Sunday, 30 June 2013


Steinitz, Amidror, Nasrallah and Morsi

Amir Rapaport's weekly column on the conflict in the Israeli Prime 
Minister's Bureau, on Syria and Hezbollah, and Egypt, to which all eyes 
should be directed this weekend

Amir Rapaport  28/6/2013
http://www.israeldefense.com/?CategoryID=483&ArticleID=2220

Israeli Minister Steinitz Photo: Meir Azulay Israeli Minister Steinitz 
Photo: Meir Azulay
 
There is a core of truth to every one of the reasons 
mentioned this week regarding the circumstances of the retirement of Maj. 
Gen. Ya'akov Amidror from the role of Head of the Israeli National Security 
Bureau. However, the real story has not yet been told in full: a monumental 
fight is transpiring within the Prime Minister's Bureau concerning the 
treatment of very sensitive strategic matters.

Amidror fell in this professional and instinctive battle.

Surprisingly, the media entity that came closest in describing the story so 
far was the Kuwaiti newspaper Al Jarida. According to a report in Kuwait 
from two days ago, Sarah Netanyahu ruled in favor of Yuval Steinitz, Israeli 
Minister of Strategic Affairs and Intelligence, in a conflict with Amidror, 
and thus pushed him out.

The part of the story linked to Sarah Netanyahu is nonsensical (she was not 
involved in this issue), but Amidror and Steinitz did in fact have a very 
harsh confrontation.

It began shortly after the establishment of the new Israeli government, and 
reached its peak in recent weeks. On one side is Steinitz, who demanded that 
the ministry authorities he received (the role of intelligence affairs 
minister, previously held by Dan Meridor) and the role of Minister of 
Strategic Affairs (previously held by Moshe Ya'alon prior to his appointment 
as defense minister) be expanded.

The problem with these two roles is that their authorities are not set in 
law. Thus far, Steinitz did not even succeed in getting into the 
Political-Security Cabinet, even though Netanyahu promised him a prestigious 
spot within three months. This did not prevent the ambitious minister from 
waging a war against the National Security Bureau, whose authorities were 
set in law just three years ago.

The argument is both professional and personal: Steinitz is claiming 
authorities for managing the Israeli effort to unite the world in the 
struggle against Iran, as well as responsibility for the intelligence 
organizations, headed by the Shabak and the Mossad. This additionally 
includes responsibility for the atomic energy committee and the strategic 
dialogue with the US.

According to Steinitz, he is the political echelon, to which Amidror is 
subordinate. Amidror tends to accept the military's stance, in light of his 
military background. Amidror claimed that Steinitz is sabotaging the work of 
the National Security Bureau, which is meant to be an element that views 
Israel's wider strategic picture, and present its recommendations directly 
to the prime minister and the Political-Security Cabinet.

It was merely a (short) matter of time until the professional argument got 
into a personal one. In the past few weeks, Netanyahu was forced to listen 
to both Steinitz and Amidror, both seeking his support for their positions. 
Amidror believed that he was not receiving the support he expected. The 
greater arguments in the recent period touched on the most sensitive issues. 
Elements from the Mossad and the Shabak were dragged into the war being 
waged within the Prime Minister's Bureau.

The bottom line: Ya'akov Amidror did not resign. He had enough. People 
working closely to Amidror heard of his intention to resign from the 
National Security Bureau after concluding two years in the role months ago. 
In the meanwhile, he has held the job for two years and two months. He will 
apparently continue in the role until November.

In any case, the National Security Bureau took a few steps back, as Steinitz 
acquired authorities that his predecessor's lacked. At the same time, 
Steinitz's office received some sort of content. The fate of the National 
Security Bureau now depends on the identity of Amidror's replacement.

An irony of fate: in the past few days, Dan Meridor's name has been 
mentioned as a possible replacement for Amidror. It is not clear if Meridor 
himself is a partner to the idea of appointing him (other names have been 
mentioned as well). However, it could be interesting to see him go up 
against Steinitz in confrontations, should he return to the Prime Minister's 
Bureau as a "civil servant."


Hezbollah and Syria

The assertive statements made this week by senior Israeli defense 
establishment officials and by Prime Minister Netanyahu himself (during a 
visit to a Golani exercise in the north and during Thursday's flight course 
graduation ceremony) are part of Israeli psychological warfare directed 
against Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and Hezbollah's Hassan Nasrallah.

Nasrallah reaped a public opinion fortune from the victory against the 
Syrian rebels in the battle of Qusair. Israel has considerable interest in 
bringing the Lebanese propaganda machine back to its true dimensions and in 
clarifying that it is a pyrrhic victory. This is why IDF Chief of Staff 
Benny Gantz stated that "Nasrallah's robe is on fire." Who is right in the 
information warfare, or rather, who is closest to the truth? This time, it 
is Israel.


Meanwhile in Egypt

All eyes should be directed towards Egypt over the course of this weekend. 
The riots transpiring there as a year is marked for the Muslim Brotherhood's 
rise to power are more than dramatic.

Whatever the results of the protests may be, the disquiet already proves 
that Muhammad Morsi is not succeeding in establishing his rule, and that the 
Muslim Brotherhood is not meeting the expectations the Egyptian population 
had hoped for, primarily with regards to the financial field. 

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