This is a classic demolition job on Brown's pretence that 'It's
nothing to do with me, boss'. The trouble is that he's out-of-
control right now spending money that he hasn't got and (with the
fallig pound) can't get, puting our country's future at risk to try
and win an election before the final crash. (Remember, he hasn't won
one yet!)
XXXXXXXXXXXX CS
===========================
TELEGRAPH 14.11.08
Gordon Brown's fingerprints are all over a disaster made in Britain
We are about to witness a burst of old-fashioned pre-election
giveaways to hide the Government's epic blunders, warns Jeff Randall
By Jeff Randall
"Booms channel too many resources into speculative activities and not
enough into others, hampering economic progress. The fleeting gains
that such episodes bring are invariably far outweighed by the pain of
the downturn that must follow."
Wise words. Prescient thoughts. It's a shame that someone didn't tell
the Prime Minister. Hang on a minute, someone did. The Prime Minister
told the Prime Minister.
This hard-to-fault insight into the destructive nature of economic
excess was given by Gordon Brown in his Budget speech of 1998. Later,
as if to prove his point, the then-chancellor orchestrated a public
and private spree of outrageous consumption that ruined the economy.
"No, I didn't," pleads Mr Brown. "It was the Americans what dunnit."
Sorry Gordon, not even Inspector Clouseau would fall for that one.
This crisis was Made in Britain. Your fingerprints are all over the
crime scene. Too much easy money, combined with diminished regulation
of our banking system, created a frenzy of speculation in the housing
market. Unaffordable commitments pumped up a poisonous bubble of
illusory wealth.
At the same time, the Government was spending when it should have
been saving. At the top of the cycle, instead of tucking away funds
as insurance against unforeseen problems, the Prime Minister
encouraged a structural deficit of about £7 billion annually.
Profligacy trounced prudence.
Ten years ago, Mr Brown said: "Cycles of boom and bust have been
particularly damaging to the UK's long-term economic performance.
Recessions lead to premature scrapping of productive capacity and
increase both short-term and long-term unemployment." Spot on, as we
are now discovering. For many, the pain will become unbearable.
Families are under the cosh. Real incomes are shrinking. Businesses
are desperately seeking to align costs with falling revenues. The
human toll is rising at an alarming rate. The bloodbath in banking
and broking is spreading to other sectors. Only this week, BT, Virgin
Media, Yell and GlaxoSmithKline announced cuts that will lead to
about 15,000 workers losing their jobs.
The final bill for Mr Brown's incompetence will be huge. When Labour
came to power in 1997, unemployment was close to two million. Today,
it is back at that level - and set to become much worse. The CBI
expects the jobless total to hit nearly three million next year. In
private, union leaders agree.
And that's before we add in 2·7 million recipients of incapacity
benefit who are not officially part of the unemployment list. What
are the odds that there will be a fresh epidemic of stress-related
welfare claims, as the Government allows dubious health problems to
help mask soaring joblessness?
Bankruptcy courts have rarely been busier. According to John Charcol,
a mortgage broker, house repossessions between June 2008 and the end
of next year will be more than 100,000. As in the nightmare years of
the early 1990s, many Englishmen's dream homes are just castles in
the air.
During the early stages of this credit crunch, the Prime Minister
tried to deflect criticism by insisting that, however bad things
seemed, household strains under the last Conservative government were
much worse. If that was true a year ago, it is not so now. The
looming train wreck that is the British economy has been caused by
the driver who fuelled the engine of growth, not with reformed
services or increases in productivity, but high-octane debt.
One area of egregious mismanagement has been education. Under Mr
Brown, the budget for schools, colleges and universities has more
than doubled to £77 billion (twice as much as defence). And what do
we have to show for it? A debased system, where nobody can fail but
excellence is under attack. A generation of pupils has been
sacrificed on the altar of misguided ideology.
Stuffed with resources, comprehensives are not closing the gap on
grammars and public schools. Frustrated by the resistance of our best
universities to social engineering, the Government is bullying the
top 20 Russell Group institutions to lower the bar in order to
accommodate state-school pupils with sub-standard grades. Typical of
Labour: rather than address the problem, it prefers to fix the
figures and create a false impression of success.
Talking of which, have another look at Brown's valedictory Budget
speech in March 2007. It was a masterpiece of self-deluding hubris.
Warning lights were flashing across the economy but not, it seems, in
Downing Street.
Despite rising fuel costs, higher taxes, the turn in house prices,
and millions of personal balance sheets hopelessly over-stretched by
credit, he pounded a bruised electorate with examples of his
administrative brilliance.
"We will never return to the old boom and bust." Wrong.
"Looking ahead to 2008 and 2009, inflation will also be on target."
Wrong.
"In 2008, alongside North America, our growth will again be the
highest in the G7 - between two-and-a-half and three per cent." Wrong.
"Our fiscal discipline is the foundation of the strength of Britain's
finances." Wrong.
"Britain's net borrowing . as a per cent of our national income . in
the future years to 2011-12 will be 2·4, falling to 2, and then
falling to 1·8, 1·6 and 1·4 per cent." Wrong, wrong, wrong, wrong and
wrong.
"The [borrowing] figure for this year and future years will be £35
billion . then 34, 30, 38, 26 and 24 billion." Not even warm.
When Alistair Darling delivers his Pre-Budget Report on November
24, he will have to admit that next year's borrowing will be about
£100 billion. It took the Prime Minister a decade to wipe out a
handsome legacy, but he got there in the end.
The nearest indicator a country has to a share price is the value of
its currency. With sterling so weak - down 25 per cent against the
dollar in less than a year - global markets are laughing at Mr
Brown's claim that Britain is better placed than rivals to deal with
recession. The pound, as traders say, is "a sell".
With only 18 months to go before he will be forced to ask the country
to pass judgment on his record, the Prime Minister is about to throw
over the fence what's left of fiscal discipline. When he said, "we
will not take risks with . the stability essential to our long-term
economic performance", he didn't mean it.
From here, anything goes. Golden rules are being melted down to buy
votes. We are about to witness a burst of old-fashioned pre-election
giveaways to hide the Government's epic blunders.
In coming weeks, as Mr Brown struts about the international stage,
hoping to pass himself off as man with a plan, his successor will be
hurling a kitchen sink of unfunded tax cuts at the economy in an
attempt to secure the only outcome that his boss really cares about:
another five years in power.
Friday, 14 November 2008
Posted by
Britannia Radio
at
10:58