Tuesday, 13 January 2009

After the losses detailed here it is interesting to see what 
employers need most of all - help to keep their skilled workforce 
together (the Germans have such a scheme) .  The Unions concentrate 
more on alleviating the suffering rather than stopping the 
redundancies in the first place.  [That's not a criticism, merely an 
observation]

However, in a separate posting I report that finally after months of 
delay the government has taken up the Tory plan for Loan guarantees.  
Allelujah for that at least!

Elsewhere the Euro's troubles begin to mount with Spain, Greece and 
Ireland marked out as the initial flashpoints  [see postings from 
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard passim],  ALL three have received warnings 
from ratings agency Standard & Poor's.

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TELEGRAPH     13.1.09


Latest job losses: thousands of redundancies announced  [shortened]
More than two thousand fresh redundancies have been announced as the 
Prime Minister hosted a jobs summit aimed at helping the growing army 
of unemployed.

Gordon Brown pledged that people thrown out of work would not be 
"abandoned" by the Government.
(--------------)

But the relentless toll of redundancies, which is cutting deeper into 
British industry by the day, continued with almost 700 job cuts at 
heavy machinery giant JCB, almost 1,000 at logistics firm Wincanton 
and almost 400 at troubled china and crystal maker Waterford Wedgwood.

A further 420 jobs were under threat at Findus frozen food firm 
Newcastle Productions after the firm went into administration, while 
there were fears for the future of 1,000 jobs at furniture retailer 
Land of Leather after the company suspended its shares.

Hull-based Honda dealership deVries, which employs 130 workers, said 
it had appointed receivers after being hit by a fall in sales.

Meanwhile, leading auction house Christie's, which employs 2,100 
staff around the world, announced a reorganisation expected to lead 
to job cuts.
The scale of the cuts, with waves of job losses being announced on an 
almost daily basis, make it certain that unemployment will soon pass 
the politically sensitive two million mark.

Matthew Taylor, chief executive of JCB, said he would rather see the 
Government spend money on trying to stop workers losing their jobs in 
the first place.
"We are making some very good employees redundant and that hurts."
He contrasted the position in JCB's German factory, where employees 
are on a two-day week, with the Government making up wages to avoid 
any lay-offs.
  (--------------)
Mr Brown said anyone losing their job will be able to access help and 
support on the first day.

But Mr Brown faced a series of questions from union and business 
leaders about what should be done to tackle growing unemployment.

Tony Burke, assistant general secretary of Unite, said the level of 
redundancy pay should be increased to help those losing their jobs 
and added that it should be easier to gain access to training funds.
Dave Prints, leader of Unison, called on the Prime Minister to halt 
job losses in the public sector and expand apprenticeships in areas 
such as local government, where he warned of fresh redundancies being 
planned.
John Wright, chairman of the Federation of Small Businesses, said 86 
small firms were going out of business every day, highlighting the 
urgent need for extra help such as reductions in regulations and cuts 
in payroll taxes.
The Engineering Employers' Federation said even though the proposals 
were laudable, they were "missing the mark".

Chief economist Steve Radley said: "The main priority for 
manufacturers is to keep the skilled workforce they already have and 
maintain cash flow."

Paul Kenny, leader of the GMB union, said: "Summits such as this will 
do nothing unless the Government can tackle the fundamental issue 
which everyone here is talking about - that the banks have to be 
brought to book.
"They are holding money back and are squeezing businesses badly.
"Banks are the biggest threat and I fear an implosion of job losses 
unless the Government can take action."

Shadow work and pensions secretary Chris Grayling said the latest job 
losses were a "further worrying sign" that the Government's policies 
on the recession were not working.

Supermarket giant Morrisons lifted some of the gloom by unveiling 
plans to hire 5,000 new staff through its previously announced store 
expansion programme this year.

Mr Brown will hold talks on the European response to the economic 
downturn with French President Nicolas Sarkozy in Paris on Wednesday, 
before travelling to Berlin to speak to German Chancellor Angela 
Merkel on Thursday.

His visit to Berlin comes as Ms Merkel attempts to push through a 
large-scale fiscal stimulus package of investment and tax cuts to 
help the German economy through the recession.
==========================
WALL STREET JOURNAL 12.1.09 (8.52pm EST)
The Euro Feels the Pain in Spain


1By MATTHEW CURTIN and THOROLD BARKER

In the first stage of the global financial crisis, euro membership 
provided stability. Individual currencies didn't face the gut-
wrenching swings experienced by the likes of the British pound. Being 

part of the single currency also helped keep government borrowing 
rates low for weaker countries, even as their bond spreads against 
German bunds widened.

But as the crisis progresses, that security blanket risks choking the 
countries it once protected. A warning from Standard & Poor's that it 
may downgrade Spain's sovereign debt, days after a similar alert on 
Greece, is a sharp reminder of how serious economic tensions within 
the currency zone could become. Admittedly, Spain only became a 
triple-A credit in 2004. But the euro still hit a four-week low 
against the dollar and yen on S&P's announcement.

As the global crisis has spread, even Germany has embarked on a ?50 
billion stimulus package. But it is the weaker countries of the 
currency area that pose the real challenge. Take Spain. Nearly a 
million workers lost their jobs in the 12 months to November, taking 
the unemployment rate to 13%. Industrial production fell 15%. The 
debt-fueled fiesta that caused a huge property bubble -- worsened by 
artificially low euro-zone interest rates -- has become a nasty 
hangover. The country's current-account deficit is set to hit 10% in 
2008.

The euro deprives struggling individual economies of the short-term 
relief from a weaker currency and the ability to set their own 
interest rates. That leaves more painful alternatives, such as big 
falls in real wages in countries like Spain, or relying on Germany to 
help finance a regional economic bailout -- both of which would pose 
huge political challenges.

Italy and Portugal are other countries that investors are cautious 
of. Their 10-year government bonds trade at spreads to German bunds 
of 1.37 percentage points and 1.06 percentage points respectively.

In other currency areas, there could be heavy borrowing by a 
centralized agency, like the U.S. government, and fiscal transfers 
between regions. The euro zone has no such mechanisms. Instead, 
countries such as Spain will spend their way through the downturn as 
best they can, while dealing with the inevitable adjustments to their 
economies.

The predicament of certain members of the euro zone in a prolonged 
recession could reignite fears over the stability of the project 
itself. Shorter-term, severe weakness in some smaller countries, 
coupled with a sharp slowdown in Germany, is likely to put more 
pressure on the European Central Bank to use the big lever it 
controls: interest rates for the entire euro zone.

Individual countries can't devalue. But more aggressive cuts from the 
ECB, as inflation threats wane, could well mean a weaker euro for all 
in 2009