Thursday, 3 May 2012





DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 2, 2012, 6:43 PM (GMT+02:00)
Ehud Barak: first to campaign for election.

The government has tabled a bill for dissolving the Knesset. The date is still not confirmed, but would-be candidates for seats at the post-election cabinet table are lining up.  Defense Minister Ehud Barak launched his bid to carry on in defense at a news conference Wednesday, May 2. Other bidders, on the assumption that Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu will head the next government, aim to cut Likud’s current right-wing and religious partners out of his coalition and push Likud into a centrist role.

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An Attack on Iran Before Summer? 
This scenario dictated by estimates that Iran can make a nuke in 43 days. 
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An Autumn Attack on Iran? 
This scenario postulates Israeli preparations for a low-grade Iranian nuclear strike. 
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Tehran Annexing Hormuz Archipelago 
Abu Musa will be the provincial capital of the new Iranian province. 
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Headlines
Iranian naval exercise follows on Israel’s northern border drill 
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report
May 1, 2012, 7:31 PM (GMT+02:00)
Israel's Golani Brigade in war maneuver

The US, Israel and Iran embarked on significant military steps Tuesday, May 1, refuting certain US media reports of a lessening in war tensions over Iran: Shortly after Israel launched a big war exercise on its northern borders with Syria and Lebanon, Iran’s border guards initiated naval drills along its southern coast where nuclear facilities, Revolutionary Guards bases and oilfields are situated.  The United States disclosed that the first phase of its anti-Iran missile defense network for protecting Europe was complete.

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Bombings spread in Syria as Al Qaeda seizes control of rebel factions 
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report
April 30, 2012, 7:09 PM (GMT+02:00)
Tags:  Al Qaeda   Syria   Iraq   US  Osama bin Laden 
Syrian military center in Idlib

A year after the death of its iconic leader Osama bin Laden at the hands of US special forces, Al Qaeda is making an operational comeback, notably in North Africa and Syria. The suicide bombings hitting Damascus and Idlib in the last 24 hours were the work of Al Qaeda in Iraq – AQI, whose operatives have been pouring into Syria in the last two weeks, DEBKAfile reports. Without US intervention, al Qaeda will be able to use Syria for attacking its neighbors too, Turkey, Lebanon, Israel and Jordan.

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Netanyahu’s choices: Strike Iran before or after Israeli elections
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis
April 29, 2012, 10:20 PM (GMT+02:00)
Will Netanyahu face an election before Obama?

Binyamin Netanyahu and Ehud Barak are facing another of the periodic opposition campaigns to unseat them. New faces have joined the opposition lineup, including a fledgling party, “There is a Future.” They are campaigning against an Israeli attack to preempt a nuclear Iran, questioning both leaders’ credentials for leading one and calling for an early election. However, before peaking, the opposition campaign is starting to backfire, DEBKAfile reports. Netanyahu may count on a successful operation against Iran boosting him at the polls.

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