Wednesday, 13 August 2008

Hitler and Putin - - Sudetenland and Georgia
This reminds me of the Munich agreement wikth Hitler in 1938 when   Nazi Germany claimed that the Germans living (with full Czech   citizenship) in the Sudeten border lands were being oppressed and   moved his army in to ‘protect’ them.  France and Britain, supinely   caved in and abandoned Czechoslovakia to its fate,  Within a year the   emboldened Hitler started the Third World War.  What can we do?   Well for a start - - - Do Russian spies not function with impunity here ? Expel them. Is investment going to Russia? Stop it. Is technology going to Russia? Ban it. Do Russians enjoy shopping in the West- no visas. Russian cyber attacks? Close the Russian Internet access to the   outside world, as it is reopened, close it again, and again-   replicate the cyber attacks they launched against Georgia (oh, and   NATO, last year). Does Russia like i-phones? No export of any technology. Does Russia wish to join WTO? Stop it Are they members of the "G-8"? No, you mean G-7.. No most favoured nation status- extra tariffs on Russian exports. Russia craves respectability? Deny it- it is a thuggish third rate   power- it will be hurt by a concerted boycott- so hurt it!  And we could move into Chelsea Football Club to protect all the   British nationals working there.  There’s one thing that should not be an option and that is to leave   Georgia isolated as a Russian satellite.  Armenia and Azerbaijan will   be next followed by the Ukraine and the Baltic states.  xxxxxxxxxxx cs ============================= EU OBSERVER   13.8.08 EU diplomats keen to avoid Russia controversy  PHILIPPA RUNNER  BRUSSELS - The French EU presidency is expected to endorse the Russia-  Georgia ceasefire, offer humanitarian aid and urge EU unity in a   statement after an EU foreign ministers meeting on Wednesday (13   August), with Paris keen to avoid controversy on who to blame for the   crisis.  Preparatory discussions by EU diplomats on Tuesday saw a group of   former communist states speak in "sharp language" about Russia, but   the tone was "less radical than they used for their domestic press,"   one diplomat who attended the debates told EUobserver.  "The presidency thinks, right now, it's better to focus on problem-  solving, rather than trying to go into characterisation of the war,   who started what, who reacted, and the EU is united behind the idea,"   he added. "The presidency wants to preserve as much room for   manoeuvre for future mediation as possible."  Wednesday's EU statement will probably be a French declaration rather   than a formal joint position by all 27 countries, an EU official said. "The situation is still evolving. It's not black and white. Of   course, Georgia made some mistakes, Russia made some mistakes. But   the idea now is to help mediation, to see what we can do from a   humanitarian point of view."  The declaration is likely to fall short of Georgian hopes, with   Georgia's EU ambassador, Salome Samadashvili, saying she would like   the EU to label Russia's behaviour as an "act of aggression," condemn   the bombing of the Georgian town of Gori, cast doubt on EU-Russia   negotiations on a new strategic pact and reaffirm Georgia's   territorial integrity.  The foreign ministers meeting will begin with a briefing by France's   Bernard Kouchner, who came to Brussels from Tbilisi on Tuesday night   after taking part in talks between French president Nicolas Sarkozy   and Georgian president Mikhail Saakashvili.  Russia and Georgia on Tuesday signed a Russian-drafted, six-point   ceasefire plan which calls for troops to pull back and for   international talks about the "modalities of security and stability"   in Georgian separatist regions.  Shockwaves The five day war erupted when Georgia fired on Russia-backed rebels   in the Georgian province of South Ossetia last Friday (8 August) and   Russia launched a massive retaliation, moving tanks deep into   Georgian territory, mobilising its navy and ordering bombing raids.  The fighting killed hundreds of civilians and shocked former   communist EU states, as well as Ukraine, Moldova, Armenia and   Azerbaijan, some of which fear that a newly-assertive Russia will try   to undermine other pro-western neighbours in future. "The EU should say 'no' [to Russia's subjugation of Georgia] and push   Russia out. This means tough language, sanctions [against Russia] and   quick EU humanitarian intervention," a diplomat from one of the   former communist EU states said, looking at the EU's policy options   down the line.  The Russian incursion into Georgia was clearly "military aggression"   and should bear "costs" in terms of EU-Russia relations, but a   suspension of the current Partnership and Cooperation Agreement or a   symbolic arms export embargo would be ineffective, European Council   on Foreign Relations analyst, Nicu Popescu, said.  The EU's main focus should instead be the swift deployment of an   impartial, international peacekeeping force made up of UN or EU   soldiers and civilian monitors followed by a donors' conference to   help rebuild the war zone, he advised. "The first lesson of this crisis is that the old policy of EU non-  engagement has encouraged both parties to escalate their actions.    From an EU perspective, the first casualty is the theory that by   getting more involved in Georgia, the EU will irritate Russia and   provoke instability."  Mr Sarkozy in Moscow on Tuesday spoke of the possibility of an EU   peacekeeping mission, with Estonia quickly offering to send troops.  Peacekeeping conundrum But creating a force that will be acceptable to all sides could prove   hard, with Russia's NATO ambassador, Dmitry Rogozin, on Tuesday   ruling out any Georgian component, while Ms Samadashvili said no   Russian troops can take part.  Last year, Russia and Estonia were involved in an ugly row over   Tallinn's decision to move a Soviet-era statue from its city centre.   And the current Russia-Georgia conflict has injected bitterness into   international relations beyond Europe.  Russia's Mr Rogozin at a briefing in Brussels on Tuesday complained   that NATO had listened to Georgian delegates but failed to convene a   NATO Russia Council as planned, implying that Georgia ally, the US,   secretly knew about Georgia's plans to attack the South Ossetia   rebels last week. "I suspect the American allies will be ashamed to discuss this with   their European colleagues," he said.