While we await the re-opening of global markets tomorrow the 'battle-
lines' are being drawn up. It would be unacceptable to readers to
print them all here - it has taken me long enough to read them! So I
give Osborne and Brown 's comments priority as they (Where's Darling
hiding ?) are the chief protagonists
I add excerpts from other commentators.
It seems that Brown is stuck in a groove recommending the policies
that have already failed while some glimmer of intelligent thinking
lies elsewhere.
xxxxxxxxxx cs
========================
SUNDAY TELEGRAPH 4.1.09
Second bank bailout plans condemned
A second bailout of the banks has been condemned as "the worst
possible option" as reports suggest the Government is planning more
intervention.
By Melissa Kite, Deputy Political Editor
Gordon Brown was reported to be preparing to pump billions more
pounds into the banking system amid mounting evidence that his £37
billion part-nationalisation has failed to get credit flowing to home-
owners and businesses.
As banks continue to restrict lending, Alistair Darling, the
Chancellor, has been considering a range of options including cash
injections and offering banks state guarantees to raise money privately.
Millions of savers face the prospect of zero per cent accounts within
days as the Bank of England prepares to cut interest rates to the
lowest level in its 315-year history. Borrowing costs could fall from
two per cent to as low as one per cent this week in a bid to
stimulate lending. However, the big lenders remain stubborn, with
Nationwide refusing to pass on interest rate cuts to customers with
tracker mortgages.
The number of new home loans plunged to a record low in November with
only 27,000 mortgages approved by banks and building societies. Small
businesses are also suffering from the lending drought and there are
growing fears that the car industry could be permanently damaged.
However, any further bid to restart lending by injecting more cash
into the banks looked likely to land the Government in controversy.
Vince Cable, the Liberal Democrat treasury spokesman, signalled that
his party would oppose the plans. He said: "We cannot have a
situation where the taxpayer makes open ended financial commitments
to the banking system when the banks then wilfully put their own
short-term self interests ahead of the national economy.
"The banks are currently on strike, refusing to lend, and the
Government is going to have to play the role of the strikebreaker as
earlier governments did with disruptive strikes in the past. We
cannot be held to ransom by senior bank managers.
"At present the Government is both confused and weak in its approach
to the banks. It has got to set a very clear sense of direction since
it is now the principle shareholder in much of the banking system,
and then insist that the priority is maintained for keeping the
British economy going through continued lending to sound businesses."
John Redwood, chair of the Tories' economic competitiveness
commission, said the taxpayer could not afford to own more bank
shares, and should not be expected to take more risk.
"The banks may lose a lot more money before this crisis is resolved,"
he said. "They are currently in a vicious circle. They cannot afford
to lend more, so they are forced to undermine the companies they do
lend to, as these companies are starved of additional working capital
by the banks, and face less and less revenue from customers who
cannot get access to new loans or do not seek new loans as they fear
for their jobs.
"It is possible RBS (Royal Bank of Scotland) has already lost the £20
billion the taxpayer was made to put in recently. When you go to the
aid of a bank with a £2 trillion balance sheet you need a very long
pocket. The last lot of share subscriptions did not lead to more
lending to the corporate sector - just to lending it back to the
Government. This is the worst possible option. It is so dangerous
that the Government must rule it out."
Another option said to be on the table is a proposal to buy up toxic
assets and putting them in a so-called "bad bank" which would attempt
to dispose of the bad debts. In a mirror of an idea first aired in
the United States, the Treasury would take bad loans off the hands of
banks, swapping them for government bonds.
A senior Treasury source said: "The Chancellor is considering all the
options. He wants to do whatever he can to help the economy."
The Shadow Chancellor George Osborne said a second bank bailout would
be an admission of failure.
"If the Government has to revisit bank recapitalisation then it will
be a stunning admission that their whole approach to the recession
isn't working," he said.
"They said their banking policy would restart lending and it hasn't
and they said their VAT give-away would stimulate the economy but
ever since, things have gone from bad to worse.
"We urgently need the National Loan Guarantee scheme that the
Conservatives have been proposing for months. That is the best way of
protecting jobs and keeping business afloat. Gordon Brown's recession
policies are becoming an expensive failure."
Firms are to be paid by the Government to take on more employees than
they need under radical plans being unveiled by Gordon Brown this week.
The Prime Minister will detail a package of measures aimed at beating
the recession, centring on action to boost jobs.
He will announce that millions of pounds of public money is to be
spent paying employers to take on extra apprentices which they do not
need as part of an "overtraining" plan.
Mr Brown will pledge to focus the scheme on companies involved in
"smart industries", such as those producing green technology [There's
money to pour down the drain, it seems. - cs] and digitial
communications equipment.
Ministers are hoping that the trained extra apprentices will then get
jobs in other firms who do need them when Britain comes out of
recession. [This is daft. First train unwanted apprentices and then
let them sit around waiting for the economy to pick up one day. -cs]
The Prime Minister will say he wants to plan for better times and
that as Britain comes through the downturn it must focus on products
and services it can sell to the world.
He will move to bolster Government action on the economy by
announcing plans for an employment summit and a regional tour, during
which he will speak to ['speak to" not "listen to" -cs] hundreds of
members of the public about the economy in their area. [photo-ops
giving the impression of activity! -cs]
=======================
BBC ONLINE 4.1.08
PM defends handling of downturn
[Excerpts only]
Prime Minister Gordon Brown has defended the way he has handled the
economic downturn.
During an interview on the BBC's Andrew Marr Show, Mr Brown said the
new year would be "challenging and difficult". --------
Ruling out any further bank bail-outs, he said any solution needed
global co-operation. He also said he was not thinking about calling
an election. --------
The prime minister also gave more details about a programme to create
100,000 jobs as part of a new initiative to curb rising
unemployment --------Some 30,000 jobs are to be created in school
repairs, in an attempt to help private construction firms who have
suffered in the economic downturn. ------
"We are going to make sure that through this downturn, people will be
protected " ["Protected ? Except the elderly and thrifty who are
having their incomes cut to ribbons while their savings vanish in
smoke. Even their final nest-egg - their homes - are losing value
and cannot be used to pay for nursing home care in their final years
- cs]
====================
OTHER COMMENTS 4.1.09
=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
===Former Tory cabinet minister Michael Portillo remained unconvinced
by the proposals.
He told BBC Radio 5 Live: "Some things he's bringing forward but
other things he's putting back.
"For example, two aircraft carriers have been put back a couple of
years and people will know that they're very labour-intensive.
"And also of course, if these things are being brought forward that
means either that taxes have to be higher or borrowing has to be
higher, and both of those are bad for economic confidence and they
destroy jobs elsewhere.
=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
==="As Shadow Chancellor, George Osborne has been a tough critic of
Government policy rather than an analytical advocate of a policy for
his own party... The Conservatives need to adopt a clear and sound
financial policy. Such a policy would include the objectives of
reducing Government expenditure, reducing tax, reducing debt, helping
the banking system to reduce leverage and rebalancing the reserves
with a larger component of gold." - William Rees-Mogg in the Mail on
Sunday
=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
===Dominic Grieve breaks ranks to warn against Labour's 45p tax band
for higher earners
"I can't predict where we're going to be when we get into office, and
we're going to have to live with some of the consequences of what the
Government does. But raising taxes on higher earners, does seem to
me, from the historical evidence, damaging in the medium-to-long term
in terms of the amount you then get out of the economy because it is
higher earners who are usually the most economically active and
producing more economic activity which is ultimately for the
betterment of everybody else." - The Shadow Home Secretary quoted in
The Sunday Telegraph
[BUT nb. The Observer says "Two-thirds of Britons want rich to face
punitive rates of taxation" ]
=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
==="Does it help Brown for his most senior colleague [Peter
Mandelson] to highlight how much the government has devalued our
currency by suggesting that we should abandon it because it is so
weak?" - Michael Portillo in The Sunday Times
=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
==="Sterling's plunge close to parity with the euro has added more
than £3bn to the amount the Government must pay to Brussels over the
next three years." - Independent on Sunday
=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
Chris Grayling: Brown's economic solution is not working (via
Politics Home)
Mr Grayling criticised Gordon Brown's New Deal-style jobs plan and
said that it would fail to improve current economic difficulties.
"Things that the government said it would do to tackle these
difficulties just are not working," he said. He added: "all the
things that Gordon Brown promised us aren't happening."
He said that the government needed to adopt a loan guarantee scheme
to get credit flowing again. "What we need to do, what we've
proposed, is that the government needs to guarantee some of the loans
that go to small businesses, £50bn of loans," he said.
Mr Grayling argued that public works programmes would not generate
sustainable employment and proposed alternative measures. He said:
"We've also proposed an employment programme that would provide £3bn
in subsidies to employers if they take on people who have been
unemployed for six months."
Chris Grayling, Shadow Work and Pensions Secretary
BBC News at 1226
Sunday, 4 January 2009
Posted by Britannia Radio at 15:01