Foreign News and Analysis Since April 2005China Confidential
Thursday, December 23, 2010
N. KOREA THREATENS NUCLEAR 'HOLY WAR'
PYONGYANG AGAIN USES RHETORIC THATWednesday, December 22, 2010
OBAMA IGNORES PERSECUTION AND OPPRESSION OF CHRISTIANS IN BARBARIC MUSLIM COUNTRIES
EX-IRAN DIPLOMAT SAYS REGIME SEEKS A-BOMB
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
SOUTH KOREA RAISES THE ANTE
is unlikely. North Korea's obsolete conventional armed forces and military equipment mean quick and near certain defeat if it wages full-scale war, and Pyongyang is well aware of its limitations.
Thursday, 23 December 2010
SEEMS INFLUENCED BY ISLAMIST PARTNER
INSTANT ANALYSIS: Weakness--real or perceived--invites aggression. China Confidential analysts believe that the Kimist regime believes that it can actually drop an atomic bomb on South Korea--and on U.S. forces there--without fear of U.S. nuclear reaction, given President Obama's commitment to nuclear disarmament and arms control. North Korea is far more dangerous and unpredictable than imagined; and the jury is still out on China's real position. And North Korea's partner in proliferation--Iran--is involved in all these developments. The Axis of Evil is alive and well.
Instant Analysis: On the one hand, the news does not make sense. South Korea seems to be inexplicably playing with fire. Thus, the China Confidential forecast of Korean clashes--before Christmas or the New Year--could still come true.
could lob thousands of artillery rounds into more populated and developed areas of the South, including the dense capital region of Seoul, home to about half of the country's population, and fire missiles at cities in the South and in Japan, causing crippling economic damage....
an all-out war between the rival Koreas
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