Tuesday, 20 April 2010

VOLCANOGATE-A TOTAL SHAMBLES-INCOMPETENCE-IGNORANCE-BIAS-NEGLECT-RUN BY SCOUNDRELS AND RASCALS-NO REGARD FOR THE PEOPLE!


VOLCANOGATE

THE SAGA OF VOLCANIC ASH.....

Further Update news from bbc-itv-newsnight
it dreports on the total insanity of the 
UK Governments decisions..by way of
ignorance -bias -neglect
TOTAL INCOMPETENCE.
dont miss Paxman questioning Lord Adonis
15 minutes in


20.4.2010  Up date news report 
18.4.2010  Up dated news report

Sheer Incompetence, Neglect, Ignorance of the Executive within the UK Government, its civil service, The EU and its total inability to react to an emergency,if that existed:
see various articles below

1 The Air analysis was based on modules and not proven.
2 Tests by test flights have stated no threat to Plane Safety
3 U.S.A.F.E and a number of E.U. Countries were flying air-flight war games during relevant period over EU Countries
4 Insurances to Aeroplane operators may well have been withdrawn, thereby acting as a
Catalyst to activate said crisis
5 The decision making processes are out of U.K control, since U.K air-flights controlled by N A T S, governed by EU Commission.

Thus, the U.K. esteemed leader and his bunch of co horts,refusing to admit a total "cock-up", leave stranded 150,000-200,000 travellers, cost the airlines £150 mill.-£200 mill. per day.

He calls upon the Dunkirk Spirit...Bring in the Navy...

and the total M.S.M are SILENT, IGNORANT,BIASED NEGLECTFUL ALL INCOMPETENT SAVE A FEW EXCEPTIONS.

OH WONDERFUL UK POLITICOS,CIVIL SERVANTS, OH WONDERFUL EU BUREAUCRATS.

Truly, all our so called leaders and their cabal are beyond a joke, sadlee leaving the U.K Citizens well and truly up S**T CREEK.

WELCOME TO 2010 DEMOCRACY.

If your an AIRLINE!!!

You can't LET YOUR PLANES

fly through the Volcanic Ash

without Insurance


Boeing and Lockhead wont Insure Planes

if one flies through Ash?-

suggested by Andrew Neill on Daily Politics

this morning.


ahaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!

As the cloud thickens, some pilots are asking... 

Why can't we just fly beneath it?



19th April 2010

Few could have guessed the impact of eruptions from a volcano 1,000 miles away under the Eyjafjallajoekull glacier in Iceland.

Last Wednesday, we found out. At mid-morning, the high-level cloud of volcanic ash had spread across the Atlantic and was approaching Scotland. Flight operations in Aberdeen, Edinburgh and Glasgow were suspended.

By midday the whole of British airspace was closed down. It has remained so ever since.

Earge 
Volcano

Danger: Smoke and ash billow from a volcano in Eyjafjallajokul. The ash reaches up to 35,00ft

At first it was all rather thrilling. Suddenly, city-dwellers looked up to clear quiet skies, without a vapour trail or a glint of sun hitting metal in sight.

But now hours have turned into days and, though few are willing to admit it, days could just as easily turn into weeks… or perhaps longer.

 

Thousands of flights have been cancelled, hundreds of thousands of passengers stranded and frustrated. The cost to airlines climbs through the millions of pounds with each passing moment.

Tune into the latest updates on-line or on television and there is an inescapable doomsday feel to it all, with graphics of a shadowy mass spreading across the outline of our island.

It is something we have, for the most part, simply accepted. After all, this isn’t some work and conditions dispute that can be argued out is it? We just have to sit it out don’t we?

Anyone in any doubt of the wisdom or necessity of this nationwide grounding is promptly reminded of what happened to BA Flight 009.


 
Volcano

No fly: Planes parked on the tarmac of the closed Cologne-Bonn airport

That was the jumbo jet en route from Kuala Lumpur to Perth on June 24, 1982, flying at 37,000ft when it suddenly experienced the nightmare scenario of all four engines failing.

Pilot Captain Eric Moody glided the jet down more than 20,000ft before he successfully managed to restart one engine at 13,000ft followed by others, before landing safely.

The aircraft had flown into a cloud of volcanic ash from the eruption of Mt Galunggung in Indonesia. There are other incidents too that can be cited.

On December 15, 1989, a KLM jumbo lost all four engines when it flew into a cloud that turned out to be volcanic ash while descending to Anchorage, Alaska. The engines resumed working and the aircraft landed safely, but badly damaged.

In 1991, Mt Pinatubo in the Philippines erupted, and more than 20 ‘volcanic ash encounters’ occurred from what was then the largest volcanic eruption of the past 50 years.

The ability to predict where ash was to be found was challenging because of the enormous extent of the ash cloud. Commercial flights and various military operations were affected. One US operator grounded its aircraft in Manila for several days.


 
Volcano

The sun sets behind the air traffic control tower at East Midlands Airport last night

Six years later, when Mt Popocatepetl in Mexico blew, there were several incidents. Although damage was minor in most cases, one flight crew experienced significantly reduced visibility for landing and had to look through the flight deck side windows to taxi after landing.

In addition, the airport in Mexico City was closed for up to 24 hours on several occasions during subsequent intermittent eruptions.

Each of these incidents was distinct and separate. And the action taken in response was distinct and separate. But that is where a gap begins to emerge between this history marshalled as reason for the current blanket grounding and the situation in which we find ourselves today.

It was these incidents that had the international aviation community look at procedures and guidelines in the event of volcanic eruption. One very sensible outcome was to increase observations and reporting.

The Galunggung incident had happened simply because no one had warned Captain Moody of the erupting volcano. Had he known about it, he could easily have changed course and avoided it.

Over the past few days we have been led to believe that grounding all planes is inevitable. That there is absolutely no alternative. But that just isn’t true.


Volcano

Europe at a stand-still: Smoke and lava are seen as a volcano erupts in Eyjafjallajokul. Activity could continue for days or even months to come

What we are witnessing here is not a natural law, enshrined since time immemorial but a policy drawn up by the International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) and then interpreted and enforced by the UK’s National Air Traffic Service (NATS). And that interpretation requires some scrutiny.

In September 2009 the ICAO published their ‘Contingency plan for handling traffic in the event of volcanic ash penetrating the airspace of North Atlantic Region’.

In many respects the guidelines are highly detailed though they make no distinction at all between major or relatively modest eruptions.

Nor do they take into account the dilution effect as the cloud spreads from the original point. The only reference is to generic dust clouds, without any attempt to carry out a risk assessment.

Using as its model the largest and most dangerous of Icelandic volcanoes, the Katla volcano, it offered a series of procedures for monitoring and tracking volcano ash clouds and ‘advice’ to be given to airlines in the event of a volcano eruption.

This current eruption is a relatively modest affair – certainly not at all in the league of Katla.

Yet it is worth noting that for even the most serious of foreseen eruptions the plan issued by the IOCA involved re-routing aircraft round, or under, dust plumes.

 
Volcano

The control tower at Edinburgh Airport as restrictions on flights in and out of the UK remain in place

We have been scared into believing that to fly would be madness, but part of the rationale that is keeping us grounded is an economic equation rather than simple personal safety.

To fly beneath the cloud until clear of it would mean burning more fuel. But not flying at all is surely burning money more swiftly.

Low-flying to simply avoid the danger of ash being sucked into the jet engines is a temporary solution gaining currency on professional pilot’s forum Pprune. One pilot writing there yesterday pointed out: ‘The chances of it even appearing at puddle jumper altitudes is negligible’.

It isn’t just daredevil pilots who are beginning to question the necessity of the current stalemate. Steve Wood, Chief Pilot at Sussex and Surrey Air Ambulance, yesterday described the measures being taken as ‘a complete overreaction’.

Modern jet aircraft engines are amazingly robust. And indeed they must be so. They have to face not only the hazards of bird strikes, but rain, hail and even salt spray on take-off from coastal airports.

All of which can potentially wreak havoc on engines. Furthermore, sand is a common hazard from dust storms and from desert airfields.

Some aircraft are better equipped than others to deal with high-dust conditions, and consultation with aircraft and engine manufacturers might have enabled more precise restrictions to be imposed, rather than a blanket ban.

But a spokesman for NATS admitted: ‘We don’t really deal with particular manufacturers.’ They were more concerned with ‘applying the international regulations’ rather than working on a specific plane-by-plane, make-by-make basis.

The blanket ban under clear blue skies and glorious sunshine is making some wonder whether this ‘one-size-fits-all’ regulation is appropriate to a situation that the regulations did not foresee.

And there will be many among the 200,000 Britons currently stranded abroad, who would be quite happy to take the risk.

In the final analysis, despite the scares, no one has actually been killed in a volcano incident – something which cannot be said for the much more hazardous drive to the airport.

Richard North is co-author of Scared To Death – From BSE To Global Warming: Why Scares Are Costing Us The Earth.


My article in the Mail on Sunday seems to have evoked a substantial number of hostile and some abusive comments.

Right now, though, my view that the complete closure of UK (and European) airspace might have been an over-reaction seems to be gaining some support, with reports such as this in theLos Angeles Times and Flight International, the latter talking of a "backlash".

It seems also that UK airline pilots arequestioning the ban, with their union BALPA seeking clarification on whether the UK air navigation service NATS and the country's meteorological office have consulted with other authorities experienced in ash-cloud analysis.

"Pilots will want to know on what basis the decision to re-open is being taken," says BALPA general secretary Jim McAuslan, adding that the union needs to understand the specific criteria involved and whether the safety assessment is founded on computer models or flight-testing. 

This is something of a loaded statement, as all the indications are that assessments are made primarily on the basis of computer models. They are run by the London Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre, part of the Met Office – the very same that brought us computer modelled global warming.

The model used is called the NAME atmospheric dispersion model. This, and similar models, we are told, are well proven and are used to predict the spread of pollutants following a chemical or nuclear leak or even the spread of airborne diseases. Thus, this is a model initially devised for a different purpose, forecasting the spread of volcanic ash plumes.

What is interesting us that the FAA in the United States uses a different model, operated by NOAA, called HYSPLIT. But it also seems to be the case that reliance is also placed on actual airborne sampling, in making grounding decisions.

For the moment, though, the politicians are relying on Met Office advice, with Lord Adonis at pains to tell the media yesterday that its view was that it was still not safe to fly. But, with BA also having carried out a test flight and reporting no adverse effects, this stance is getting harder to sustain.

Thus, the situation is no longer being left to the bureaucrats and is entering the political domain, with even the Tories taking a view. Shadow Transport Secretary Theresa Villiers has issued an eight point plan to tackle the crisis.

EU Transport Commissioner Siim Kallas is feeling the pressure, declaring that the current situation of air travel chaos in Europe is "not sustainable", while British ministers are openly stating that EU ministers must review the rules.

And therein lie the clues that we are not entirely our own masters on this. The plan we are working to comes within the EU's "single sky" framework and is dictated by Eurocontrol, on the back of IACO guidelines.

This gives our prime minister very little flexibility, as he will have to defer to his European masters, rather than act unilaterally. Nevertheless, he is chairing a meeting of the emergency COBRA committee this morning, and may have some news to offer the hard-pressed aviation industry and its customers.

Having now moved to the top of the news agenda, the issue is displacing much of the election news, but may itself become an election issue – possibly to Mr Brown's advantage, who has the opportunity to grab the attention and the headlines, as he comes to the "rescue" once again.

But what neither he nor the Tories will point out that the very guidelines that have created this mess were brokered by the EU, under the aegis of Eurocontrol, and that we have very little room for manoeuvre. Clearly, a general election period is not the right time to trouble voters with such details.

ICELAND'S REVENGE THREAD


Series of events re European Control  

Sunday 18.4.2010.

 

Richard.  I have just read your piece below on your blog, and thinking
about what Brown mentioned today on TV when he mentioned the EU
(basically in passing) on the subject of the present ash from the
volcano, I wondered if the EU had decided to "shut down" EU Zones
under the Single European Sky?   I know NATS is highly involved-no
doubt about that, but is the closing down of our skies (Or at least
the sky over "EU Territory
")
 also come under the EU?  And does that
decision rest entirely with the EU?  NATS surely has more charge every
where and anywhere 'planes are at any particular time? But this
situation is surely a different matter altogether, even though it is
concerned with the safety of 'planes and its passengers?   Or, am I
completely 'up the pole?  Anne

From Off Richard North’s Blog yesterday. 18.4.2010.


Air travel across much of Europe was paralysed for a fourth day on
Sunday by a huge cloud of volcanic ash, but Dutch and German test
flights carried out without apparent damage seem to offer some hope of
respite says Reuters.

Dutch airline KLM said overnight inspection of an airliner after a
test flight showed no damage to engines or other parts from ash in the
atmosphere. Lufthansa also reported problem-free test flights, while
Italian and French carriers announced they would be flying empty
airliners on Sunday to assess conditions.

KLM, acting on a European Union request, flew a Boeing 737-800 without
passengers at the regular altitude of 10 km (6 miles) and up to the 13
km maximum on Saturday. Germany's Lufthansa said it flew 10 empty
planes to Frankfurt from Munich at altitudes of up to 8 km.

"We have not found anything unusual and no irregularities, which
indicates the atmosphere is clean and safe to fly," said a spokeswoman
for KLM, which is part of Air France-KLM. German airline Air Berlin
said it had also carried out test flights and expressed irritation at
the shutdown of European air space.

"We are amazed that the results of the test flights done by Lufthansa
and Air Berlin have not had any bearing on the decision-making of the
air safety authorities," Chief Executive Joachim Hunold said. "The
closure of the air space happened purely because of the data of a
computer simulation at the Volcanic Ash Advisory Center in London," he
told the mass circulation Bild am Sonntag paper.

So, the whole of the shutdown is based on a computer simulation that
bears no relation to reality. Does that remind us of anything?

                            **************************

Anne. We are most definitely talking about Eurocontrol 


 
Photos
Previous ImageNext Image
RAF Mildenhall KC-135 refuels French fighter
RAF MILDENHALL, England – A French Mirage F1 fighter refuels off a 100th Air Refueling Wing KC-135 during Exercise BRILLIANT ARDENT April 14. The large scale NATO Response Force Air Live Exercise hosted by Germany began April 12 and will run through April 22. Participation by U.S. Air Forces in Europe units directly aligns with the command key mission areas of providing forces for global operations and building partnership. (U.S. Air Force photo/Staff Sgt. Austin M. May)
Download HiRes
USAFE units participate in BRILLIANT ARDENT 2010

Posted 4/14/2010   Updated 4/15/2010 

by Master Sgt. Keith Houin
USAFE/PA

4/14/2010 - RAMSTEIN, Germany -- The 22nd Fighter Squadron at Spangdhalem Air Base and 351st Air Refueling Squadron from RAF Mildenhall are partnering with air forces from the Czech Republic, France, Germany, Italy, Poland, and Turkey to participate in Exercise BRILLIANT ARDENT 10.

The large scale NATO Response Force Air Live Exercise hosted by Germany began April 12 and will run through April 22. Participation by U.S. Air Forces in Europe units directly aligns with the command key mission areas of providing forces for global operations and building partnership.

Sixty aircraft ranging from fighters, attack aircraft, helicopters, tanker and airborne early warning aircraft are operating from air bases located in Germany, the Czech Republic, France, Poland, and UK.

In addition to air assets, tactical employment of Theater Missile Defense and Ground Based Air Defense assets will be extensively exercised. 

The aim of BAT 10 is to train, test, integrate and validate the interoperability, readiness and capabilities of NATO Response Force 15 nominated air forces and associated command structures by exercising NRF missions and tasks in a challenging and realistic scenario. 

The exercise is also open to "non NRF" air units from NATO, as well as Partnership for Peace nations, and provides an outstanding training opportunity. The exercise scenario is based around a United Nations mandated NATO-led Crisis Response Operation in a fictitious geo-political setting, a scenario specifically designed for this exercise.

The NRF concept provides the Alliance with a robust capability to meet the challenging security environment of the 21st century by providing a highly trained and agile force, at high readiness, able to deploy at short notice wherever and whenever directed to do so by the North Atlantic Council. 

The NRF comprises deployable NATO Land, Maritime and Air Forces provided by Nations on a rotational basis. Training of the force is both essential and continual in order to maintain assigned forces at peak readiness. It is only through exercises such as BAT 10 that NRF forces can be operationally certified as trained, capable and ready to fulfill the NRF mission.

Gordon Brown calls meeting over ash cloud flight chaos 

BBC News - ‎18 minutes ago‎
Gordon Brown is meeting ministers to discuss the impact of flight restrictions imposed after volcanic ash from Iceland drifted over the UK. ...

European airlines send up test flights despite ash 

The Associated Press - Arthur Max - ‎2 hours ago‎
The ash began spewing from an Icelandic volcano Wednesday and has drifted across most of Europe, shutting down airports as far south and east as Bulgaria. ...


Cowardly Europe has lost its nerve over volcano ash and this absurd air travel ban

Posted by Bruno Waterfield in categories Ban nothing, EU, Precautionary principle on April 19th, 2010


It looks as if the European Union’s famous precautionary principle is behind this absurdly risk averse air travel ban.
Writing for the Guardian, Simon Jenkins observes: 
“The truth is that putting large, heavy bits of metal into the air is just too much for the psyche of modern regulators. 
They panic. 
The slightest risk cannot be taken or someone might blame the regulators, whose job is not to assess risk but avert it. 
Even an airline company, with everything to lose, is not allowed to assess its own risk.”

Frank Furedi on Spiked: “The eruption of a volcano in Iceland poses technical problems, for which responsible decision-makers should swiftly come up with sensible solutions. 

But instead, Europe has decided to turn a problem into a drama. 

In 50 years’ time, historians will be writing about our society’s reluctance to act when practical problems arose. 

It is no doubt difficult to face up to a natural disaster – but in this case it is the all-too-apparent manmade disaster brought on by indecision and a reluctance to engage with uncertainty that represents the real threat to our future.”

EU transport ministers hold emergency talks this afternoon over air travel crisis this afternoon and there is growing anger that European authorities panicked and closed down the skies unnecessarily.

UPDATE – THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION INTERVENES: 
Europe should reduce its volcanic ash flight ban to “several dozen kilometres” around Iceland and rethink the Met Office science behind the current no fly restrictions, said a senior European Commission official today. 

Matthias Ruete, the Commission’s director general of transport, criticised national air traffic authorities for relying on a single source of scientific evidence for the four day ban, which has created a major aviation crisis. 

“The science behind the model we are running at the moment is based on certain assumptions where we do not have clear scientific evidence,” he said. 

“We don’t even know what density the cloud should be in order to affect jet engines. 

We have a model that runs on mathematical projections.” 

“It is probability rather than actual things happening.”

The Dutch have led the way to accuse Europe, in the form of the intergovernmental Eurocontrol, of over reacting to the volcano ash cloud and are pushing to restore flights. KLM and Lufthansa, which held test flights over the weekend (give those pilots a medal) say that most of Europe’s skies are safe.

European air control authorities at Eurocontrol have admitted that they have interpreted international guidelines “more rigorously” than the US.

Here’s Camiel Eurlings, the Dutch transport minister: 
“I do not think that Europe needs to be stricter than a country such as America, where you have a lot of volcanoes erupting. 

Those people have a lot of  experience and do not close the whole airspace. 

If we remain on the present course, then I predict we will remain in this misery for a very long time. 

That will not help travellers or the air sector and it is probably not necessary.”

Lufthansa, rightly furious over this disaster, has said it was “scandalous” to impose a ban based on limited data from virtual computer modelling rather than real flights testing safety.
A spokesman said: “We found no damage to the engines, fuselage or cockpit windows. This is why we are urging the aviation authorities to run more test flights rather than relying on computer models.”

Giovanni Bisignani, the head of IATA, has been on the BBC this morning to accuse the Europeans of creating a “mess”, of banning flights without a proper risk assessment and of not showing leadership. 
He is right.

Europe has lost its nerve. 

It relied on UN and British Met Office computer simulations rather than real science,
that is testability, samples and experimental test flights. America, which has its own volcanoes, as Mr Eurlings observed, uses a different system that, backed by test flights, aims to keep the air travel moving.

It took pilots (who led the fight back, first at KLM and Lufthansa, then at Air France and British Airways) and airlines to make the tests that could challenge the tyranny of experts who use theoretical models and the precautionary principle to make policy, this time at an obviously huge and unacceptable cost.

A big part of the problem is the powerful, deeply conservative and risk averse environmentalist strain (or should it be stain?) in European politics.

This political development has catapulted the expert – especially the climate scientist – to the top of a hierarchy that tells us how to run our lives based on the principle that human activity, if it is not downright negative, carries huge risks.

Naturally, these crazy green anti-humanist types have celebrated the volcano as scoring a long overdue victory by nature over us horrible humans, with all our nasty civilisation and progress such as air travel, a particular bug bear for environmentalists.

Here’s the intro from a British newspaper, the Observer: “The eruption in Iceland and the ash cloud that has brought our airlines to a standstill give us a true picture of our standing in nature. [...] 

By colonising the space above our heads and above much of our continent, the eruption provides a reminder of our status in relation to our planet and over which we have arrogantly seized stewardship. 

We imagine ourselves its master and yet with one modest belch it hems us into our little island, sweeping instantly from the skies the aeroplane, which we consider to be an example of the irrepressible genius of our species.”

Thankfully, some brave Dutch, German, French and British pilots did not swallow this kind of defeatist nonsense and were ready to risk test flights that have challenged mindless orthodoxy and the tyranny of the experts.
They are true Europeans.

POSTSCRIPTUM I am pleased to be back here after a long break, for reasons too tedious to go into.
I cannot resist signing off with some of the bleats and sniffling from MEPs who have not got the gumption to get in a car and to drive to Strasbourg. 

There is no excuse for them not to show up this evening.

Here is Sonia Alfano MEP: “As regard my situation it would be very hazardous and risky to attend the plenary because I need to take 3 flights. EP can not clearly vote under these circumstances. 

It seems that maintaining the plenary in spite of rationality consideration, would be the result of pressure from some countries. 

I hope it’s not true, it would say we (MEPs, assistants, officials and other servants of the European parliament) are properly taken as hostages for political consideration. It’s clearly unacceptable.”

Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert MEP (who is not showing the same grit as KLM): “Can we have a realit-y check please? 

What about all these passengers trying to find their way home/destination (already for days) and us causing even more burden on trains, roads etc.? European citizens will be furious if they’ll find about this, and rightly so.”

Um, well, I think European citizens will be more annoyed to know that an Italian and a Dutch MEP cannot stir their stumps to board a train and or to get on the motorway to Strasbourg.

12 Comments


Monday, 19 April 2010

Knee-Jerk No Fly Ban Discredits Global Warming Alarmists


Fearmongering by Met Office voodoo scientists about planes

 dropping out of the sky contradicted by numerous successful 

test flights


Paul Joseph Watson
Propaganda Matrix
Monday, April 19, 2010



 





With European governments coming under increasing pressure from airline groups to re-open airspace following dozens of successful test flights directly through the volcano ash cloud, it appears as if the infamous UK MET Office, which relies on similar voodoo science in proliferating its fearmongering about global warming, has once again been completely discredited at a cost of widespread chaos on top of hundreds of millions of dollars a day in lost revenue.

As the Telegraph points out today, "Volcanoes have pumped ash plumes of this size and bigger into the atmosphere many times in the past without turning an entire continent into a no-fly zone."

Now International Air Transport Association chief Giovanni Bisignani has slammed the no fly ban as an "embarrassment."

“It took five days to organise a conference call with the ministers of transport. Europeans are still using a system that's based on a theoretical model, instead of taking a decision based on facts and risk assessment," said Bisignani.

"This decision (to close airspace) has to be based on facts and supported by risk assessment. We need to replace this blanket approach with a practical approach."

The knee-jerk ban on all air travel was imposed firstly in the UK on Thursday by the National Air Traffic Services company as a consequence of advice from the UK MET Office, a quasi-governmental metrological outfit which is closely connected with the UK Ministry of Defence.

The MET Office was deeply embroiled in the Climategate scandal, and as a result were forced to re-examine 160 years of temperature data before they can make their next prediction on climate change, a process that won't be completed until 2012.

The MET Office has constantly proved that it cannot even accurately predict the immediate weather forecast, never mind temperature models a hundred years into the future. The MET Office infamously predicted last year that the UK would enjoy a "barbeque summer" and a "mild winter". This was followed by disastrously wet July and August before the UK suffered one of its coldest and most severe winters in decades.

The MET Office gravely warned that the ash from the volcano would cause jet engines to fail by melting and then congealing in the turbines, but airlines have now flown multiple test flights directly through the ash cloud and safely landed with no ill effects whatsoever.

"Lufthansa and Air France’s KLM unit reported successful testing of flights without passengers during the weekend, and Air France said an inspection of an Airbus A320 flown yesterday from Paris to Toulouse showed “no anomalies,”reports Bloomberg.

KLM and Lufthansa conducted no less than 10 flights each without incident. "Airlines that have carried out test flights say planes showed no obvious damage after flying through the ash," reports the BBC.

A British Airways Boeing 747 also safely conducted a test flight through the no fly zone on Sunday.

Steven Verhagen, vice-president of the Dutch Airline Pilots Association, told the Associated Press news agency: "In our opinion there is absolutely no reason to worry about resuming flights."

Authorities have been "criticised for imposing rules which were based on theory rather than practical evidence," which sounds like a charge that could be leveled against any of the measures imposed in the name of alleviating global warming, which have proven to be based on voodoo science in light of the Climategate scandal.

Indeed, it seems that European air travel has completely ground to halt, costing hundreds of millions in lost revenue every day, while leaving thousands of people stranded in remote areas with no means of returning home, as a result of a "precaution" that remains in place despite the fact it's been soundly rubbished by the safe return of dozens of test flights.

London Telegraph blogger James Delingpole satirically scorns this "Precautionary Principle" in his article today while making the analogy to global warming.

"Has anyone else noticed that since the eruption of the Ejyerkslllbjorkscreeylllkkrctarslyllgrgleglugglug volcano not a single plane over Europe has crashed, been involved in a terrorist incident or caused any of passengers on board an aircraft any discomfort whatsoever?" he writes.

"I suggest we ground all passenger aircraft forever. On the Precautionary Principle....Do you see now, why the precautionary principle makes sense? When we apply it regularly all we have to lose is our money, our freedom and our sanity."

The chaos is costing airlines an estimated figure of $300 million dollars a day, a massive blow considering many were only just beginning to get back on their feet after the global recession. Airline and travel stocks plunged today, some by well over 6 per cent, as the market reacted to delays that some are saying could continue for weeks or even months.

Now the MET Office has gazed once more into its crystal ball and predicted that the deadly ash cloud is heading towards Canada and the U.S.

Will American and Canadian authorities exercise the same misplaced trust in the discredited MET Office and as a result threaten to derail an embryonic economic recovery? To be relying on atmospheric data from a body that has proven itself over and over again to be an outlet for bias, spectacularly inaccurate and agenda-driven science is a complete joke and cooler heads need to prevail before this stupidity drags on any longer.

The cracks have started to show in the official edifice, with a senior EU commission apparatichik declaring that the flight restrictions in response to the Icelandic volcano were "excessive". 

Thus, Bruno Waterfield told us, Matthias Ruete, the commission's director general of transport, thought that the no-fly zone should be restricted to "several dozen kilometres" around Iceland, and the Met Office science should be re-evaluated.

"The science behind the model we are running at the moment is based on certain assumptions where we do not have clear scientific evidence," said Ruete. "We don't even know what density the cloud should be in order to affect jet engines. We have a model that runs on mathematical projections. It is probability rather than actual things happening."

We also learn from Mr Ruete that the commission was "forced" yesterday to intervene with national authorities to "unblock the mess" and to allow airlines to fly test flights to check the Met Office data. 

"In a case where, we do not have the data it is a tremendous and terrible responsibility for the authorities to say, 'oh well go on up'. That is why test flights are so important to have some kind of empirical evidence to help us move on from the mathematical model," he said. 

However, as Bruno notes, the very fact that the flight restrictions exist is because of the European system, where national and European authorities are compelled to act on Met Office's advice, even if it is limited to mathematical modelling. This is the effect of the EU's Single European Skywhich turns ICAO "guidelines" into mandatory requirements, through a multilateral agreement on co-operation of air traffic management.

The problems arises through the guidelines which, during a volcano eruption, effectively turn "the forecast furthest extent of the ash cloud" into the exclusion zone, without reference to particle density or character. 

By this means, we end up with a technician in the Met Office running a computer model, the output of which closes down UK civil aviation and much of Europe. But the system exists only because the EU has agreed it, and imposes it on the national operators – with the agreement of their national governments.

Faced with the consequences of this, though, the commission is now telling us, rather late in the day, that it will "support" an option restricting the flight ban to the immediate vicinity of Iceland. With that, we get the news that EU Transport Commissioner Siim Kallas (pictured) will allow the UK progressively to remove no-fly restrictions from tomorrow morning, allowing air traffic to resume.

This also allows the EU quietly to slide out of its responsibility for the shambles and, with the focus firmly on the national authorities, the media allows the "elephant in the room" to slumber on undisturbed.

All is then left is for the British government to make the "meaningless gesture" of calling in the Royal Navy to help clear the backlog, while the political parties compete to gain such advantage as they can from the misery suffered by so many people.

ICELAND'S REVENGE THREAD

The health-and-safety Armageddon I long expected has arrived, writes Simon Jenkins. It is another "swine flu", he says.

It was bad enough to have an idiot with a shoe bomb stirring equally idiot regulators to enforce billions of pounds of cost and inconvenience on air travellers in the cause of "it might happen again". Now we have a volcano and a bit of dust. It is another swine flu.

The truth is that putting large, heavy bits of metal into the air is just too much for the psyche of modern regulators. They panic. The slightest risk cannot be taken or someone might blame the regulators, whose job is not to assess risk but avert it.

Even an airline company, with everything to lose, is not allowed to assess its own risk. Many more will die on roads and elsewhere because of the anarchy the air controllers have unleashed on Europe, but that is not their business. They don't care.

Sterling stuff ... the nannies are taking a beating!

ICELAND'S REVENGE THREAD


From The Sunday Times
April 18, 2010
Hounded by the ash cloud on my escape from Colditz to Blighty
Jeremy Clarkson

On Thursday morning I woke up in Colditz castle, drove to Poland and found that I couldn’t fly back to England as planned because all of northern Europe was shrouded in a cloud of ash that was thick enough to bring down a jetliner. But, mysteriously, not so thick that it was actually visible.

Brussels, then. That would be the answer. We’d drive at 180mph on the limit-free autobahns to Berlin, fly to Belgium and catch the Eurostar to London.

This, however, turned out to be ambitious, because the only vehicle we could lay our hands on was a knackered Volkswagen van that had a top speed of four. So Prague, then. That was nearer. Yes. We’d start from there instead.
From The Sunday Times
April 18, 2010
Hounded by the ash cloud on my escape from Colditz to Blighty
Jeremy Clarkson
On Thursday morning I woke up in Colditz castle, drove to Poland and found that I couldn’t fly back to England as planned because all of northern Europe was shrouded in a cloud of ash that was thick enough to bring down a jetliner. But, mysteriously, not so thick that it was actually visible.

Brussels, then. That would be the answer. We’d drive at 180mph on the limit-free autobahns to Berlin, fly to Belgium and catch the Eurostar to London.

This, however, turned out to be ambitious, because the only vehicle we could lay our hands on was a knackered Volkswagen van that had a top speed of four. So Prague, then. That was nearer. Yes. We’d start from there instead.
From The Sunday Times
April 18, 2010
Hounded by the ash cloud on my escape from Colditz to Blighty
Jeremy Clarkson
On Thursday morning I woke up in Colditz castle, drove to Poland and found that I couldn’t fly back to England as planned because all of northern Europe was shrouded in a cloud of ash that was thick enough to bring down a jetliner. But, mysteriously, not so thick that it was actually visible.

Brussels, then. That would be the answer. We’d drive at 180mph on the limit-free autobahns to Berlin, fly to Belgium and catch the Eurostar to London.

This, however, turned out to be ambitious, because the only vehicle we could lay our hands on was a knackered Volkswagen van that had a top speed of four. So Prague, then. That was nearer. Yes. We’d start from there instead.

, the index of our map was broken down into countries. And we didn't actually know which country we were in. We’d see a sign for LĆ¼ckendorf, so I’d look it up in the index. But would it be filed under Germany, Poland or the Czech Republic? And how would it be spelt? The Germans may call it LĆ¼ckendorf but the Poles might call it something entirely different. In much the same way that people in India call Bombay “Bombay”. But the BBC insists on calling it “Mumbai”.

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By the time I’d decided LĆ¼ckendorf doesn’t really exist, we’d found a sign for Bogatynia and that doesn’t seem to exist, either. The confusion meant that pretty soon we were on a farm track, our path blocked by a tractor that seemed to be scooping mud from a field and putting it onto the road. This encouraged us, since it seemed like a very un-German thing to do and all the Poles are in my bathroom at the moment. We had, therefore, to be near Praha, as the BBC doesn’t call it. But should.

We were and our worries seemed to be over. But they weren’t. By this stage the invisible cloud of ash had settled on Belgium and Brussels airport was closed. No matter, we decided. We shall go to Paris and catch the train from there.

Oh, no, we wouldn’t. We learnt that all the Eurostar trains were choc-full but we figured that would be okay. We’d fly to Paris, rent a car and we’d drive home in that. Job done.

To celebrate we went for a beer. I had a lot, if I’m honest, because I wanted to be too drunk to drive this last leg. I had so many that after a while Barclaycard decided it’d be fun to cancel my credit card. And I couldn’t phone to explain that if it didn’t turn the credit back on again, I’d come round to its offices with an axe. Because by this stage my phone was out of bullets. And then we found that our plane was due to land at Charles de Gaulle just five minutes before that shut down, too. Any delay would be catastrophic.

Normally, people getting onto a plane are fairly polite. We’re happy to stand in the aisle for hours while people try to fit the dishwasher they’ve bought into the overhead locker. I chose not to be so patient on this occasion, though, and as a result there were many injuries. But because of the violence, the plane took off on time and landed just before the Paris shutdown was due to begin.

By now I was Cardiff-on-a-Saturday-night drunk. And fairly desperate for a pee. But not so desperate that I failed to realise the gravity of the situation at Charles de Gaulle. You know those final moments in Titanic when the ship is finally going down? Well, it was nothing like that. It was worse.

In the baggage claim was a pretty girl asking if anyone could give her a lift to North Jutland. In the main concourse were businessmen begging rides to Amsterdam. And everyone was being approached by dodgy-looking north Africans with gold teeth and promises of taxis to anywhere. For you, my friend, special price.

Of particular note were the queues of people pointing and shouting at airline staff as though they were responsible somehow for the eruption. This seemed like an odd thing to do. I very much encourage assault, verbal or otherwise, on useless members of staff who won’t help. But yelling will not bring order to the planet’s mantle.

It’s funny, isn’t it? The airports had only been closed for six hours and society was cracking up. Not that I cared much about this because we had secured the last rental car in the whole airport and were in a rush to catch the midnight train from Calais. This meant there was no time for a pee.

By Senlis, my bladder was very full. By Lille, the pressure had become so great the contents had turned to amber. Ever peed from the window of a moving car? I have. It came out as pebbles. But it was worth it because at three in the morning I climbed into my own bed at home. Five countries. Planes. Trains and automobiles. And all because Mother Nature burped.

There is a warning here, because on the volcanic explosivity index (VEI) — which goes from one to eight — the eruption at Eyjafjallajokull will probably be classified as a two. And yet it shut down every airport in northern Europe. There are much bigger volcanoes in Iceland. They could, in theory, shut the whole world down for years.

Let’s not forget that back in 1980 Mount St Helens in Washington state blew with a VEI rating of five. It was a huge blast but only local air traffic was affected.

What’s changed, of course, is our attitude to safety, brought about in the main by our fear of being sued. Could volcanic ash bring down a jetliner? Fifteen-hundred miles from the scene of the volcano itself, it is extremely unlikely, but so long as there are lawyers, licking their lips at the prospect of proving the crash could have been avoided, air traffic controllers are bound to push the big button labelled “Stop”.

It won’t be a volcano that ends man’s existence on this planet. It’ll be the no-win no-fee lawyers. They are the ones who brought Europe to a halt last week. They are the ones who made a simple trip from Berlin to London into a five-country, all-day hammer blow on your licence fee. They are the ones who must be stopped.