Forget Commodities… This Is the Next Big Trend
in ChinaBy Frank Curzio Wednesday, February 9, 2011 In 2006, the Chinese government created a master plan for its economy.
It would invest billions of dollars in construction. New skyscrapers would be built. Schools and
apartments would follow. The country's transportation network would also get a massive upgrade…
Highways and rails were laid down. The government provided incentives for several sectors
including oil, coal, and electricity. It also opened up the economy to foreign investors.
These measures were taken to improve economic growth. And despite what many China skeptics
say, the plan was a huge success.
Property prices surged. The country's middle class nearly tripled in five years. It leapfrogged
Germany to become the world's largest exporter. And just last year, China leapfrogged Japan
to become the second-biggest economy in the world.
the right way to play this building boom. Copper, iron ore, and oil stocks all skyrocketed. These
investments will likely continue to do well.
But there's a new, bigger trend on its way…
China's master plan was not a one-time event. You see, every five years the government allocates
money to specific growth sectors that will help create jobs and increase economic development.
China's five-year plans date back to the 1950s. Some were disasters, but there were successes,
too…
From 1996 to 2000, the government's plan was to increase its electronic manufacturing base for
products like televisions and computers. China dominates this area now. From 2001 to 2005, the
government focused on building up second- and third-tier cities… the cities you never hear about
in the news. This has also been a success.
In three weeks, you will get another opportunity to invest alongside China's government. China will
release the details of its next five-year plan. In my eyes, the big opportunity is in technology…
According to the early drafts, China's government is about to spend nearly $600 billion over the
next five years on emerging industries like new energy and biology. The government also listed
information technology as one of the sectors that will receive financial incentives.
This is no surprise to me. Information technology is in its infancy in China. Only 31% of people
are currently using the Internet. Over 800 million Chinese own mobile phones. But according to
China's government, fewer than 300 million use them to surf the Internet.
These statistics point to enormous growth in information technology. Over the next few years,
mobile phone users will upgrade to 3G – which will provide faster Internet speeds. I also expect
many of these users to buy tablets.
Tablets are lightweight handheld computers. They can be used for playing games, listening to
music, and surfing the Internet. They are flying off the shelves in the U.S. In a few years, the
price of a tablet could drop below $100 – making it affordable for most of the middle class in
China. This means a big tailwind for bandwidth providers, semiconductor makers, and software
vendors.
Investing in the information technology trend in China is a no-brainer. China is about to put huge
amounts of cash into this sector. Plus, every large-cap technology company is going great guns
to penetrate this massive market.
For the conservative investor, I'd simply own larger, more established "tech infrastructure" names
like Intel or Cisco. For the investor looking to make bigger winners here, I'd focus on knowing
exactly what devices the Chinese want to buy… and invest in the companies that sell the
components.
Good investing,
Frank Curzio
Editor's note: Frank just recommended two small-cap technology companies for his exclusive
Phase 1 newsletter. They make the parts that go into smartphones and tablets – and will be
huge beneficiaries of China's push into information technology. They both trade in the single
digits now. And Frank believes they have at least 300% upside with limited risk. To find out more,
click here.Further Reading:
"Based on the enormous growth potential in Internet usage in China, these companies have
the potential to grow their market caps into the hundreds of billions," Frank told Growth Stock
Wire readers. Make sure to add these stocks to your watch list. Get the details here:How to
Buy the Next Baidu.
Wednesday, 9 February 2011
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