TELEGRAPH 10.10.08
Gordon Brown should enjoy himself while he can
By Iain Martin
This is worth it, isn't it, just to see that funny little grin back
on the Prime Minister's face. Forget that the price could be as much
as £500 billion of your money, part-nationalised banks, a melted
stockmarket, a ruined pension system, a mountain of debt, taxes
through the roof and eventually an axe being taken to public
expenditure. At least Gordon Brown is enjoying himself.
The great leader is in his element. The telephone rings off the hook
as presidents seek his counsel: tell us, mighty recapitaliser of the
banks, how did you rescue the situation?
The real answer is simple. No degree in economics is required and
voters are doing the calculation faster than a shameful political
class that has just returned from a 10-week holiday. You take a large
pile of money (which you don't have and are forced to borrow or
print), give it to misbehaving banks, and pass on the resulting debt
to the rest of us to service by way of dramatically increased taxes.
One hates to be a voice of discord in these times of supposed
national consensus, but the panic of the bust that followed an over-
exuberant boom has made many of those involved light-headed. The PM
should not be revelling; he should be showing some humility and
accepting a share of the blame. His almost pathological inability to
do either is not a source of comfort: it is profoundly disturbing.
While the eventual outcome will not, I suspect, involve gratitude to
Gordon Brown or any other politician, it will include public
revulsion at the largely Labour political class that brought this
country so low. The search will be on for those most worthy of blame,
and near the head of the queue will be the current PM.
For now, he is having a marvellous time. As Frank Field MP noted
yesterday, Brown is back doing what he enjoys: being Chancellor.
Rarely happier than when he is spending vast quantities of other
people's money, even he has never enjoyed a splurge like this one.
He appears to have the Conservatives on the run, too. Having promised
a bipartisan approach in the national interest, the Tories are
starting to suspect the deal will not be popular with the nation.
They are studying it closely and considering sheering away from their
original position to instead "stick up for the taxpayer", as an aide
put it. That - defending the taxpayer - is a novel idea, one that has
not yet caught on in modern Britain.
All in all, the media narrative - that dread Westminster word - tells
us that Brown's bail-out has "altered the terms of trade" and events
have put him "back in the game".
The terminology is instructive, particularly the use of the word
"game". When voters see endless red ink spilled and start to feel the
pain in an economy probably already in recession, there will be no
thoughts of this being a game. This is real.
And still voters have heard barely a squeak in the way of questions
about the advisability or otherwise of what is being done. Is the
bank bail-out the right deal for Britain? One hopes so, although how
could any taxpayer judge reasonably whether or not it is? The two
groups who brought us this crisis - the bankers and politicians who
built their businesses and election wins on a debt bubble backed by
asset prices that would apparently rise in perpetuity - tell us to
calm down as they have fixed the problem. Having been wrong first
time, what makes them right now?
Of course, it is to be hoped that they are, and we must pray for the
return of that elusive fuel of liberal capitalism - confidence. Yet
if this deal is as good as its advocates contend, surely it can
sustain a little prodding in the name of transparency. If it cannot,
why not?
Traditionally, such sustained probing would have been the
responsibility of Parliament in an emergency late-night session. Not
any more. Labour MPs whooped when Brown slapped down David Cameron at
PMQs on the question of bankers' bonuses. But Cameron is with the
grain of public opinion here and had asked one of the few proper
questions to get any attention: will those working in bailed-out
banks get any bonuses? [A report today says that bonuses totalling
£3,5 bn are being prepared right now compared with £13.5 bn last
year- cs] If the Government failed to secure assurances that the
answer is "no, of course there will not be a single bonus", it will
be difficult to control the firestorm of public protest. As long as
we are paying through our taxes for rescued bankers, they had better
get used to the idea of relying on something called a salary.
Do we really plan to give Barclays a possible £3 billion when it is
committed to paying in excess of £1 billion in bonuses to staff in
America, from an arm of the disgraced Lehman Brothers it has just
purchased? A thousand such questions remain.
Perhaps all this will suit the Left and Brown, having extended the
reach of the state, will be clung to by a grateful public, much as
the drowning cling to a life raft in storm-tossed waters.
Or there is an alternative potential "narrative". In the years ahead
there will be unemployment, hardship and social dislocation.
Borrowing will be higher, taxes will rocket, spending on services
will fall, and it will have its origins not in the Thatcherite
mid-1980s but in the past decade of the most reckless financial
mismanagement. Labour over-spent, over-borrowed and failed to
regulate adequately.
Brown wants taxpayers to pay for these mistakes and then have us say
thank you. I don't expect that to have wide appeal.
Friday, 10 October 2008
Posted by Britannia Radio at 12:27