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The search for an Israeli politician who will speak the truth to Israelis2 January 2012
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Israelis, and Jews more generally, are better served by healthy pessimism29 December 2011
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9 May 2011
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GLOBAL WARMING
an hir series
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Antisemitism
& Arab-Israeli Conflict ![]() |
Civil wars in Yugoslavia
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The modern attack
on Blacks
There is a well-funded attack against people of color, billing itself as supposedly mainstream science. It is a continuation of the same eugenics movement that spawned German Nazism, and which never disappeared.Prof. Francisco Gil-White, an expert on 'race' and ethnicity, documents and refutes this attack inResurrecting Racism.
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Premise 1. The way to do better geopolitics is to have a more accurate representation of the intentions and capabilities of other players in the international system.
Premise 2. The Government of the United States, the most important geopolitical player, has the strongest motivation to do better geopolitics.
Therefore: The Government of the United States works very hard to obtain a better understanding of the intentions and capabilities of other players in the international system.
Fact: CIA director George Tenet said in the year 1998 that the budget on that year had been a little under 27 billion. Recently, a US Intelligence official said in a press conference that the yearly budget was now 44 billion. But the truth is that nobody knows for sure, because the budget for US Intelligence is a state secret.
Hypothesis: The Government of the United States has very good information—definitely better than my own—on which to base its geopolitical decisions.
ARGUMENT B.
Premise 1. The Government of the United States, for many years running, has been the most powerful in the world.
Premise 2. Idiots don’t become the most powerful people in the world.
Therefore: The Government of the United States is not run by idiots.
Hypothesis: If the Government of the United States behaves in ways that seem idiotic to me, then a) there is something I don’t yet understand; or b) this government has different values than my own. Or both. (And I have yet to accept this, which is why I think the behavior is idiotic.)
ARGUMENT C.
Premise 1. The true preferences of someone are revealed in his/her expensivebehaviors.
Premise 2. Saying “My intentions are X” is not expensive but cheap.
Therefore: Speech acts (e.g. public and official declarations) don’t necessarily convey information about the true intentions of a government.
Hypothesis: If the Government of the United States consistently, year after year, spends billions of dollars and achieves always similar results, and if these results contradict the government’s publicly declared intentions, the publicly declared intentions must be deliberate deceptions.
These three arguments are the motivation for most of the research you
will find in this website. | |||||||||||
Friday, 9 November 2012
Posted by
Britannia Radio
at
19:47


















