newnations.com
Monthly reports on finance, business, trade,
economics, & political analysis
NEWNATIONS BULLETIN 14 DECEMBER 2009
AFTER COPENHAGEN THERE IS NO PLAN 'B'
Many thousands of words have been written about climate change and the conference now in progress in Copenhagen. We add our comments because there seems to be no real sense of crisis, and short of nuclear war which is possible but not likely, the rapid deterioration of our climate is already happening. The outcomes, quite as disastrous for the world's teeming millions, need to be understood. Our concerns have always been primarily about democracy and we see the greatest dangers to this, stemming from inactivity on a scale that would fail to meet the minimum requirements for the survival of tolerable human life, as we have known it. If citizens were to take matters into their own hands, the 'haves' in 'conditions of survival' terms, would have every reason to fear the proliferating 'have nots.'
Nuclear war, or a meteorite collision with our planet, the only parallels that suggest themselves, would be highly dramatic events, more so than temperatures rising incrementally year on year, sea levels inexorably rising, populations streaming away from low-lying coastal areas, not just in one country, but in continents. This is not just a matter of the earlier victims, poor unfortunate Bangladesh, or the Maldives, or the Solomons.
The effect of sea levels two feet higher than now - and continuing to rise would radically change the map of all coastal nations, as estuaries flooded their hinterland and refugees flooded the world. The effect on world agriculture of the fierce predicted changes in climate is almost unthinkable.
There have been enough disaster movies in the last fifty years that imagination has available a number of helpful clues about what to expect. But disaster movies come to an end and seldom show people themselves, destroying their own means of survival!
If the temperature continues to rise without the artificial processes being halted, then reversal will become harder, to the point of impossibility.
We invite our readers to look at the probable future if action is insufficient.
Also published on our blog:
GEOPOLEMICS where readers comments are invited