This is a picture of the man who is ruining our country and is so
besotted in his own self-regard and vanity that he is unable to admit
even to himself that he might just possibly be wrong.
Every day that he remains in No:10 is another step to the collapse of
Britain. I don't think that the Tories have all the answers but
they would - I believe - make an honest attempt to make a fresh
start. We need an election now!
and BTW - while writing about 'honesty', I was glad to see that
Cameron refused to back a sordid deal with Brown to keep MPs '
expenses secret. THAT's one thing the Tories have actually DONE
even if some Tory MPs were none-too-please, !
xxxxxxxxxx cs
===================
TELEGRAPH 24.1.09
Capitalists and Socialists paying a high price for their devil's bargain
Gordon Brown's policy is collapsing under the weight of its own
contradictions
The Prime Minister must know that nationalisation of the banks would
be a nightmare, and yet this outcome seems increasingly likely, says
Charles Moore.
By Charles Moore
Sir Fred Goodwin, the former chief executive of RBS, and Gordon
Brown, our Prime Minister, are both brilliant, loner Scots, regarded
by those who work with them as "control freaks". Both were tremendous
hits in their jobs, once. For many years, both believed that they had
successfully suspended the laws of financial gravity, and they
persuaded others to believe them. Both presided over massive
expansion of their respective organisations.
Both then overreached. RBS this week posted the biggest loss in
British corporate history. Mr Brown is heading the British Government
towards the biggest budget deficit since the Second World War, and
yesterday, officially, took us into recession.
What is the difference between Sir Fred and Mr Brown? Mr Brown is
still in his job.
There are, as has often been pointed out, deep, global, systemic and
technical reasons for the crisis we are in, but when one tries to
analyse how this country is dealing with them, one cannot ignore the
human factor. Who are dealing with it, where are they "coming from"
and where on earth are they going?
When you think about this, it becomes easier to understand why this
week's enormous rescue plan, which contained reasonable ideas such as
government insurance of the banks' toxic assets, has brought, in the
short term, greater panic.
In this drama, all the institutions and most of the senior
individuals involved, are compromised. Even the most admirable are
vulnerable. The intelligent and honourable Mervyn King, the Governor
of the Bank of England, is believed by the bankers to have failed to
help the interbank lending market in 2007. That failure, they say,
ensured the collapse of Northern Rock, and precipitated everything else.
Even those bankers, such as the equally intelligent and decent John
Varley of Barclays, who have so far kept their companies out of the
hands of government, are not believed in the markets. They are
accused of misvaluing their assets and concealing their liabilities.
This week, the market put a valuation on Barclays which was much the
same as its latest profits. By any normal calculation, you would
think that Barclays shares are insanely cheap.
But you dare not make that calculation. Everyone is thinking too much
about the game that everyone else is playing to be able to be
rational. People are fighting to justify their past actions, to stay
in their jobs, or looking for ways out or for others to blame.
There is supposed to be a "tripartite" system for managing our
difficulties - the Bank, the Financial Services Authority and the
Treasury - but those who have to work the system tell me that they
cannot locate authority in it. They have what they think are rational
conversations with Alistair Darling, the Chancellor. But they notice
that Number 10 seems to do something different, without the
Chancellor necessarily knowing. It is not easy to present these
complicated rescues to the world if you have been kept in the dark
until 24 hours before lift-off. [Darling was apparently not told
that the ban on ''short' share dealing had been lifted, and went
catatonic -cs]
And they find themselves assailed by Baroness Vadera, a junior
minister at what, with tragic pathos, was last year renamed the
Department for Business, Enterprise and Regulatory Reform. It is she
who carries the messages in and out of the Brown bunker. [The woman
is by all accounts a lurking menace -cs] The Treasury which, for all
its faults, tends to try to convey uncomfortable financial truths to
prime ministers in difficult times, is often cut out by Number?10.
No one is more conflicted in the crisis than the Prime Minister
himself. You can feel him longing to attack bankers - both because
everyone hates them at present and because of how Labour politics
works. But he knows that the now-excoriated Sir Fred was once his
close associate. Mr Brown boasted last autumn that it was his quiet
word with his friend Sir Victor Blank, that persuaded Sir Victor's
company, Lloyds, to hurry up and take over HBOS - a move which seems
to have turned both banks into the living dead.
The other day, he had an assortment of big shots to lunch at
Chequers. One of them, Mervyn Davies, another big banker (Standard
Chartered), came away with a peerage and a ministerial post.
An enterprising reporter should work through all the years of
Labour's intimate relations with the bankers - the party links, the
titles, the holidays and dinners, the putting them on boring prime
ministerial commissions about "vulnerable employment" or innovation,
the questions not asked, the favours granted.
If I were a socialist, I would be upset by the collusion between
capitalists and the Labour Government. As a free-marketeer, I am
horrified. You can make ever more money, was Brown's devil's bargain,
so long as I can take ever more of it. Socialists and free marketers
alike should cry: "What about the workers?"
This week, another of Mr Brown's crony capitalists popped up in the
papers. He is Paul Myners. He is an ex-director of NatWest, ex-
chairman of the Low Pay Commission - not a case of "Le patron mange
ici" - and of Marks and Spencer and of The Guardian.
Last year, Mr Brown made him Lord Myners and Financial Services
Secretary. Lord Myners has been sent on a mission to explain to
frightened markets that the Government is not trying to nationalise
the banks. It wants "a return to an effective commercial banking
sector", he wrote.
And probably, in some sense, that is true. Even with his abiding
faith in the beneficence of government and of himself, Mr Brown must
know that nationalisation of the banks would be a nightmare. Either
it would require compensation (£125 billion on the latest book value
of the banks concerned), which would cause taxpayer outrage, or
expropriation, which might make markets lose all faith in this
Government. He must realise that he would have to adjudicate,
impossibly, between the needs of banks to restore order in their
balance sheets and "national needs" such as lending to small
businesses, or, more basely, pouring money into marginal
constituencies. He would need legislation, and he would face court
cases (as is going on in relation to Northern Rock). There would be
endless rows with other banks and the European Commission and the
World Trade Organisation about competition. He would collapse
overseas bank business and undermine a once-huge tax base.
But it may be that the banks are so flattened by their folly and by
his, that Mr Brown is nationalising them whether he consciously
wishes to or not. The markets certainly think so.
Mr Brown's intentions are, anyway, beside the point. His policy is,
as Marxists put it, collapsing under the weight of its own
contradictions, with the rest of us buried in the rubble.
Saturday, 24 January 2009
Posted by Britannia Radio at 16:48