Friday, 17 June 2011
June 17, 2011
 "UNRWA and More"
 Please see an article of mine that  just went up on American Thinker:
 The subject is UNRWA, which is putting out serious  misrepresentations regarding the need for its services -- and the severe  conditions in Gaza, as well as the quality of the services it does  provide.
 The villain in its reports is, of course, Israel.
 ~~~~~~~~~~
 I noted with interest today, after my piece went up, an article on related  issues in the JPost.
 Says the Foreign Ministry, "UNRWA's report is false, biased."  Seems UNRWA  released a report saying that the children in their Gaza schools attend classes  on a double shift.  This is because 100 new schools must be built to meet  enrollment requirements, but Israel has only approved building of eight schools  (i.e., will permit building materials for eight schools to come through the  crossings into Gaza).  In other words, it's Israel's fault that the kids of Gaza  can't study properly.
 The truth, as exposed by COGAT (Israel's Coordinator of Government  Activities in the Territories) is that UNRWA never filed a request  to build 100 schools.  Officials first heard about this via the media.   
 Israel has approved 32 educational projects in Gaza for UNRWA -- 24 for new  schools and others for expansions. However, UNRWA has only begun bringing in  building supplies for 11 schools.
 Chris Gunness, UNRWA's spokesman, when queried about this, made a valiant  effort to keep his finger pointed at Israel.  His response:
 "...projects were delayed since donors did not want to give funds after  previous donations were not used for past projects due to...Israel's refusal to  approve projects presented years ago."
 Huh?  This guy is something else.
 ~~~~~~~~~~
 One other note of great significance on the issue of UNRWA.  I had  mentioned in my piece, and it's here in the JPost as well, that UNRWA  claims unemployment in Gaza has increased to 45%.  (I.e., the situation is  deteriorating because of Israel's blockade.) I had pointed out facts and figures  indicating that there had actually been an economic upswing in Gaza in the last  year -- which puts the lie to what UNRWA said.
 Now the Foreign Ministry has taken a look at something else: It is the  "refugee" population that saw an increase in unemployment.  Among non-refugees,  unemployment dropped by 9%. So then the question has to be asked as to how UNRWA  manages those "refugees," that they are not participating in the overall  economic growth in Gaza.
 Here's another sign that UNRWA has to be dismantled.
 ~~~~~~~~~~
 On the political scene, we continue to spin around without quite going  anywhere. Sometimes matters tilt in one direction and sometimes in  another.
 Back not so long ago, I had speculated that Abbas might be having second  thoughts about going to the UN to have a state declared.  The sign I saw was  that he was stonewalling on the question of the prime minister for that unity  government -- insisting that it be Fayyad, even though Hamas despises him.  This  held up matters.
 Now there has been an announcement that a unity government has been  selected, with names to be revealed shortly.  A step towards a joint Palestinian  Authority.  Abbas has backed down on his insistence that Fayyad be PM, but  reportedly there is no final decision yet on who will be selected.
 And so, as of now, this is my take: Abbas has weighed his options -- has  seen that Obama cannot move Netanyahu to pull back to those '67 lines, as he  hoped might happen -- and so has decided to go with the UN after all.
 ~~~~~~~~~~
 This doesn't mean that a delusional Obama is not still continuing his  efforts to "break the stalemate" and get the two parties back to the table, so  that he won't have to cast a veto in the Security Council with regard to  membership of a Palestinian state in the UN. 
 I have only words of praise for Netanyahu, who has held tight to his  position.  He has spelled out his parameters, again, and again, and again.  They  include: 
 [] Recognition of Israel as the state of the Jewish people
 [] Relinquishment by the PLO of all further claims against Israel if  an agreement is signed
 [] Jerusalem united under Israeli sovereignty
 [] No return of "refugees" to Israel
 [] No return to '67 lines
 [] A long term military presence in the Jordan valley
 [] No negotiating with a PA that includes Hamas (if it has not accepted  Quartet parameters)
 ~~~~~~~~~~
 European Parliament President, Jerzy Buzek, of Poland, was here this week.   I want to look just briefly at a statement he made in the course of a press  conference, because it so typifies international thinking:
 "There is a unique opportunity for Israel and the Palestinians to shape a  future based on dignity, unity and prosperity, which will be achieved only by  negotiations.
 ...Now is the best time, when there is a window of opportunity..."
 A window of opportunity.  I wish I had a shekel for every time someone over  the years has alluded to that window.  It's amazing: it never closes. Whenever  people want to push negotiations, behold! they see it.
 I would have far more respect for Buzek, and others like him, if they would  say, look, it's a lousy time, we know this. But we have to try anyway, have to  bring matters back from the brink.
 But as it is, there is no grappling with reality, no intellectual honesty  whatsoever.  This is how it is.
 ~~~~~~~~~~ 
 I want to reiterate what I said some days ago: There is no way within UN  process or international law for the UN to bring a state into existence.  And  yet the media keep referring to this, public figures insist on alluding to this.  
 The fact is that we don't know exactly what will happen: It depends on  whether the General Assembly will play by the rules.  But what we do know is  that it's not a sure thing.
 ~~~~~~~~~~
 Deputy Foreign Minister Danny Ayalon has been in Latin America, and  Netanyahu is visiting states in Europe -- focusing now more on eastern Europe.   The goal is to achieve what Netanyahu is referring to as a "moral minority."  If  the General Assembly should take some irregular action in voting a Palestinian  state into existence, the point is that it should not be done unanimously.  If  the Western democracies in some substantial number -- the goal, I believe is 30  nations -- stands opposed, the weight of that vote is undercut.
 ~~~~~~~~~~
 There were reports just a couple of days ago indicating that the EU was  opposed to unilateral Palestinian Arab action on a state.  Buzek had been quoted  as saying such a move could be "dangerous."
 However, he qualified this in the press conference I alluded to above.  The  EU is not opposed to a Palestinian bid for statehood in the UN, he said, it's  just that "it is better to negotiate the solution.  It is much better to have a  dialogue and understanding."
 Here's a man hedging his bets.
 ~~~~~~~~~~
 If the PA does go to the UN, or otherwise takes unilateral action in the  establishment of a state, then this will automatically void Oslo.  Israel will  be absolved of her obligation to pursue changes in the status quo that exists  between Israel and the PA via negotiations.
 See Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman's comments on this here: 
  Thus, I see the possibility of a real window of opportunity here.   Not the one Buzek was referring to, I assure you. 
 I wrote last about a mini-conference to be held here in Jerusalem on Monday  night on the subject of Israeli sovereignty over Judea and Samaria as an  alternative to the failed two-state solution.  What I've seen in the time since  I wrote is enormous enthusiasm in several quarters.  
 This might be a beginning -- the very start of establishing a solid  momentum.  Call it working towards a paradigm shift -- getting people to see  that another way is not only possible but desirable.  It will require commitment  and planning and organizing.  The point is that after the UN convenes in  September may be the right time to really get this going.
 I'll have more to say after the conference.
 ~~~~~~~~~~
 Lt. Col. (ret.) Yonaton (Yoni) D. Halevi -- one very savvy researcher --  has done a briefing for the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs -- http://jcpa.org --  on "Power Dynamics Inside Hamas":
 There has been "overt confrontation between Mahmoud al-Zahar, the Minister  of Foreign Affairs in Gaza, and Damascus-based Hamas political bureau leader  Khaled Mashaal [that] reflects underground currents feeding the tension within  the Hamas leadership in Gaza and Syria.
 "Al-Zahar is demanding that Hamas-Gaza be given more weight in  decision-making, while the Hamas leadership abroad contends that the center of  power should remain outside of Palestine.
 "Since the Israeli disengagement from Gaza in 2005, Hamas' decisive victory  in the parliamentary elections of 2006, and Hamas' military takeover of Gaza in  June 2007, the Hamas government has gained significant political and economic  power. It conducts foreign relations and imposes taxes on imports from Israel  and from Egypt which have become remarkable revenue sources. This has weakened  the dependence of Hamas-Gaza on the Hamas leadership abroad. 
 "In addition, the consolidation of the Hamas regime in Gaza, where the main  military forces of the al-Qassam Brigades are stationed, has gradually changed  the balance of power inside Hamas. Al-Zahar challenged Mashaal's authority to  lead the movement, arguing that the center of power should move from abroad to  'inside' Palestine."
 What caught my eye was this, which is has enormous implications:
 "...The current main interest of Mashaal and his colleagues is to promote  reconciliation with Fatah in order to pave the way for Hamas to join the PLO and  take over the organization that is recognized internationally as the sole  representative of the Palestinian people."
 If Hamas should gain control of the organization that is charged with  negotiating on behalf of the "Palestinian people," would people like Buzek still  see a window of opportunity?
 ~~~~~~~~~~
©  Arlene Kushner. This material is produced by Arlene Kushner , functioning as an  independent journalist. Permission is granted for it to be reproduced  only  with  proper attribution.
 
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