[Note that the figures are a month-and-a-half behind the present
situation]
Although this has been widely forecast the figures whjen they come
represent human tragedy of a widespread scale, and we read them in
the knowledge that have already got worse and are going to get much
worse soon.
[See separate posting to follow on the Bank of England's quarterly
inflation report]
xxxxxxxxxxxxxx cs
===========================
BBC ONLINE 12.11.08
Unemployment reaches 11-year high
The number of people out of work in the UK in the tree months to
September jumped by 140,000 to 1.82 million - the highest in 11 years.
The unemployment rate rose to 5.8%, up from 5.4% in the previous
quarter, according to official figures.
The number of people claiming the Jobseeker's Allowance rose by
36,500 to 980,900 in October - the highest monthly increase since 1992.
Economists say unemployment could top two million within months.
These latest jobs figures came shortly before the Bank of England
produced its gloomiest set of forecasts for in more than a decade.
The Bank said Britain's economy had probably already entered
recession and was likely to contract further in 2009.
On Tuesday news came of more than 5,000 cuts by firms including
Virgin Media, Yell and GlaxoSmithKline.
Policy 'priority'
The annual growth rate of average earnings, including bonuses, eased
to 3.3% in the three months to September compared to the previous
period.
Excluding bonuses, average earnings grew at 3.6%, unchanged on the
previous three months. Inflation is currently 5.2% but is set to
plummet as the economy slows.
The number of manufacturing jobs fell to 2.86 million, the lowest
figure since records began in 1978.
TUC general secretary Brendan Barber said: "The signs are that
redundancies are coming even faster since these figures were
collected. Countering unemployment must be public policy priority
number one."
ING economist James Knightley said that the last recession in the
early 1990s saw 31 consecutive monthly rises in unemployment.
"We are likely to have plenty more bad news on the labour market to
come," he warned.
He said the number of those out of work would "push towards 2.5
million in 2010".
Union pleas
Derek Simpson, joint general secretary of the Unite trade union,
called for a programme of government intervention.
"Only urgent and widespread action by government to protect jobs and
homes will help hard-pressed families through the worst of this
global turmoil," he said.
GMB general secretary Paul Kenny said: "The chancellor is right to
spend money to keep people in work rather than spend money on
unemployment benefit."
"He needs to keep the pedal to the metal in terms of spending on
regeneration," he said.
Graeme Leach, of the Institute of Directors, said unemployment could
rise to 2.8 million by 2010.
"The UK labour market is about to suffer the consequences of the once-
in-a-generation financial crisis," he said.
Jobless totals
The claimant count - those claiming Jobseeker's Allowance - has now
increased for nine months in a row and is 154,800 higher than a year
ago.
The number of people in work fell by 99,000 to 29.4 million and
vacancies were down by 40,000 to 589,000, according to the Office for
National Statistics.
The unemployment rate of 5.8% is the highest since early 2000, while
the number of people looking for work has jumped by 182,000 over the
past year.
The number of unemployed men was 1.07 million, up 85,000 over the
latest quarter, while 55,000 more women joined the ranks of the
unemployed, up to 750,000.
Unemployment among 18 to 24-year-olds increased by 53,000 to 579,000,
the highest figure since 1995.
Long-term unemployment rose, with the numbers out of work for longer
than a year up by 20,000 to 435,000.
There was also increase in redundancies, as 156,000 people reported
they had up lost their jobs during the three months to September - up
29,000 from the previous quarter.
====================
POLITICS HOME 12.11.08
1. BBC News at 0935
McNulty: New unemployment figures are disappointing
Tony McNulty, Employment Minister
Mr McNulty conceded that the new unemployment figures were
disappointing and said it was the government's job to get people back
to work as quickly as possible.
"They are bad figures, there's no way of putting a shine on that at all.
"Central to the employment figures will be getting liquidity back
into the whole system. We've also got a range of interventions, from
training.to offering more help and support.
"Despite high levels of employment, these are disappointing figures.
"We also need to understand that there are still some dynamics in the
labor market. There are still some 580,000 plus vacancies in the
economy. It's our job to make sure people's skills are matched to
these vacancies.
"My role is to ensure that people get back to work as quickly as
possible, with the support of the government."
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2. Sky News at 1010
Grayling: Nothing from the govt on how to deal with unemployment
Chris Grayling, shadow Work and Pensions secretary
Mr Grayling described the rise in unemployment as "depressing" and
said that the government has come forward with nothing on how to deal
with it.
"Yes, we've got global economic issues. But the reality is we're less
well prepared to deal with the downturn (than other industrialised
nations).
"These figures are very depressing. There's a real human cost to
this. At the moment we're hearing nothing from the government on the
issue of how we deal with rising unemployment.
"We've got to target money.towards those who may be recruiting in the
months ahead.
"We can't pay caution to the wind and forget about the consequences
for tomorrow. I don't think unemployment is a price worth paying. It
is a real social problem in this country."
------------------------------------
BBC News at 10:18
Later Mr Grayling said that rising unemployment figures showed why
the country needed the employment programme set out by David Cameron
yesterday.
"It emphasises that unemployment has become the number one challenge
we face in this country. We are really going to have to get to grips
with this problem," he said.
He added: "What we've got to do is to introduce measures that will
both protect businesses that are in danger of losing jobs and we need
the kind of programme we set out yesterday".
"We urgently need an employment programme in this country that will
actually begin to tackle this problem," he said.
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3. TODAY Radio 4 at 0856
Ken Clarke: Unemployment is going to surge in the New Year
Ken Clarke, former Chancellor
Mr Clarke warned that unemployment will increase further after
Christmas, and said that it was important to continue to try to get
the banking system to work.
Asked what he would do in the current financial crisis he said, "I
would concentrate on trying to get the banking system and the
financial system to work.
"Beyond that you need to look at interest rate cuts, we've already
had. And the tax incentives.
"Unemployment is going to surge in the New Year I think we're going
to have a big loss of jobs once Christmas is over.
"The nearest parallel we have to now is 1929. This is a financial
crash of a very serious kind."
Wednesday, 12 November 2008
Posted by Britannia Radio at 17:06