This article features mainly the Euro-elections next Thursday.
But first the National polls shows
Conservative- - -41%- - = +2%
Labour -------- -21% - = -5%
Liberal Dmcrts 15% - = -7%
Others------ ------23% - = +10%
For the European elections the topline figures are
Conservative- - -30% - = -4%
UKIP 19%: = +13%
Labour ------- - -16% - = -9%
Liberal Dmcrts 12% = -8%
Others------ ---- 23% - = +8%
(Green 10%: = +5%
BNP 5%: = +3% [nb in the North they are eight percent]
(SNP, PC, OTH 5%)
It’s so volatile. it’s anyone’s guess.
xxxxxxxxxxx cs
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CONSERVATIVE HOME 29.5.09
Conservatives benefit from 'cleaning house' (but not until the
General Election)
is sunk for the General Election but the minor parties will do well
on Thursday. The clear out of Conservative MPs is not harming the
party - and perhaps is helping. Very good news.
Tim Montgomerie
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TIMES ON LINE 29.5.09
Poll reveals Labour heading for election humiliation
A total of 62 per cent said Mr Brown's standing had been damaged by
the expenses row
Philip Webster, Political Editor
and appears to have been worse hit than the other parties by the
expenses scandal, an exclusive poll for The Times finds.
Gordon Brown's party is trailing the Conservatives - and
astonishingly - UKIP, according to Populus figures. The Liberal
Democrats, also suffering as a result of the expenses row, appear to
be in fourth place.
The overall general election standings put the Conservatives on 41
per cent, up two per cent since the last Populus poll earlier this
month, Labour on 21 per cent - down five per cent - and the Liberal
Democrats on 15 per cent, down a thumping seven points. But a sharply
different picture emerges when people are asked how they will vote
next Thursday.
The Conservatives fall four points to 30 per cent, compared with
their position of three weeks ago, Labour drop nine points to just 16
per cent, and the Liberal Democrats fall eight points to 12 per cent.
UKIP are the huge beneficiaries, rising 13 points to 19 per cent,
ahead of Labour and the Liberal Democrats. The Greens rise five
points to 10 per cent, and the BNP are up three points at five per cent.
If the poll is reflected in the election results next Sunday there
are bound to be fresh questions over Mr Brown's leadership, although
there is no sign of anyone preparing to challenge him or trying to
remove him
The BNP standing in the North is eight per cent, suggesting that its
hopes of getting an MEP elected in the north-west region may be
realised.
Labour has been heavily wounded by coverage of the expenses
revelations. Asked which party had been worst affected, 35 per cent
said Labour, seven per cent Conservative, and one per cent Liberal
Democrat.
However, 50 per cent said the parties had been equally damaged. Asked
which of the leaders had been most damaged, 62 per cent said Mr
Brown, five per cent Mr Cameron, one per cent Mr Clegg, and 25 per
cent said they had been equally damaged.
Even among Labour supporters, some 50 per cent think Mr Brown is most
badly damaged; and of those planning to switch from Labour to
Conservative, 85 per cent think he is the main casualty.
Asked which leader had been the least damaged, 56 per cent said Mr
Clegg, 27 per cent Mr Cameron and three per cent Mr Brown.
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Full details of the poll will be published in tomorrow's edition of
The Times.
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