Wednesday, 7 April 2010

 Jerusalem Center / ICA - Jerusalem Issue Brief 
Subject: Is Israel Facing War with Hizbullah and Syria? - David Schenker - Vol. 9, No. 22
Date: Tuesday, April 6, 2010, 11:08 AM

 The full article is in the attached pdf file or you can go to our website:  http://www.jcpa.org/.

 
  
Vol. 9, No. 22    6 April 2010  

 

Is Israel Facing War with Hizbullah and Syria ?
  
David Schenker
  
  • Concerns about Israeli hostilities with Hizbullah are nothing new, but based on recent pronouncements from Syria, if the situation degenerates, fighting could take on a regional dimension not seen since 1973.
  • On February 26, Syrian President Bashar Assad hosted Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Hizbullah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Damascus . Afterward, Hizbullah's online magazine Al Intiqad suggested that war with Israel was on the horizon.
  • Raising tensions further are reports that Syria has provided Hizbullah with the advanced, Russian-made, shoulder-fired, Igla-S anti-aircraft missile, which could inhibit Israeli air operations over Lebanon in a future conflict. The transfer of this equipment had previously been defined by Israeli officials as a "red line."
  • In the summer of 2006, Syria sat on the sidelines as Hizbullah fought Israel to a standstill. After the war, Assad, who during the fighting received public assurances from then-Prime Minister Olmert that Syria would not be targeted, took credit for the "divine victory."
  • Damascus' support for "resistance" was on full display at the Arab Summit in Libya in late March 2010, where Assad urged Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas to abandon U.S.-supported negotiations and "take up arms against Israel ."
  • After years of diplomatic isolation, Damascus has finally broken the code to Europe , and appears to be on the verge of doing so with the Obama administration as well. Currently, Syria appears to be in a position where it can cultivate its ties with the West without sacrificing its support for terrorism.