessionists - the Georgian military. Not only Georgian  units deployed in Iraq and now re-deployed to the battle zone, were trained (by  the US Army) on German territory, numerous soldiers of the Georgian army were  also trained by the Bundeswehr, because of their participation in the occupation  of Kosovo. Kosovo's secession, secured through the aid of Georgia, is  encouraging secessionist efforts in South Ossetia.[8]
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