Sunday, 7 June 2009

Roger Bootle

Roger Bootle is one of the City's leading economists. In his column he sheds light on how the UK and world economies are performing and the challenges facing the world's policymakers.

LATEST FROM ROGER BOOTLE

Don't write off the deflation danger just yet

When the panic about the world economy was at its peak last autumn, one thing which troubled the markets was the prospect of deflation.

31 May 2009

Beware false dawns, the consumer downturn is still in its early stages

Don't laugh. Last week saw some unexpected good news. Indeed, if you looked only at the retail sales figures, you wouldn't know that we are in a recession. What on earth is going on, asksRoger Bootle.

24 May 2009

A weak pound is essential for UK's recovery

A low pound is essential for the UK's economic recovery and should be a political priority, writes Roger Bootle

17 May 2009

Spring is sprung, green shoots are riz; I wonder where inflation is?

Someone must think that recovery is just around the corner.

03 May 2009

Debt reduction is better done by cuts in spending than raising taxes

There is something odd about the idea that the huge levels of government debt revealed in last week's Budget must imply penury for ever more.

26 Apr 2009

If Budget was a numbers game, the Chancellor lost

As expected, the budget was really a holding operation. The startling thing is that, gargantuan though the forecast borrowing numbers are, they are still likely to prove too low.

23 Apr 2009

Just sketch out the route ahead, Mr Darling, that will be scary enough

It is only five months since poor Alistair Darling had to stand at the despatch box and announce those dreadful borrowing figures in his Pre-Budget Report (PBR). He must now announce numbers which would surely have been beyond his imagination then – and still we won't be sure that this is the worst of it.

19 Apr 2009

Beware talk of recovery

The apparent triumph of last week's G20 summit has coincided with a more optimistic mood in markets.

05 Apr 2009

G20: Our leaders must ensure we don't take the road to a repeat of the 1990s

This week sees another milestone in the continuing saga of the slump – the G20 Summit in London, hosted by our Prime Minister and attended by the heads of government, finance ministers and bank governors of the most important countries in the world. What can we expect from it?

29 Mar 2009

We should thank our lucky stars we escaped the budding eurozone disaster

Not so long ago, political leaders in the eurozone looked at the economic disaster brewing in the United Sates with insouciance – and even a touch of schadenfreude.

15 Mar 2009