Thursday, 11 December 2008
December 10, 2008
 "Lo Yafeh"
 It's not nice, not seemly. And  that's a bit of an understatement.  Head of Likud Binyamin Netanyahu, unhappy  about the victory in the primary of right wing candidates, is attempting to do  something about it.  
 Netanyahu has sent his former  aide, Ophir Akunis, to petition the Likud's internal court regarding the order  of the list. The request is being made that those elected in slots reserved for  districts and specific groups -- such as immigrants and women -- be moved up on  the list, which would have the effect of moving Feiglin and some others who ran  on the national list down.
 Is this legal?  Is the Likud court  likely to be receptive to this petition? I have no idea.  What I do think is  that it's inappropriate and lacking in ethics.  What's done is done.  He's  trying to undo what has been put in place by a list publicized and then voted  upon. 
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 I know all of the reasons being  offered as to why Netanyahu thinks he has to do this: That he needs a centrist  image in order to win big, and without that big win he cannot accomplish what he  hopes to accomplish. The question, then, is precisely what is it he hopes to  accomplish if he won't align himself with rightists within his own  party.  Netanyahu rushed yesterday to say he'd do his best to form a unity  government if he becomes prime minister. A unity government would freeze  us.
 It's also being said that old-time  Likud people such as Silvan Shalom and Limor Livnot are "furious" that they  didn't do better on the list.  To which I say, "tough."  Netanyahu is trying to  give them a boost, post-primary.
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 While the over-riding concern  expressed about the list is that it will cause a drop in Likud  popularity, that's not necessarily the case at all.  A poll, by Haaretz-Dialog, done after the primary  results were announced, gave Likud two more mandates than it had before: up from  34 to 36.  Another poll, by Yediot Ahronot, shows a drop of one mandate for  Likud, but also shows a drop of two mandates for Kadima.
 There is also some finger pointing  within the party regarding whose "fault" it is that Feiglin won.  If only it  hadn't been so obvious that Netanyahu didn't want him, goes the argument,  Feiglin's supporters wouldn't have come out in such strength.  What astonishes  me is that those pointing their fingers are not considering the possibility that  the members of Likud are really fed up and ready for a change.
 People right of center who might  have voted this list -- especially as the Jewish Home party (a merger of  National Union and NRP) isn't getting its act together -- may decide otherwise  if Netanyahu has his way. 
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 When speculating on how the nation  might vote, Netanyahu would do well to consider his image, with regard to  trustworthiness and respect for democratic process.  Right now what Likud has going for it is the  great list that was elected.  He should pay this heed.  
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 Oh joy!  The rumors are apparently  true.  President-elect Obama, in a Chicago Tribune interview, says he  intends to give a "major address" in an Islamic capital shortly after being  elected.  The scuttlebutt has it that this capital would be Cairo, but there's  nothing firm on this. 
 He's interested, he says, in  "rebooting American's image," in particular in the Muslim world.  While he says  he will not shrink from the battle against terrorism, he has an "unrelenting"  desire to "create a relationship of mutual respect and partnership in countries  and with peoples of good will who want their citizens and ours to prosper  together." 
 Well, this sounds lovely, but  suggests to me more of the naiveté on his part I've seen evidence of already.  I  would sincerely like to know which Muslim countries he believes are interested  in "mutual respect" with the US and have citizens who want to prosper together  with American citizens. 
 My fear is that his eagerness to  create these new relationships will result in an even more political correct  stance, in which Islamic radicalism cannot even be named as the source of  worldwide terrorism, and the American government bends over backward to give  Arabs the benefit of the doubt.  The simple truth is that the major Arab nations  that are generally labeled "moderate" -- Saudi Arabia and Egypt --  routinely undercut US interests.  Saudi Arabia is a blatant purveyor of  terrorism.  Egypt has promoted Hamas, turning a blind eye to the smuggling of  weapons -- which they are perfectly capable of stopping -- for terrorist use  into Gaza.
 And precisely what do you imagine  will be Obama's stance with regard to support for Israel, if he is courting  better relationships with Arabs hostile to Israel?  Are those who have been  optimistic about Obama's commitment to Israel quite as sure now as they  were?  
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 Two senior research associates for  the Institute for National Security Studies have written an article about  dealing with Iran.  I turn to it here in relation to Obama -- who has expressed  readiness to talk to Iran too.   Ephraim Asculai and Emily Landau say that  negotiations with Iran must be proceeded by strong economic measures and  credible military threats.  The Iranians must be pushed into taking the  negotiations seriously, understanding full well what the alternatives are, or  else they will simply use talk as a stalling tactic while continuing nuclear  development.
 Is Obama tough enough to make the  necessary those credible military threats and to carry through as  necessary?
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 see my  website www.ArlenefromIsrael.info
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