Sunday, 15 March 2009

So - here we go again - or do we?

XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX PW
 
I just spoke with a former soldier who did 3 tours in N.I.  and ran three possible reasons for the new troubles
past him for comment.
 
1 - political - Irish Republican Army activity
2 - criminal activity
3 - political interference from a third party (External / EU)
 
IRA
He discounted the first one as he said Sinn Fein IRA have no stomach for a fight. It appears to me that the
IRA won the toss as the RUC morphed into the NIPS and external displays of the Royal / British connections
are being removed.  Who would gain? Hardly Dublin which could not afford to manage / govern Northern
Ireland.
 
Criminal Activity
With what goal in mind?  I can not see one.
 
External Mischief Making
Ireland is a problem for the EU.  Perhaps in order to persuade recalcitrant Irish to support the EU
it would suit the E U to create a problem in a near neighbor of Dublin.  Were the problem to become
too much for the British to cope with given the depletion of the British Military in Iraq and Afghanistan can you
consider the possibility that the EU would offer to "help" stabilize the situation especially as Ireland would get this
assistance as Ireland is a "cooperative" member (ie you WILL vote yes to Lisbon) of the EU as is the UK.
 
Is this really so far fetched to imagine German French and Polish troops on British soil given the EU has already suggested that EU troops come here in 2012 for peacekeeping and crowd control during the Olympics?
 
 
 
 

Fears over security for London 2012

EU and Nato help should be called upon to boost security at the London 2012 Olympics, an influential group of peers has said. Skip related content

Lord Jopling, chairman of the European Union committee, urged the Government to begin talks with the EU Monitoring and Information Centre (MIC) civil protection unit "as a matter of urgency", and expressed "surprise" that this has not already been taken in hand.

"It is increasingly clear that the 2012 Olympics could be a prime target for terrorists and it is vital the Government takes every possible step to ensure other EU member states are fully prepared to assist the UK in the case of a potential attack," he said.

Speaking as the committee published its report into crisis management in the EU, he added: "The lack of co-operation between the EU and Nato is especially worrying in the area of civil protection and crisis management, where there is virtually no contact between the bodies involved. This cannot be allowed to continue.

"We hope Nato's 60th anniversary summit next month will be an opportunity to remedy this."

The MIC has long-standing experience of putting European teams on standby for large sporting events.

Portugal asked for chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear decontamination teams to be kept on standby during the Euro 2004 football championships. The teams were kept on alert in their own countries but were ready to travel quickly should the need arise.

Home Secretary Jacqui Smith has pledged to keep to a £600 million security budget for the 2012 Games and said there are no plans to draw on a £238 million reserve.

The committee noted that a lot of public interest had been focused around security for the Olympic Park in east London, but not much had been heard about the five host boroughs which "seem to us to be at least as vulnerable".

The peers said they had concerns over the need to reassure local communities that appropriate action is being and would be taken.