Osborne does not appear to have a very good grasp of economics when
he welcomes the cut in Bank Rate and an even worse grasp of
arithmetic and logic in his tax cut for savers. For he hasn’t
understood that when there’s little or no income there will be little
or no tax to save.
In the news report the general tone - though by no means unanimous -
is that the cut was futile in that it will achieve noithing
positive , while killing off any inclination for anyone to save.
On the last point Jeff Randall is scathing.
xxxxxxxxxxxx cs
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CONSERVATIVE HOME Blog 5.2.09
Osborne v Redwood on today's interest rate cut
George Osborne: “The fall in interest rates is welcome and necessary,
given the increasingly bad economic news. However, it will inevitably
hit hard millions of savers and pensioners, who are the innocent
victims of Gordon Brown’s recession. That is why the Conservatives
are calling for the tax on basic rate savers to be abolished and the
tax free allowance for pensioners to be increased at the
Budget.” [Just a liitle maths exercise for Osborne. At 0,8%
interest fairly average today a saver gets £80 a year income on
£10,000 savings. Tax on this at standard rate is £16,
But note ! A quarter of savings accounts now pay a mere 0.1% . On
this this interest is £10 and the rax £2. Some saving, Mr O.
So Osborne thinks that tax saving of £16 compensates for the £150 the
cuts in bank rate have reduced the saver’s income in the last 2 bank
rate cuts alone -cs]
John Redwood: "What is it that makes the MPC hate us all so much? In
2006-8 their decisions meant lots of people would be sacked in
industry and commerce by keeping rates too high, despite warning.
They did that well, as forecast. Now they want to bash the savers, by
almost eliminating interest on deposits. They are doing a great job
on destroying the savings culture and pushing prudent pensioners into
poverty. The savings rate will of course go up, as people borrow less
and it is a net figure. That will merely conceal the pain and anger
of true savers. Why don’t we put them onto performance pay? That way
we could avoid paying them anything, as their performance has been so
poor."
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TELEGRAPH 5.2.09
Interest rates: Bank of England accused of 'assault' on savers
The Bank of England was accused of launching an "assault" on savers
as it slashed interest rates to a new record low.
Consumer groups and trade bodies expressed anger at the latest 0.5
per cent reduction, arguing that it penalised savers, while doing
little to help the majority of borrowers.
They also voiced concerns that with the returns on deposit accounts
already at a record low, people would be put off saving, further
reducing the supply of funds available to banks and building
societies for mortgage lending.
Adrian Coles, director-general of the Building Societies Association,
said: "The rate cut is an assault on savers who will have seen their
interest payments drop by 83 per cent since July 2007.
"Savers dependent on interest income have not seen prices fall by a
similar amount - their lifestyles have taken a significant blow."
He added that savers with building societies outnumbered borrowers by
nearly eight to one.
The sector has 23 million savers, although there will be some
duplication in the figure from people who hold accounts with more
than one society, compared with only 2.9m mortgage customers.
Pensioners, who rely on returns from their savings to supplement
their income, have been particularly hard hit by the recent interest-
rate slide.
Figures from website Moneynet.co.uk showed that nearly a quarter of
variable rate savings accounts for balances of £500 currently pay
returns of 0.1 per cent or less.
The Bank of England also published figures last month which showed
that in December, interest paid on notice accounts, tax-free ISAs and
bonds was the lowest since records began in 1995, while the average
return on instant access accounts was just 0.81 per cent.
The already-low figures do not factor in the impact of January's 0.5
per cent cut, which was passed on, at least in part, by the majority
of savings providers.
Andrew Hagger, of Moneynet, said: "Pensioners and those who rely on a
monthly income from their nest egg to supplement their income are
being driven to despair as they are increasingly forced to dig into
their capital just to make ends meet."
He added that with interest rates so low, people should consider
doing other things with their money, such as repaying debt.
Saga Personal Finance said savers and pensioners were the "innocent
victims of the credit crunch".
Roger Ramsden, chief executive of Saga Personal Finance, said:
"Savers have seen interest rates slashed from 5.75 per cent 18 months
ago to 1 per cent today which has resulted in a significant drop in
savings incomes.
"For example, someone who invested £20,000 in one of our fixed rate
bonds last year would have received £115 per month interest after
tax, however those opening accounts at the new 1 per cent rate from
today would receive £45 per month.
"The recent rate cuts have had limited effect on the economy other
than supporting those on variable-rate mortgages.
"The cuts have hit savers hard, particularly those in retirement who
rely on monthly interest from their savings, this means that the
effect of the rate cut has been to take money out of the economy as
people have less interest to spend."
Simon Hodge, an independent financial adviser on Rubii.co.uk, also
warned that the current "dire returns" on savings accounts could
tempt pensioners and other cautious savers to put their money into
riskier investments that were not appropriate for them.
Kevin Mountford, head of banking at moneysupermarket.com, said, "We
are now getting dangerously close to the point where people will say
it's just not worth saving.
"Following the rate cut in January we ran a poll of our users which
found over two-thirds were angered by continuing rate cuts.
"The Government needs to apply some vision and kickstart the savings
culture - as opposed to killing it."
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TELEGRAPH 6.2.09
We're in denial: afraid to face up to the real causes of recession
An infantilised electorate is encouraged by politicians to blame
bogeymen, argues Jeff Randall.
By Jeff Randall
Much has been written about the animosity and interdependence between
press and politicians. Every self-respecting journalism school has a
stack of theses on the relationship, many of which seem to conclude,
in a cruel but fair way, that we're a bunch of untrustworthy rascals
who deserve each other.
My favourite comment on the matter was penned by Tom Plate, a former
senior editor at Newsday, the New York newspaper: "Politicians are
always trying to pimp journalists. And we journalists are always
seducing and then abandoning them, after we have used them up or
exposed them." Nice.
Bearing this in mind, it was with some unease on Wednesday that I
joined four others from our grubby trade to be grilled by a Treasury
Select Committee on the media's role in the credit crunch. Several of
its members had been duffed up royally on more than one occasion by
uncharitable reporters. Who could blame them for exacting a terrible
revenge?
To the disappointment of those in the gallery hoping for blood and
guts, it did not turn out that way. The MPs were remarkably
restrained, even gentlemanly. Their interrogation took the form of
some slowish leg-side bowling which never threatened the stumps.
Efforts at blaming the media for the near collapse of Britain's
banking system were largely half-hearted, as if the accusers didn't
really believe we had a case to answer.
I doubt the parliamentarians heard anything they did not already
know. By contrast, onlookers discovered that Michael Fallon MP
(Conservative, Sevenoaks) suspects that John Kingman, the government
official who now heads UK Financial Investments, the body created to
oversee state shareholdings in commercial banks, was the source of
Robert Peston's BBC scoop about the banks' pleas to Downing Street
for emergency assistance. Mr Kingman and Mr Peston used to work
together at the Financial Times.
This allegation, made in the form of a question to Mr Peston (which
Mr Fallon knew very well would not be answered [but gets it into
publoic discussion protected by parliamentary privilege -cs] ), is a
serious one. It invites us to infer that ministers deliberately
weakened the banks' bargaining position by leaking details which
would provoke sharp falls in their share prices. In effect, far from
shoring up confidence in the banks, the Government plotted to ensure
that it could take control without unseemly resistance.
We should hear more on this next week, when the committee questions
Sir Fred Goodwin, the former chief executive of Royal Bank of
Scotland, Andy Hornby, his counterpart at HBOS, and their respective
chairmen, Sir Tom McKillop and Lord Stevenson. A former director of
HBOS told me that his board was disgusted by the way Mr Kingman had
behaved.
Perhaps it's time for the committee's chairman, John McFall, to cast
some light on the murk by summoning Mr Kingman to face questions. I
don't see why not. Mr Kingman is one of the most influential figures
in British financial services, looking after many billions of
taxpayers' funds. More than most, he knows where the bodies are
buried. Yet, beyond a narrow group of Treasury and banking insiders,
very few people would recognise him.
In recent times, the committee has interviewed a range of groups that
might plausibly be blamed for the swamp into which our economy is
sinking. Private equity executives, hedge fund managers, Bank of
England officials and regulators from the Financial Services
Authority have been among the possible culprits forced to account for
their actions. Quite right, too.
There is, however, a missing link. For if too much debt is at the
heart of the crisis, what about the over-borrowers? What do they have
to say?
I'm not talking about unfortunate souls who have slipped behind as a
result of redundancy or family crisis. I'm more interested in Smart
Alecs who signed for a dozen credit cards and then spent over the
limits. Or homebuyers who enjoyed a burst of creativity when it came
to disclosing incomes on mortgage forms. Or heavily geared buy-to-let
merchants who worked out that instead of paying for a house, they
could get a house to pay for them.
These and others have played a role in creating the credit crunch.
But we rarely hear from them or about them. The reason, I fear, is
that after 12 years of a government which has infantilised the
electorate by telling it that the state will always provide, there
has been a shocking diminution of personal responsibility. We are a
society addicted to victimhood.
As such, when things go wrong, we seek bogeymen rather than face up
to our own shortcomings. We expect instant, painless solutions to
self-inflicted problems. Britain's booze culture is blamed on the
slick advertisements of drinks companies and the cut-price tactics of
supermarkets. Our obesity epidemic is the fault of junk-food outlets
and confectionery suppliers. And our personal indebtedness, the
highest it has ever been, is the result of a pernicious campaign by
greedy banks to enslave their customers. Oh yes, and the crash was
caused by beastly Americans.
It is a mindset that is fostered by cynical politicians who see few
votes in telling people that which discomforts them, even if it's the
truth. Much better to identify a "dark force" and then roll out an
initiative to tackle it. This exculpates the guilty, while creating
an impression of activity.
For example, comprehensive-educated pupils are woefully under-
represented at Oxbridge. The real problem, of course, is poor
standards at too many state schools. But the dark force, according to
Gordon Brown and his Yes Man, Ed Balls, is elitism, and their
initiative to deal with it is to bully our best universities into
widening access by selectively lowering entry requirements.
In a similar way, we are in denial about the causes of recession and
therefore cannot face up to the action required to lift us out of it.
As Niall Ferguson, professor of history at Harvard University, wrote
in the Financial Times: "The reality being repressed is that the
western world is suffering a crisis of indebtedness." In which case,
pumping out yet more debt will not be the answer. It is simply a
short-term fix that in the long-run creates an even bigger disaster,
like giving a shivering alcoholic a case of Special Brew.
Yesterday's half-point rate cut was a panic measure from a central
bank whose excessively loose monetary policy in the first half of
this decade encouraged a catastrophic borrowing binge. Now, desperate
to mitigate the consequences of its own failure, it is trying to
inflate another bubble. In so doing, as Dr Ros Altmann, a former
adviser to Number 11, points out: "They punish those who actually did
the right thing [savers], while benefiting the very groups (the banks
in particular) whose actions caused this mess."
The Treasury Select Committee should give her a call.
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Friday, 6 February 2009
Posted by Britannia Radio at 12:41