Friday, 4 February 2011

Open Europe

 

Europe

 

Disagreements over eurozone governance mount ahead of EU summit;

ECB keeps low interest rates in spite of increasing inflationary pressures

Ahead of the summit of EU leaders today, disagreements mount over the details of a Franco-German proposal that would see stronger coordination of six areas of fiscal and economic policies in the eurozone, in return for increasing the size and scope of the EU’s bail-out fund, the European Financial Stability Facility. The plan, known as a “pact for competitiveness”, includes a common corporate tax rate across the eurozone as well as curbs on wage increases and a minimum retirement age, reports FAZ. Several papers note that EU leaders are unlikely to agree on anything substantial today, making an agreement on the new eurozone structure in March less likely – a critical date for convincing markets that the eurozone has a credible plan for stability in place.

 

The German-dominated plan has been met with much scepticism, also from the French, who question the feasibility of wage coordination and want the permanent bail-out fund to be able to buy bonds directly. A French official is quoted by the FT, saying: “Let’s be clear, we’re not in full agreement with our German friends.” Belgian Prime Minister Yves Leterme is quoted by AFP saying he is “absolutely not in agreement” with plans to break the link between wage increases and the level of inflation across the eurozone. “We will not allow our social model to be undone”, he added.   

 

The French Presidency announced yesterday that France and Germany will propose that eurozone heads of state and government hold an annual meeting “to discuss deepening coordination” in the eurozone, reports AFP

 

Meanwhile, it is widely reported that, in spite of increasing inflationary pressures, the European Central Bank decided not to raise eurozone interest rates. The FT notes that the decision triggered a “sell-off in euro”. Bloomberg reports that this week the ECB failed to fully neutralise the liquidity created by its bond purchases for the third time since the program began.

 

An article in the Economist notes that, despite the significant austerity measures adopted, Greece may still be unable to repay all its debts. The article estimates that, even if some restructuring went ahead, Greece would still at least be left with a debt-to-GDP ratio of 130%. Open Europe’s briefing showing that EU plans for Greek restructuring will only cut Greece’s total debt by between 2.4% and 4.2% without the involvement from private bondholders is cited by Greek news site Sofokleous10

Open Europe briefing Open Europe press release FT Irish Times: Scally Irish Times Irish Times 2 Irish Independent EurActiv IHT EUobserver FT: Analysis Irish Times Irish Times: Beesley Irish Independent AFP AFP: Leterme Le Figaro City AM WSJ WSJ: Mattich FT FT 2 IHT Bloomberg The Economist Sofokleous10 El País

 

Eurozone comment round-up

A leader in the FT argues that “all the balanced budgets in the world will not solve the eurozone’s problems”, since the problems centre on ever-widening gaps between strong and weak nations, low long-term economic growth and an enfeebled banking sector.

 

In an op-ed in Le Monde, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble suggests that stronger coordination of eurozone countries’ economic and financial policies could be achieved under the Lisbon Treaty’s “enhanced cooperation” framework, meaning that a limited number of member states can establish closer cooperation in a policy area without other member states being involved. “With the concept of ’17 plus’, the question arises whether, on a voluntary basis, member states which are not yet part of the eurozone can join, especially in order to avoid reinforced cooperation in the eurozone turning into a durable division of the EU,” he adds.

 

In Le Figaro, Chief International Economy reporter Alexandrine Bouilhet describes the Franco-German “pact for competitiveness” as the “tree hiding the forest” and argues: “The markets listen to it with only half an ear, not to say that they are indifferent. They are only waiting for one thing: fresh money on the table to avoid a Spanish collapse. The rest is nothing but political window-dressing made of promises that only bind those who made them…” 

 

An editorial in Le Monde’s front page notes: “This Franco-German dynamism can now be beneficial. In the medium term, the Commission’s relinquishment of part of its prerogatives is dangerous.”

 

An editorial in El País criticises Merkel’s proposal to break the link between wage increases and the level of inflation across the eurozone. A leader in FAZ notes: "The first point of the pact [for competitiveness], which is the abolishment of wage indexation systems, is already being disputed by French President [Nicolas] Sarkozy. When it starts like this, how will it end? [...] Should the Germans maybe introduce the 35 hours working week, so the French are willing to introduce pensions at 67? [...] With a centralised and dirigist economic government, Europe won't survive global competition. That will only happen through competition – also for the best economic policy."

 

Hans-Werner Sinn, President of the IFO Institute for Economic Research, has criticised some of the proposals on the table to strengthen economic coordination in the eurozone, such as the idea of harmonising labour costs. Het Financieele Dagblad quotes Sinn saying: "This is ridiculous. This is a solution in the style of a centrally planned economy which is foreign to a market economy.”

 

In the Irish Times, Elaine Bryne argues: “The date of the Irish election, a month in advance of the March European summit, offers a window of opportunity for Ireland to force the issue of debt restructuring or sovereign default on to the eurozone agenda.”

Le Monde: Editorial Le Monde: Schäuble Straneuropa El País: Editorial Le Figaro: Bouilhet Welt FT: Leader FT Alphaville Irish Times: Byrne

 

EU officials already working on computer models for EU taxes
The Guardian reports that the European Commission’s schemes for raising EU taxes are already being simulated through computer models, coming up with figures from €2bn to €100bn a year. The UK has a veto over increases to the EU’s multi-year budget and any decision on EU taxes.

Guardian

 

MEPs propose higher fines for eurozone countries violating EU rules on deficit and debt

Euractiv reports that the European Parliament has put forward its own proposals to strengthen budgetary discipline in the EU and the eurozone. Under MEPs’ proposals, fines for eurozone countries repeatedly ignoring recommendations from EU institutions could reach 0.5% of GDP, instead of 0.1% proposed by the European Commission. A one-off penalty worth 0.5% of GDP has also been proposed for countries caught providing false data on their deficit and debt – such as in the case of Greece last year. The package of proposals on economic governance is subject to co-decision, meaning that the European Parliament has equal decision-making power to member states. 

Euractiv Express  

 

UK opts in to another EU crime and justice law

The Government yesterday opted in to an EU directive on cybercrime, despite MPs on the House of Commons European Scrutiny Committee’s refusing to clear the proposal late last year because they felt there were still questions for Ministers to answer about the plans. The directive sets “a maximum term of imprisonment of at least five years” for certain cybercrime offences. Under the Lisbon Treaty, the European Court of Justice will have full and ultimate jurisdiction over the application of these rules in the UK for the first time.

Open Europe blog Open Europe research

 

Liam Fox: Defence pact with France no substitute for NATO

PA reports that Defence Secretary Liam Fox will today reject calls for Britain to develop a greater defence profile within the EU, warning against wasteful “double-hatting” which would see the EU attempt to replicate NATO structures. On the UK’s defence pact with France, he will say, “We may agree over some aspirations for the EU, and we may differ over others. But we must concentrate on what we agree on - boosting national capabilities to deliver collective security through Nato.”

 

In an interview with Süddeutsche Zeitung, Prime Minister David Cameron has said that the Franco-British defence agreement “is not necessarily a prototype for a common European defence. But it could very well be useful as a model for other European nations that want to work closer together.”

 

Meanwhile, writing in the Times, Philip Collins argues that, under the Government’s foreign policy, “Britain is retreating” and being sidelined in the EU and by the US.

Times: Collins Süddeutsche: Cameron

 

UK Treasury Minister criticises Commission’s “vague and ill-defined” plans for MiFID

The FT reports that the European Commission has suggested creating a new kind of trading venue known as an “organised trading facility” to reign in some currently off-exchange share trading and over-the-counter derivatives as part of its review of the MiFID directive. Mark Hoban, Financial Secretary to the UK Treasury, is quoted saying, “Applying a one-size-fits-all regulatory approach to a vague and ill-defined category of facilities clearly makes no sense.”

 

Meanwhile, a separate article in the paper notes that MEPs have voted to approve the three heads of EU’s new financial supervisors after obtaining written assurances from the Commission and the Hungarian Presidency over the new authorities’ independence and their resources.

FT FT 2 Open Europe research

 

German insurance industry calls for improvements to “chaotic” Solvency II
Handelsblatt reports that the German insurance industry has called for substantial improvements to the EU’s Solvency II Directive, the preparation of which has been described as “chaotic” by industry representatives. Jörg von Fürstenwerth, CEO of the General Association of German Insurers, is quoted saying: "The trial run to Solvency II has demonstrated that the regulatory framework is not yet ripe for implementation.”

Handelsblatt

 

EU leaders will discuss European energy and environmental policy at today’s summit and the BBC’s Today Programme asks who will pay for the infrastructure needed to meet the EU’s various emissions and renewable energy targets.

BBC: Today

 

BSkyB could have its rights to show Premier League football matches in pubs loosened following advice from a European Court of Justice Advocate General. Juliane Kokott told the ECJ that venues showing live Premier League matches from foreign broadcasters are not breaking EU law.

Telegraph Express Guardian WSJ

 

On his BBC blog, Gavin Hewitt argues: “The EU is wedded to soft power. It could well have a central role in helping supervise elections in Egypt. That should not be under-estimated. But it may not satisfy those who thought the Lisbon Treaty would deliver a stronger international voice for the EU. What Turkey demonstrates is that you don't need a single voice to be influential. The country has a vibrant economy, a clear message (Mubarak should step aside) and the increasing confidence to assert its views.”

BBC: Hewitt Le Monde

 

In an interview with EUobserver, European Parliament President Jerzy Buzek has argued that the Europe's multi-billion-euro needs for energy infrastructure and new technologies cannot be funded only by the private sector, contradicting the stance taken by the German government.

EUobserver

 

Conservative Home reports that Polish MEP Michal Kaminski, former leader of the Conservative’s EP grouping, the ECR, has said he will remain in the group.

Conservative Home

 

An article in the Economist argues that the recent thefts of carbon permits in the European Commission’s Emissions Trading Scheme have embarrassed the entire market.

Economist

 

Writing in the WSJ, Hungary’s Ambassador to the UK Janos Csak sets out the agenda for his country’s rotating Presidency of the EU.

WSJ: Csak

 

The Mail quotes Paul Polman, Chief Executive of Unilever, saying: “Europe is happy when it shows some growth but that is a complacency that will kill it. Europe is losing its relative competitiveness compared to the rest of the world.” Mr Polman said he was appalled that EU Council President Herman Van Rompuy seemed satisfied with Europe’s pedestrian growth.

Mail

 

The Guardian reports that EU Fisheries Commissioner Maria Damanaki has said that she intends to reform the EU’s Common Fisheries Policy in order to put an end to the practice of discarding caught fish exceeding EU fishing quotas. 

Guardian

 

New on the Open Europe blog

 

The UK opts in to another EU crime and justice law: This Government cannot be trusted on EU crime and policing

Open Europe blog

 

A look at the bickering between EU diplomats in the wake of the eurozone crisis: Closer together or further apart?

Open Europe blog