Sunday, 18 April 2010

APRIL 16TH, 2010 15:09

Hung Parliament: markets say 'so what?'

According to the conventional wisdom in the City, a hung parliament would be the worst of all worlds for Britain’s economy. It could cause executive gridlock which would prevent the Government mapping out a decisive plan to put right the public finances. This, in turn, would make a credit rating downgrade all the more likely, which in turn would increase the prospects of a UK fiscal crisis of the Greek variety.

If the initial polls are to be believed (and of course they ought always to be taken with a pinch of salt), last night’s performance on the inaugural television debate makes a hung parliament all the more likely. According to Michael Saunders of Citigroup: “with three weeks to go, the… Read More