Clearly the wake-up call has finally penetrated to the heart of the
Tory party, assisted, no doubt, by some unpleasant polling trends.
Letwin has been drafted to add to the Treasury team specifically to
find areas of Brown's expenditure plans which could be cut without
harming the nation. One must ask why it has taken till now for this
to supersede the previous policy of matching Labour expenditure,
which as any beginner could see was wildly extravagant.
However unlike a certain blog which has clearly got a death-wish for
the nation when it says cynically " A Tory victory would be an even
bigger catastrophe for the country than a continued Labour
administration." . This is clearly balderdash . The Tories may be
criticised for indecision and lack of drive but their approach is
right even if not nearly radical enough. Meanwhile Brown is doing
what all Labour governments end up doing - wrecking the currency!
I've lived through a lot of them - more than most readers! - but
Brown's reckless spending has been worse than any and his only cure
is to step his very recklessness to a new high. We're on the brink
now and we can't afford any more at all of his catastrophic policies.
I am not a member of the Conservative party but I know where my duty
as a citizen lies now. I will continue to urge ever m ore radical
solutions and hope that at least some will come to fruition.
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx cs
===========================
CONSERVATIVE HOME B log 16.11.08
1. Osborne hits back at critics on Andrew Marr Show
Shadow Chancellor George Osborne has hit back at his critics during
an assured performance on BBC1's on the sofa with Andrew Marr this
morning.
He made a number of points, including:
. It is his job to show the choice the people will face at the next
election between a Labour Government which has been fiscally
irresponsible and a Tory one which would be fiscally responsible;
. He believes that he and the Conservatives have been proved right
in their economic judgments over the last couple of years;
. He is still committed to "sharing the proceeds of growth" over an
economic cycle;
. The recent devaluation of sterling has been greater than any other
devaluation in the last forty years;
. He highlighted Ken Clarke's statement that there was no convention
that shadow chancellors do not comment on sterling;
. He said that (contrary to press reports during the week) he was
still working on strategy and election planning, not least because
the economy would be such a big election issue
=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
2. It is both the right and duty of the Opposition to hold the
Government to account
Jonathan Isaby
Twice this week the Prime Minister has accused Her Majesty's Loyal
Opposition of speaking out inappropriately.
First came the moment during Prime Ministers' Questions when Mr Brown
took exception to David Cameron's line of questioning about the
failures at the heart of Haringey chidren's services.
And then yesterday, he expressed "disappointment" at George Osborne's
"partisan talk" when the shadow chancellor raised perfectly
reasonable questions over the dangers of too much borrowing. (By the
way, the PM would do well do look at the results of today's
Independent on Sunday poll which show the public overwhelmingly
supporting a reduction in spending rather than increased borrowing to
fund tax cuts)
All of which raises the question, isn't it the role, nay duty, of the
Opposition to raise probing questions about the issues of the day and
the way the Prime Minister and his Government is running the country?
As Fraser Nelson has rightly pointed out on Coffee House:
"There has never been a greater need for full-blooded, disrespectful,
combative, full-on scrutiny of what he [Brown] says."
Amen to that. It would be a dereliction of duty on the part of the
Opposition to stand idly by and let the Prime Minister get away with
whatever he wants in the name of "doing the right thing by the country".
Mr Brown would obviously take the view that what he is doing is
right; but it is absolutely vital that he be held to account,
criticised, questioned and condemned as necessary when what he is
doing and saying is evidently not the right thing for the country.
Many have expressed concerns at various points over the last few
years that the Conservative Party has taken a too consensual
approach, not least in its desire to match Labour's spending plans,
for instance.
So it's reassuring to see some fire in the Tory belly - and it has
clearly rattled the Prime Minister. I look forward to seeing more
robust lines of attack from David Cameron, George Osborne et al in
the run-up to the general election.
=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
3.Ken Clarke adds his heavyweight backing to George Osborne
During the course of Saturday, a number of shadow cabinet figures and
others made clear their support for shadow chancellor George Osborne
over his outspoken attack on the Government in the Times, in which he
stated that too much government borrowing risked a run on the pound.
Perhaps most significantly, the former Chancellor Ken Clarke has now
added his voice to unquestionably back Mr Osborne's position - and to
pour scorn on the suggestion coming from political opponents that it
was breaking a convention for him to speak out in this way.
Here's what Ken Clarke has had to say:
"I have never heard of any convention that Opposition politicians -
including the Shadow Chancellor - cannot comment on Sterling. The
foreign exchange markets had already made their minds up about the
pound, regardless of any political comment.
"Gordon Brown reminds me of Harold Wilson blaming the weakness of
sterling on people 'selling the pound short' when it had already been
weakened by his government's own policies. The pound has dropped more
than 30% from its peak because of concern in the markets about the
scale of government borrowing.
"George Osborne has made a perfectly sensible comment that in any
analysis of the situation, one must have regard to the possible
problems of selling more government bonds, or of a possible fall in
the value of sterling if government policy becomes too reckless."
to his senses - very gradually . His article, first here, is well
thought out.
The Sunday Times does a hatchet job here (see second posting
below). Of course, Osborne has brought it on himself but he appears
to have - at least partially - woken up.
Christina aka Cassandra
===========================
SUNDAY TELEGRAPH 16.11.08
Our reckless PM is leading us down the road to ruin
By George Osborne
The defining economic event of the post-war era was the Labour
Government's humiliating appeal to the IMF for help in 1976. Unable
to fund its debt, incapable of controlling spending, powerless in the
face of a sliding pound, it begged for terms to avoid the country
going bankrupt.
James Callaghan realised the significance of the event when he spoke
to the Labour conference later that year and warned them: "We used to
think that you could spend your way out of a recession and increase
employment by cutting taxes and boosting government spending. I tell
you in all candour that that option no longer exists." But Labour
wasn't listening.
What followed was 18 years of Conservative governments that took the
tough decisions and transformed the economic prospects of our
country. Then along came Gordon Brown, desperate to exorcise the
demons of Labour's economic incompetence.
Time and again he extolled the virtues of prudence, of setting
responsible limits to borrowing, of the need for binding fiscal
rules, and of creating a credible macroeconomic framework that would
inspire international confidence in the British economy.
He told his party conference in 1997 that he had "learned from past
mistakes", acknowledging that "you cannot spend your way out of
recession". As recently as two years ago, Mr Brown was telling us
solemnly that "to make unfunded promises, to play fast and loose with
stability is a return to the bad old days". For a while he fooled
almost everyone.
But today all that talk of prudence is over. As is true in life, so
it's true in politics: the fundamental test of your values is not
what you say when times are good, it's what you do when the going
gets tough. It was easy for Mr Brown to talk tough on the public
finances when the global economy was booming, even if he was racking
up the biggest budget deficit in the developed world while other
countries were using the good times to build up budget surpluses.
No, it's what the Prime Minister is doing now that demonstrates his
true colours. He's going around briefing about plans for unfunded tax
and spending commitments paid for by reckless borrowing. Our response
to Mr Brown could not be clearer: piling up more debts and trying to
spend your way out of the recession would be a monumental mistake,
both for today and for the future. It is the road to economic ruin
for our country. Let me explain why.
First, and most obviously, all borrowing has to be paid for, as even
the Chancellor was forced to admit last week. As Martin Wiele of the
National Institute for Economic and Social Research puts it, "a
fiscal stimulus today is borrowing from tomorrow".
Even before the downturn, Mr Brown had already increased national
debt to precipitous levels of almost £650 billion, more than £26,000
for every household in the country. And, as if those figures weren't
eye-watering enough, they don't include massive liabilities such as
public sector pensions and the true cost of PFI debt that the Prime
Minister has spent years hiding off the Government's books. In fact,
if these are taken into account, it's estimated that the full extent
of government liabilities is £2.4 trillion, equivalent to more than
160 per cent of the UK's GDP.
Because Labour didn't fix the roof when the sun was shining,
additional borrowing now means higher taxes just as the economy is
starting to recover. Paying back Mr Brown's planned £15 billion in
extra borrowing is the equivalent of an additional £880 tax bill for
every family in the country. This is a tax bombshell lying ready to
explode under the recovery.
The crippling debt levels aren't the only problem with Mr Brown's
plans. The second fundamental flaw is that the more government
borrows, the more taxpayers have to shell out for the debt interest
bill - the "bill of social failure", as the Prime Minister used to
call it. Labour is already spending more of your money on servicing
its debts than on educating the country's children. Higher borrowing
means things would get even worse. Taxpayers could soon be spending
more on debt interest payments than on the entire Ministry of Defence
budget. The third fatal flaw with Mr Brown's irresponsible plans is
that additional borrowing exerts downwards pressure on sterling and
upwards pressure on long-term interest rates.
The value of the pound moves daily in both directions on the currency
markets. But the trend is clear, and the run on the pound in recent
months has been dramatic and sharper than anything we saw in the
previous Labour devaluations of the 1960s and 1970s, or even the year
after the exit from the ERM. We have witnessed a near 30 per cent
fall in the value of sterling, a larger and more sudden fall than any
other major currency. More strikingly still, the international
markets are now demanding almost double the risk premium for British
government debt than they demand for German government debt. That's a
sure sign of the global lack of confidence in British government
policy. Falling sterling ultimately means pressure for higher long-
term inflation and higher long-term interest rates.
So this much is clear: Mr Brown's irresponsible plans are not a way
forward. They're a return to the dark old days of spiralling deficits
and capital flight that are the hallmark of every Labour government
to have ever held office.
As has been the case so many times before, it's the next Conservative
government that will have to clean up the mess left by a profligate
and irresponsible Labour Party. We will have to establish a credible
framework for bringing the public finances under control. That means
creating a target of a balanced current budget and falling debt at
the end of the forecast period, policed by a powerful and independent
Office for Budget Responsibility that will publish independent fiscal
forecasts and hold governments to account. To satisfy the independent
scrutiny, we will have to get government living within its means
again. The age of irresponsible excess in the public sector will be
over.
And to get the economy moving again, we would use fully funded tax
changes to help families and businesses get through the recession,
such as our commitment to freeze council tax, our plan to cut taxes
for employers who take on unemployed people, our cut in payroll taxes
for the smallest firms, and our policy to allow small and medium-
sized companies to defer their VAT bills.
When Gordon Brown claimed he had abolished boom and bust, it was not
only one of the greatest frauds perpetrated on the British people -
it also meant that no one in government was looking for the boom or
preparing for the bust. As a result, the country now faces what is
forecast to be the deepest recession of any major economy in the world.
===========================
SUNDAY TIMES 16.11.08
Under-fire George Osborne says: 'I was just telling the truth about
sterling'
Francis Elliott, Deputy Political Editor
George Osborne has defended his warning that sterling could be about
to collapse saying it was his job was to tell the truth about the
consequences of ballooning debt.
The Shadow Chancellor told The Times yesterday that increased public
borrowing was already making the currency "less attractive" and there
was a risk of a "run on the pound".
His comments have been criticised by business leaders as well as by
Alistair Darling, the Chancellor, and Vince Cable, the Liberal
Democrats economy spokesman.
With the currency markets due to reopen tomorrow morning, Mr Osborne
dismissed suggestions that he had "talked down the pound", however.
"What the markets are doing (is) looking at the economic
fundamentals. They are not looking at what politicians - be it myself
or indeed any other politicians - are saying. These are hard headed
market operators.
"My job as Shadow Chancellor is to tell the British people the truth
about the British economy. The truth that it is the worst prepared
economy in the world for recession," he told BBC One's Andrew Marr show.
He said there was a "striking lack of confidence" in sterling on
currency markets and that higher debt was a "bombshell" beneath any
future recovery.
In the absence of public backing from Mr Cameron on the sterling
warning, [totally untrue! -cs] Mr Osborne faced questions over his
relationship with the Conservative leader. Speculation that his role
has been diluted in the wake of the Oleg Deripaska affair continued
over the weekend with a report that Oliver Letwin had been asked to
draw up a package of potential spending cuts.
He said he was "working very closely all the time" with Mr Cameron,
but refused to say whether Mr Cameron had given him an "absolute"
assurance that his job was safe.
Senior aides insist that the Tory leader will endorse his shadow
chancellor's warning on sterling when he launches a new attack on the
Government's economic policies early this week.
Mr Darling sought to turn up the pressure on his shadow querying his
judgment and insisting that it was "utterly pointless to offer a
running commentary" on the pound.
"All I would say is this, that a few weeks ago the Tories offered a
bipartisan approach, now that has clearly gone to the wind. [Of
course it has, and quite right too! -cs]
"At a time like this, this is when we at home and when we with other
countries across the world should be working together, that is what
people expect and that is what I intend to stick to. It is for others
to decide what what they are going to do.
"I do worry and wonder about their judgment here. Only a few weeks
ago David Cameron said and he was asked specifically was it right to
let borrowing rise to support the economy at a time like this and he
said yes you would expect borrowing to go up. [Of course it would ,
through increased unemployment pay, unless economies in spending were
made and they have no intention of making any economies anywhere -cs]
"Within a day they said that was the wrong approach - they completely
changed tack. What I find difficult to understand, inasmuch you can
discern what the Conservatives' policy is at the moment, where
exactly they stand."