Thursday, 3 December 2009
The City's enemies - The Brown government AND Sarkozy
For 13 years Gordon Brown as Chancellor and now Prime Minister has  been cosy and happy in the knowledge that the City of London has been supplying  a vast proportion of his tax receipts simply because they were the best in the  world.   He was so pleased he praised them to the skies: - ,- -
 “Over the ten years I have had the privilege of  addressing you as chancellor, I have been able year by year to record how The  City of London has risen by your efforts, ingenuity and creativity to become a  new world leader  . . . an era that history will record as the beginning of a  new golden age for the City of London.   . . . Britain needs more of the vigour,  ingenuity and aspiration that you already demonstrate that is the hallmark of  your success”.
 Gordon Brown, speaking to an audience of bankers, 20 June  2007”
 Now suddenly bankers are devils incarnate and must be taxed  till the pips squeak,  be regulated until they can’t operate, and their  directors cannot pay what is needed to make the City the profit centre of  Britain again.  Brown and all his government lead the ‘bank bashers’.  This is  because they no longer care what misery they leave behind or whether the vast  hole in our finances can ever be plugged unless the banks are  prosperous.
 Here two strong comments on this daftness are to be  commended.   
 Christina
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 TELEGRAPH  3.12.09
 1. Darling must lead by example if he wants Europe to leave the City  alone
 The row over bonuses at the Royal Bank of Scotland highlights the  impossible and contradictory position Labour has landed itself in. It's the sort  of multi-dimensional mess that a dissembling Government born of spin and  manipulation thoroughly deserves to end its days with.
 By  Damian Reece
 Alistair Darling was in Brussels yesterday. "Leave off the City of  London," was his message to his EU counterparts who seem hell bent on smothering  our biggest industry. He could have added: "Because that's my job." He  cannot accuse Europe of trying to undermine our financial services industry  while doing exactly that himself. Clamping down on investment banking bonuses at  RBS and elsewhere has long been a red herring in tackling the causes of the  credit crunch. It's an inexact science too – as Barclays is now proving by  raising basic pay.
 Reforming the structure of how people are paid is one thing, but being  judge and jury on how much they're paid is quite another. If you want to rebuild  the profitability of banks in relatively short order, then including an  investment banking business is a good way to do it - for RBS probably the only  way. The Government can then think about selling its stakes at a profit. But if  you choose to have one that's successful, you have to pay for the people to work  in it. Would other bankers work at RBS and deliver the required returns for  less? No, I'm afraid they wouldn't.
 If Darling wants banks that are profitable and able to hit lending  targets to help the economy recover, he has to let them work as banks. But  that's politically uncomfortable. He could choose for RBS not to have an  investment bank but he'd have to find a new management team to run it. By  forcing the bank's directors to toe a political line, such as vetoing bonuses  for staff, Darling would be asking them to work against the interests of RBS's  other shareholders, which is illegal.
 If Darling wants the EU to leave the City alone he has to lead by example  and show Brussels what he means. What sliver of credibility he has left is  utterly undermined by any other approach.
 2. City more threatened by Britain's political masters than Sarkozy  and Brussels
 London's position as one of the world's premier financial centres has  been the envy of Paris for generations. Ever since the Napoleonic wars, when  high finance was harnessed to the purpose of France's eventual defeat, the  French political class has hated, feared and admired the City in equal  measure.
 By Jeremy Warner 
 No  one embodies this bi-polar view of London better than President Nicolas Sarkozy,  one of whose many ambitions is to recreate the City's success in global finance  in the image of Versailles. I'm told he even has a most un-Gallic plan of tax  breaks lined up to attract the high priests of finance to the elegance of Paris  – only, for political reasons, he daren't unveil them quite yet. With his  popularist hat on, he condemns the excesses of Anglo-Saxon finance and announces  the final triumph of the European economic model. But behind the scenes he's  planning to steal London's dinner.
 Fortunately for him, Britain's political masters seem to be doing their  utmost to help him out. The tax and regulatory advantages of London as a  financial centre are being put sharply into reverse, while the electioneering  around bonuses threatens permanent damage to international  competitiveness.
 Rivals are sniggering behind their hands at this extraordinary display of  self-harm. But it's worse than that. By threatening to cap bonuses at RBS, the  Government is, for political purposes, recklessly gambling with more than £50bn  of taxpayer investment in the troubled bank. What solvency and profits are  left at RBS come entirely from investment banking interests; yet, oblivious to  the consequences for the public finances, the Government seems in its search for  votes intent only on destroying them.
 In  Brussels, Mr Sarkozy has found a new stick with which to beat the City for his  own advantage, or hopes he has anyway. As the French president has proclaimed,  the Brits have lost out to France for the most important position in the  European Union governing finance – internal markets.
 With French nationals now dominating many of the top posts in  international policy, including Dominique Strauss-Kahn at the International  Monetary Fund, Pascal Lamy at the World Trade Organisation and Jean-Claude  Trichet at the European Central Bank, it is small wonder the French premier  should think he's about to reverse nearly two centuries of shame.
 Yet  therein lies the flaw in Mr Sarkozy's ambitions for Paris as a financial centre.  Down the ages, France and Britain have defined themselves as much through their  rivalry as their intrinsic differences in language and culture.
 France regards itself as the antithesis of Britain, which is why Paris  would never have the attributes necessary for a successful trading centre. It  would be thought too compromising, dangerous, vulgar, short termist and, yes,  Anglo-Saxon.
 There are lots of highly successful French financiers, while French  bankers are whizzes at the creation of complex derivative securities. Yet  crucially, most of them operate elsewhere in the world. French nationals who are  any good at finance tend fast to turn native, which means not  French.
 Mr  Sarkozy's ambitions for Paris should therefore be taken with a large pinch of  salt. Yet if he can't have European finance, there's always the fall-back  position of destroying it for everyone else.
 Thus far, London has been relatively successful in snuffing out some of  the more stupid initiatives to eminate from Brussels. But it is a constant  battle and, as Lord Myners, the City minister, admits, just knowing who to talk  to in this largely unaccountable bureaucracy is a nightmare in  itself.
 In  the end, however, engagement usually pays, even when political influences  hostile to Anglo-Saxon finance are pulling the strings. The new internal markets  commissioner may be a former French agricultural minister of left-leaning  persuasion, but his top civil servant is a Brit.
 Personally, I'm not as worried by Brussels as others. Europe seems to me  to be more of a tiresome irritant, like a constantly demanding dog with a  terrible propensity to get the wrong end of the stick, than a real threat. The  real danger for the City comes not from the dead hand of Europe, still less the  fantasies of Sarkozy, but from London itself, where bank bashing has reached  destructive proportions.
 For  whatever reasons, Alistair Darling, the Chancellor, has been a good deal more  guarded and responsible in his public remarks about the City than many of his  political opponents. Yet actions always speak louder than words, and on this  front Britain is bizarrely and suicidally leading from the front in the charge  against international banking.
 Regulatory reform is meant to be happening on a coordinated and uniform  basis across the G20, but the Financial Services Authority (FSA) is determined  not to wait for the others and has started imposing stringent new capital and  liquidity controls with abandon.
 New  forms of regulation are being introduced unilaterally in a manner which is not  just harmful to the City's competitiveness but also further restricts credit  provision and therefore slows the recovery. Other countries are taking a  healthier view, which is that reform can wait until the banking system and the  economy have mended themselves.
 It  is as if Gordon "Britain leads the world" Brown has shouted "over the top lads"  only to find there's no one behind him. While the City is being mowed down on  the battlefields of Flanders, everyone else is laughing in the  trenches.
 One  investment banker regulated out of London tells me he has lost a number of  recent transactions to Goldman Sachs because the capital demanded by the FSA was  too great. The business and liquidity instead ended up in New York, where a  gentler approach was applied. The Americans seem to have learned a thing or too  from the over-reaction of Sarbanes-Oxley after the last meltdown. They don't  intend to make the same mistake again.
 Add  to that Labour's Damascene re-discovery of the lost art of taxing the rich until  the pips squeak – expect more of that in next week's pre-Budget report – and you  have the whole catastrophe. You might reasonably think all this is a justified  reaction to the economic collapse, but to do so would be to misunderstand the  causes of the banking crisis.
 The  real mischief took place not on the trading floors of the City, but in the  over-expansion of plain vanilla commercial and mortgage lending among  conventional retail banks such as RBS, HBOS and Northern Rock. Britain needs the  City to help restore the economy and the public finances. Sometimes it seems  that the covetous Nicolas Sarkozy understands this better than our own  politicians.
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