Sunday, 6 June 2010

Column One: Israel's daunting task

By CAROLINE B. GLICK The Jerusalem Post 06/04/2010 20:36


Iran's nuclear weapons program is the stick it now wields to coerce the Arab
world to bow to its will - and it also offers an attractive carrot.

The ferocity and speed of the current international assault on Israel has
left the government in a daze. Statements from our leadership are marked by
confusion. This reaction is understandable. Everywhere Israel turns it is
met with hostility.

Turkey - which just a decade ago was Israel's most important regional ally -
has taken a leadership position next to Iran in the Islamist and global
assault against the Jewish state. Under President Barack Obama's
stewardship, the US has joined the international bandwagon against Israel.
Ireland - never a friend - is now openly siding with Hamas against Israel.
And as Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu noted on Wednesday evening,
Britain, France, Germany and the rest of the Western democracies calling for
Israel to end its blockade of Hamas-controlled Gaza's coast are effectively
arguing that Israel should give Iran - which controls Hamas - a seaport on
the Mediterranean.

The footage of the IDF's celebrated naval commandos falling prey to an
Islamic lynch mob on the deck of the Turkish ship Mavi Marmara on Monday
morning serves as a perfect simile for the national mood. The commandos
boarded the ship armed with paintball guns expecting to be greeted by
hostile but nonviolent humanitarian activists. Instead they were accosted by
a murderous mob.

Similarly, the Israeli public feels that when we go out of our way to show
our peaceful intentions and nature to the world, we are greeted with an
international lynch mob. Rather than listen to us, the world shouts us down
with mendacious propaganda in act after act of political theater.

In a situation when everything seems hopeless and futile, it is important to
take a step back and consider what stands behind the assault. Only by
understanding why what is happening is happening will Israel's leaders be
able to formulate a strategy for navigating the country through the current
straits.

TODAY'S GLOBAL campaign against the Jewish state is the product of three
recent developments: The waning of traditional Arab power relative to the
waxing of non-Arab Islamic states including Iran, Pakistan and Turkey; the
concomitant rise of anti-Semitic incitement throughout the Islamic world;
and the US's attenuation of its ties with its allies generally and the US
abandonment of its support for Israel specifically.

Since the fall of the Ottoman Empire in World War I, Arab states like Egypt
and Saudi Arabia have been the widely recognized leaders of the Islamic
world. Over the past several years, their power has waned and it is now
being overwhelmed by the waxing of non-Arab Islamic states Iran, Pakistan
and Turkey.

Pakistan - so far the only Islamic country with a nuclear arsenal - is the
home base of the wildly popular al-Qaida movement. Despite its nuclear and
jihadist cachet, Pakistan's ability to challenge the power of Arab
governments is limited. Its financial dependence on Saudi Arabia, its
strategic ties with the US and the ongoing war between its government and
the Taliban/al-Qaida have all rendered Pakistan - for now - unable to
compete with the Arab world for the mantle of Islamic leadership.

But Pakistan's nuclear arsenal has helped place Iran on the verge of
regional domination. Iran's long-held nuclear aspirations only became
realistic when Pakistan shared its nuclear and ballistic missile
technologies with the mullocracy. Iran's nuclear weapons program is the
stick it now wields to coerce the Arab world to bow to its will.

Iran isn't all about threats and coercion, though. It also offers the Arab
world an attractive carrot. Since the US invasion of Iraq and even more
forcefully since the 2006 war between Israel and Hizbullah, Iran has taken
the lead in fighting the great enemies of the Arab world: the US and Israel.

In 2006, the Arab masses rallied to Iran's side as Israel fought its Shi'ite
Arab proxy to a draw in Lebanon. Hamas's willingness to serve as Iran's
Palestinian proxy has given Iran complete control over the most active
fronts against the hated Jews.

Since the radical Islamic AKP party took over Turkey in 2003, its leader,
Prime Minister Recip Erdogan, has presided over the thorough brainwashing of
the Turkish people. According to repeated polling data, the majority of
Turks believe that Israel and America are demonic, murderous nations that
kill innocent people for entertainment. Erdogan has cultivated anti-Semitism
and anti-Americanism for two reasons. First, doing so enables him to divert
his people's attention away from his government's economic failures. Stirred
into frenzies of hatred, the Turks willingly rally behind their leader, who
is saving them from the Jewish and Yankee beasts.

Then there is Erdogan's goal of reasserting Turkish regional dominance and
reclaiming the lost power of the Ottomans as the leader of the Islamic
world. His decision in 2006 to be the first world leader to host Hamas
terror masters on an official visit after their victory in the Palestinian
elections was a clear bid to win popularity for Turkey among the Arab
masses.

Iran and Turkey understand that attacking the Jewish state is the fastest
route to the top of the Muslim world.

For decades, two things limited the salience of Jew-hatred as a political
force in the Muslim world. First, Israel's reputation as a regional power
deterred Arab states from attacking it. And second, the US's Middle East
policy of rewarding states that lived at peace with Israel and spurning
those that did not made attacking Israel a less attractive option for most
Muslim states. The likes of Iran and Syria were punished for their support
for terrorism and their refusal to make peace with Israel. Then, too, Turkey's
rise in prominence in the US in the 1990s owed a great deal to its close
strategic ties with Israel.

Israel's reputation as a regional power was diminished by its 2000
withdrawal from south Lebanon and its less than stellar performance in the
2006 war.

As for the US, in the year and a half since Obama took office he has
fundamentally restructured American foreign policy in a manner that rewards
US enemies at the expense of US allies. From Honduras and Colombia to
Britain, Poland, and the Czech Republic, to Japan and India to Israel, Iraq
and Afghanistan, Obama has treated US allies with contempt and hostility. At
the same time, his repeated bids to woo US adversaries have rewarded the
leaders of Iran, Venezuela, Russia and others for their aggression.

Israel, of course, is the US's most threatened ally. And Obama's treatment
of Israel has been uniquely shabby and dangerous. Guided by his ideological
world view, which argues that US support for Israel is the root of the Arab
and Islamic world's animus towards the US, Obama has advanced a policy of
punishing Israel and wooing its worst enemies that has radically changed the
Islamic power calculus. By seeking to appease Iran and Syria for their
aggressive behavior and by courting an ever more radical Turkish regime,
Obama has humiliated Egypt and Jordan that signed peace treaties with
Israel. In so doing, he has convinced the Arabs that the only way to retain
and expand their power is by attacking Israel.

THIS BRINGS us to Israel's current quandary about how to respond to the
international campaign against it. Israel, of course, can do nothing to
change the potency of Jew-hatred in the Islamic world. It can also do
nothing to change American behavior. For as long as Obama is president, US
foreign policy can be expected to remain on its current trajectory. That is,
for at least the next two and a half years, the US will continue to play a
destabilizing and hostile role in the region.

What this means is that Israel should adopt a strategy that minimizes the
international lynch mob's ability to get close to it and maximizes Israel's
ability to knock the mob off balance. Take for instance the UN Security
Council call for an independent investigation of the Mavi Marmara incident.
Israel rightly rejected such a UN inquiry, understanding that its aim is to
diminish Israel's sovereign right to self-defense. On the other hand, on
Thursday morning Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman said that Israel could
establish its own judicial inquiry and that there was no reason for
international investigators not to be members of the Israeli committee.

This idea is ill-advised for two reasons. First, by its very nature, a
judicial inquiry would place Israel in the role of criminal defendant. And
second, given the nature of the international assault on Israel, no
international observers or investigators can be given any role in
investigating the Mavi Marmara episode.

In contrast, Israel could benefit from a domestic investigation of the
operational and diplomatic aspects of its handling of the Turkish-Hamas
flotilla. It is in these areas - rather than the legal areas - that Israel
has failed and must learn the lessons of those failures. Moreover,
appointing a committee would buy Israel time in the face of the anti-Israel
campaign now sweeping the globe.

And as for that campaign, it is time for Israel to launch a
counter-offensive. Its representatives at the UN should demand an
investigation into Turkey's illegal sponsorship of the pro-Hamas flotilla.
They should raise such protests in every UN forum and continue to protest
until they are thrown out of the meetings, and then return the next day to
relaunch their protests.

The Justice Ministry should issue international arrest warrants against the
flotilla's organizers and participants and prepare indictments against them
for trial in Israeli courts. Israel's embassies throughout the world should
call for their host governments to outlaw organizations involved in the Gaza
flotilla movement.

No, these Israeli efforts will not change anyone's vote in any UN forum. But
they will place these wholly corrupt institutions on the defensive. For
decades Israel has taken for granted that the UN is hopelessly hostile, and
left things at that. Israel's willingness to declare defeat has emboldened
UN officials. By putting them on the defensive, Israel will force them to
devote time to staving off Israeli attacks and so have less time available
for initiating new assaults against Israel.

In Los Angeles on Monday, a crowd of Muslims carrying signs calling for
Israel's destruction gathered outside the Israeli Consulate. As they shouted
Allahu Akhbar, a lone Jewish high school student carrying an Israeli flag
appeared on the scene. Suddenly, the protesters forgot that they were
supposed to be demonstrating against the State of Israel and began
threatening this single Jewish boy who held his head high and waved the
Israeli flag.

As they converged around him, a cordon of policemen headed them off and
surrounded the young Jewish boy who refused to be intimidated. Speaking to
reporters clearly moved by his courage, the boy said, "I came out because I
want to defend Israel." Asked if he was affiliated with any group, he
responded, "Just Judaism and Israel."

Israel's task is daunting and the stakes couldn't be higher. But our cause
is great and it is far from lost.

caroline@carolineglick.com