Friday, 5 November 2010

Porter Stansberry's "Craziest" Prediction Yet
By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
Friday, November 5, 2010
My boss, Porter Stansberry, is always getting heat for his "crazy" claims and
predictions.

His latest one might be his "craziest" yet…

In late 2006, Porter predicted 
GM would go bankrupt. He looked at GM's debts and
determined there was no way the automaker could avoid bankruptcy. He received
stacks of hate mail calling
him crazy and anti-American.

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In 2007, Porter came out with another "crazy" prediction… He told a packed investment
conference that government agencies 
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would go bankrupt.
Porter claimed a small decrease in home prices could crush the leveraged home lenders.

"
Fannie Mae go bankrupt? It could never happen," thought the audience.

You know how the stories of Fannie, Freddie, and GM played out. All three were disasters.
 All three went bankrupt.

I respect Porter for doing his research and not being afraid to take an unpopular stance…
no matter what people will say about it. Which is why it's worth noting Porter's latest claim.

He says the U.S. isn't just headed for a currency crisis… we're in one right now.

In a recent conference call with subscribers of 
Off the Record, Porter said this:

Currently, government spending in the United States, just federal spending, is 44% of
GDP, so that would put total government spending at excess of 50% of GDP, which had
never happened outside of World War II. On the revenue side, federal government is
32% of GDP. So it's not even a misnomer anymore to say that we're living in a socialist
 state. 


Another way of seeing these numbers is to understand that right now, 44 million people
 are on food stamps. Twenty million people are employed either by the state
governments or by the federal governments. Assuming there aren't a lot of state
employees that are on food stamps – and there aren't, because government employees
actually get paid better than private employees – 
more than 60 million people in the
United States depend on the state for either their income or their food
.


There are only about 81 million households in the United States. So something on the
order of two-thirds of all the families in the United States depend on the government
either for their food or for their income… and that government is quite clearly broke. 


The total government debt in the United States per taxpayer is now in excess of
$122,000. You have to understand that's per taxpayer. But about half of those
people actually don't pay very much money at all in taxes. So the real burden on
the productive citizen is enormous. 


And one final point I want to make about the sustainability of these debts: Not only
are the debts impossible to repay, they're far too large. There's no way we could ever
begin to repay them. But we're very close to approaching a point in time where they
can no longer be financed. 


Porter goes on to note how these debts are crushing the value of the dollar…

I don't think we're doing our readers any favors when we say a currency crisis "might
occur"… or we try to use language that is any less certain than we understand. 
A currency crisis is under way


It's not a matter of if we'll have one or not. We're in the midst of one. You don't see
 the price of silver go from $2.50 an ounce to $25 an ounce in a 10-year period unless
something horrible has gone wrong with your monetary system. There's no other
explanation for why you've seen not only gold and silver, but oil and corn and cotton
and coal – everything that that's useful that's priced in dollars – going straight up. 


That's not because there's been a sudden drought of silver mines. It's because the paper
 that you're denominating these assets in is collapsing.


Just this week, silver skyrocketed to a 30-year high… and gold is now closing in on
$1,400 an ounce. The dollar is at its lowest low in more than a year. This is the market
telling us that "crazy" is here. Despite these big price rises, Porter says it's not too late
to protect your wealth with gold and silver, if you don't own any already.

What sounds crazy to most investors is often what works. You don't make money by
sticking your head in the sand and listening to conventional wisdom from Wall Street
and Washington D.C.

Porter has a great history of being right on these things… and as the soaring price of
gold and silver tell us, he's right on this.

Good investing,

Steve

Editor's note: You can get immediate access to Steve's Notes with a subscription to 
DailyWealth Premium. And for the next week, you can sign up for an ultra-low
introductory price. Get the details 
here.

Today, in 
DailyWealth Premium, Steve is showing readers one of Porter's favorite
ideas for protecting yourself from government money-printing. You've likely never
 thought of this stock as a wealth hedge… But as the currency crisis accelerates,
its assets will become exponentially more valuable.
Further Reading:

Two weeks ago, U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner said the government
would not devalue the dollar. But Steve doesn't buy it. "'We will not devalue'
is the equivalent of your 7-year-old child hustling into the room and announcing, '
There's no need to count the number of cookies in the cookie jar!'" Read Steve's
 take here: 
The Scariest Political Statement Yet.

If you're as worried about a currency crisis as Porter is, don't miss this
must-read essay on how to protect yourself: 
The Single Most Important
Financial Step You Can Take Right Now
.
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SILVER HITS 30-YEAR HIGH

In early 1980, the United States hockey team pulled off one of the greatest
sports victories in history. It defeated the overwhelmingly favored Soviet
team in a medal round of the Winter Olympics. They called it the "Miracle
 on Ice."

We share this slice of history because early 1980 was also the last time the
price of silver was as high as it is now.

Silver is an odd duck in the asset world. It has a "real money" allure like gold
does… Yet it's heavily used in industry, so it can rise and fall with economic
activity as well. (
We've covered the virtues of owning the stuff many times in 
DailyWealth
.)

Thanks to Ben Bernanke and his vow to float all kinds of bad mortgages and
 government boondoggles on an ocean of paper money, silver is exploding in
 price. The metal has gained 42% since August to reach its highest high since

the legendary hockey game. The global grab for "real money" is getting
extreme… 


Silver explodes in price