Like most people I find Cable eminently likeable but Philip Dunne is
absolutely right to point out that he is a fallible economist even if
a first class human being.
Read this and take him seriously as a politician! In fact judging
by how much he disagrees with his leader he is in the wrong party!
He's somewhat unfathomable!
xxxxxxxxxx cs
[nb a 'cable' is about 100 fathoms]
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CONSERVATIVE HOME Blog 9.4.09
There's nothing invincible about Vince
Philip Dunne MP
Philip Dunne is MP for Ludlow, winning the seat from the Liberal
Democrats in May 2005. In this Platform article he examines the
reputation of Vince Cable MP, the Liberal Democrats' Treasury spokesman.
For a politician to become a national treasure can be a mixed
blessing. It must be nice to think you are held in higher esteem than
the average politician. But - as President Obama is discovering - it
is impossible to maintain universal popularity once you have real
responsibility. So affording national treasure status may turn out to
be an act of passive aggression: the public like you on a personal
level, but have decided it is time for you to shuffle off the main
stage. This is a comparatively civilised form of enforced retirement.
Just occasionally, though, a figure in public life can touch a nerve.
They can become a national treasure yet still be considered a player.
This allows them to enjoy that most precious of positions: being
taken seriously and given lots of media attention without being
troubled by inelegant probing questions or normal scrutiny. The
Liberal Democrats' Treasury spokesman Vince Cable finds himself in
this enviable situation.
Indeed Dr Cable - who has recently published a book entitled The
Storm: The World Economic Crisis & What it Means - is now treated by
much of the media as an impartial commentator and sage, rather than
as a fallible and partisan politician. Good for him; not so good for
democracy.
It is not hard to see how this has happened. Dr Cable has an
avuncular and plausible manner and has shown a deft touch in the
House of Commons, famously saying Gordon Brown had morphed from
Stalin into Mr Bean. He was a professional economist, which doubtless
boosts his credibility as the economy takes centre stage - even
though our experience of Cabinet ministers with economics degrees has
not been an invariably happy one.
As a Liberal Democrat MP, Dr Cable is most unlikely to take charge of
a Government department. So journalists are perhaps tempted to think
there is no point questioning him too closely. But that is surely
disrespectful. Vince Cable deserves the same rigorous examination as
a Conservative or Labour spokesman in Parliament.
VINCE CABLE SAYS ONE THING, HIS PARTY SAYS ANOTHER
Alas, a search of his speeches leaves one rather less convinced of
his infinite wisdom. His lack of consistency makes him look all too
distressingly like the arch-stereotype of a Liberal Democrat -
someone who will say whatever appears to be popular at the time.
When the new banking regulatory regime was established by Chancellor
Brown, the Member for Twickenham assured the House of Commons in June
1999 that "No one is arguing for an increasingly severe, more onerous
and dirigiste system of regulation". Last year he recognised that the
"investment banking model needs to overhauled". This has been quite a
journey, one that others have travelled, but hardly smacks of the
consistency or good judgement being demonstrated by Conservative
spokesmen at the time.
One of the few areas in which the Liberal Democrats have been
consistent (albeit wrong) is the euro. But even this policy has come
unstuck. In January LibDem leader Nick Clegg advocated British entry
into the single currency to increase financial stability. A week
later Dr Cable (perhaps emboldened by his higher poll ratings)
slapped his Leader down, suggesting that the euro might actually
collapse:
"It remains to be seen if the Euro zone does any better in this
crisis. Its more vulnerable members have the opposite problem to the
UK: they cannot use monetary independence and a floating exchange
rate to adjust. The Euro zone may or may not survive the strains
being put on it."
It seems only a Liberal Democrat Treasury spokesman could flatly
contradict his Leader on a matter of such central importance and
continue to act as one of his principal spokesmen.
Public expenditure is another fraught topic. In September Dr Cable
told his party conference that there was "a mood of austerity" and
"an intolerance of binge lending by banks and binge spending by
government". The following month he told the BBC "It is entirely
wrong for the Government to assume that the economy should be
stimulated by yet more public spending rather than tax cuts." Yet in
December his party called for a £12.5 billion spending spree on
social housing and railway lines and energy efficiency for homes,
schools and hospitals.
This would supposedly be financed by scrapping the VAT cut. But as
some of the measures would take five years to implement and VAT has
already been cut, the LibDems' sums simply don't add up. So much for
the good doctor's assertion in November that: "We need a stimulus
that will be funded".
WRONG ON NATIONALISATION
In February 2008 he called for "temporary public ownership" of
Northern Rock to "safeguard taxpayers' interests". The following
August, by which time it had become clear that nationalisation had
gone horribly wrong, he rather lamely said: "the Government and the
regulators were badly deceived by Northern Rock's former managers
when they agreed to bail it out on the basis that it was a good bank
with a good loan portfolio."
Only last week during a debate on the economy, he repeated his call
for full nationalisation of the banks in which the taxpayer already
has a controlling stake. In the same speech he argued that the "asset
protection scheme.which I argued at the outset.is a fraud against the
British taxpayer". Commentators seem reluctant to point out that if
the banks are wholly nationalised the British taxpayer will become
liable for all the toxic assets held by these banks, not just those
submitted to the scheme he distrusts so much.
WRONG ON PENSIONS
In 2006 the Liberal Democrats proposed abolition of tax relief on
pension contributions for higher earners. This policy was variously
described by pensions experts as "extremely flawed", "pointless",
"catastrophic" and "simply not practical". It is also at odds with Dr
Cable waxing lyrical in January this year on "the need to maintain
(and strengthen) a long-term savings culture for retirement".
He is not alone in identifying the US mortgage market as the trigger
for the global economic crisis. Asked if he issued any warnings, he
admitted "No, I didn't" before launching into an extraordinary mea
culpa: "one of the problems of being a British MP is that you do tend
to get rather parochial, so I wouldn't claim to have any feel for
what's been going on in the States".
It is admirable of Vince Cable, who is a nice man, to admit that he
isn't omniscient after all. The time has come for the rest of us to
take him at his word, and extend him the courtesy of being treated
like a normal politician.
Thursday, 9 April 2009
Posted by Britannia Radio at 17:54