The bail-out for which Gordon Brown is preening himself was devised
by Credit Suisse’s economic boffins.
That’s the point of this posting! The Swiss have kept faith in
their independent banking system, have been self-disciplined and
here’s the result.
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TELEGRAPH - Comment 15.10.08
Why the Swiss economy is still as safe as – er – a Swiss bank
The Swiss are natural-born savers, says Harry de Quetteville, and
consider banks to be emblematic pillars of society.
It’s hard not to feel humiliated when icons of national pride lose
their lustre. That’s why governments cling on to flag-carrying
airlines long after passengers associate them with nothing more than
delays, frosty service and stale bread rolls.
But the Swiss take it even more personally than that. Swissair’s
collapse in 2001 was a moment of popular despair in the nation,
uniting people across 26 cantons and four languages in outrage.
Still for them the banks are even more pivotal. The Swiss don’t just
think of them as institutions where they store their cash. Instead,
they are considered pillars of society, as emblematic as mountains,
watches and cheese, and responsible for just under 10 per cent of GDP
to boot.
Swissair was known as the flying bank, so secure was its reputation
before blind ambition – some would label it greed – drove it to
destruction.
So this year, when the financial whirlwind seemed set to pull down
the banks, the mood on the – immaculately clean and tidy - Swiss
street looked set to turn very ugly indeed.
UBS, the Swiss financial behemoth, has so far been forced to write
down about $43 billion after dabbling in sub-prime debt.
A Swiss friend told me: “The banks are part of our pride and there is
certainly a sense of outrage at what is happening at UBS.”
All those traditional Swiss qualities, such as experience and
expertise, stability and security had been cast to the wind, she added.
At the Swiss Bankers Association (SBA), which has more than 330
member banks, there is no hiding from the wrath of the people.
“The Swiss are horrified that UBS went swimming with the Wall Street
sharks,” said SBA’s James Nason. “They are a risk-averse people, and
UBS has dropped a big clanger. It’s an icon that got itself in a mess.”
Switzerland’s other big financial beast, Credit Suisse, has by no
means been immune to the crisis, though it has taken “only” an $8
billion hit.
The disgrace of Switzerland’s most visible institutions in the eyes
of its people seems all but complete.
The credit crunch looks set to provide a third chapter in the annals
of Swiss self-flagellation, after Swissair and belated recognition of
its holdings of Jewish wealth looted by the Nazis.
But when that scandal blossomed, as now, so did popular anger.
A petition was launched accusing politicians and bankers of dragging
Switzerland’s good name through the mud.
“The standing and credibility of Switzerland as a democratic nation
are compromised and imperilled,” it read.
In fact, it may not be time to get out the hair shirts and birch
twigs again, because, while UBS may have erred (for which its boss
quickly paid with his job), the Swiss people have remained true to
their ideals.
In the words of one expert, the Swiss are “natural-born savers”.
Banks have huge deposits to draw on and are less dependent on short-
term money markets, the freezing-up of which has brought so many to
the brink of collapse.
Things are by no means perfect.
“It’s a difficult situation for everybody, everywhere,” said Nicolas
Hiymoz, of the Swiss National Bank. “We are providing liquidity
generously to Swiss banks and will continue to do so.”
But government takeovers of the kind seen in Britain are not on the
horizon.
While countries around Europe are snapping up financial institutions,
“the Swiss government says it doesn’t need to”, said Mr Nason.
On the contrary. Rather than folding, Credit Suisse is at the heart
of the recovery plan that has delighted stock markets over the past
couple of days.
Gordon Brown may be taking the credit for the scheme, but it has
emerged that it was Credit Suisse’s economic boffins who came up with
it in the first place, bivouacking in the corridors of the Treasury
last week while spinning a safety net for the world’s financial
institutions.
Despite appearances, Switzerland is certainly not immune from the
coming recession. Figures released last week estimate growth for
next year down to 1·3 per cent.
But economy secretary Jean Daniel Gerber has more to be cheery about
than most of his colleagues around Europe, and indeed the world.
He said that Swiss unemployment will remain stable at just 2·5 per
cent, compared with 6 per cent in the United Kingdom, while exports
will rise 3 per cent.
He asked the Swiss to renew their faith in “the principles of the
market economy which are rooted in our constitution”.
“I am sure that these principles will survive the crisis, just as
they have served us so well over the past 50 years,” he added. “Let’s
not overreact.”
The faith he has called for is needed, because as we keep hearing,
the magic ingredient in any resolution to this crisis is confidence,
and Swiss banks are a byword for that very precious commodity.
So if the Swiss don’t trust their banks, how can anyone? And if you
can’t trust a Swiss bank, what can you trust?
Wednesday, 15 October 2008
Posted by
Britannia Radio
at
17:48