It's hardly surprising that the civil service has lost interest in
helping what they see as a decaying administration. Anyone less pig-
headed than Brown would 'read the runes' and realise that it's no use
going through the motions any more. He should put his record before
the voters and let them judge. After all unless you live in
Kirkcaldy you've never had a chance to vote for him yet!
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TELEGRAPH 27.2.08
Indiscipline, chaos and decay: this is how governments die
He is preparing to address Congress in Washington next week, but at
home, Gordon Brown's government is disintegrating, says Iain Martin.
By Iain Martin
Pity Gordon Brown's speechwriters and closest colleagues this
weekend. A select band have been drawn together to work on the PM's
address to Congress in Washington on Tuesday, and they will be having
a miserable time.
Brown will first have held court, spewing out ideas for the advisers
to jot down. It will by now have fallen to some poor sap to turn the
potage of historical allusions and rhetoric about global solutions
into a first draft. Next, the team will plough through numerous
redrafts. But Brown will only be warming up. There are still four and
a half days left until he speaks.
By Sunday, Team Brown will be suffering from severe sleep
deprivation, taking phone calls and emails from the PM around the
clock. Most likely, the advisers will have an agreed text signed off
only as they board the plane for Washington. And only then will Brown
decide that he does not like the prepared speech. At that point, he
will, I confidently predict, start bashing out a new one on a laptop.
Head down, his hands a blur, as they have been thousands of times
down the years, this is how Brown always works.
But this Washington event is different. Usually, when it is said that
leaders must deliver the "speech of a lifetime" it is a cliché. On
this occasion, there is something in the phrase: it is the speech of
Brown's lifetime.
For an American history obsessive who thrills to the mention of
Robert Kennedy or FDR, and has countless Democrat friends, addressing
Congress is about as good as a life lived in politics gets.
He will agonise over his words even more obsessively than usual
because he imagines, wrongly, that the occasion offers the
possibility of vindication and a fresh start for his premiership. It
matters, certainly, but not for those reasons. Instead, Tuesday's
address is the valedictory pinnacle of his public career: a
figurative full-stop rather than any kind of new chapter.
For Brown's government is disintegrating. Yesterday's pass-the-parcel
of blame over who agreed the extraordinary £693,000 pension to Sir
Fred Goodwin - payable the moment he left the bank last year - shows
it is so.
In securing a deal in October to get Goodwin out the door, Treasury
minister Lord Myners appears not to have worried too much about the
terms of the settlement. Myners is one of the PM's favourite bankers
(it's a long list) and I am sure that £693,000 does not seem like
that large a sum of money to him. He had been told to get Goodwin
gone, and did so. But why did no one else have the sense to overrule
the deal?
For the answer, remember that in October Brown and Darling had
bankers to the left of them, bankers to the right. There was key
adviser Baroness Vadera, the recently ennobled Myners, "Fred the
Shred", Sir James Crosby and more. With so many "masters of the
universe" on hand it is perhaps unsurprising that no mortal was
allowed the space to say: "Hold on, Goodwin's activities broke the
bank and have crippled the taxpayer. Fire him and say, 'see you in
court'."
If there was such chaos only on the banking front, it would be bad
enough. But in every respect, it gets worse for Brown. Wracked by
indiscipline, the Government is increasingly incapable of holding the
line against internal and external critics.
Over Lord Mandelson's attempt to part-privatise the Royal Mail there
is open Labour rebellion. Harriet Harman has led the charge in
Cabinet, having to be blocked by Brown when she suggested delaying
the Bill. Harman might be a politically correct joke, but Labour's
deputy leader has courted discontented MPs and thinks that the
Government has positioned itself in the wrong place on bankers'
bonuses, and now the Royal Mail. In the absence of an obvious
alternative, Harman is preparing to fight for the leadership, post-
defeat. Each week, she becomes more audacious in her opposition to
Brown.
The best indication of how advanced the corrosion is lies further
down the food chain. In normal circumstances, a PPS (Parliamentary
Private Secretary) would resign or be fired for opposing government
policy in public. These MPs are not paid a ministerial salary and
while not members of the government, are expected to act as such.
They provide a link between a minister and parliament, offering an
official channel for backbenchers keen to raise concerns. They are an
early warning system against insurrection and are not supposed to
engage in rebellions.
Yet, as many as 10 of these types have signed the EDM (a type of
parliamentary motion) opposing Lord Mandelson's part-privatisation
plans.
This is the behaviour of a government at war with itself. Among the
many Labour MPs who have signed up are the individual PPSs to Justice
Secretary Jack Straw, Climate Change Secretary Ed Miliband, Defence
Secretary John Hutton, Environment Secretary Hilary Benn and Olympics
minister Tessa Jowell.
Astonishingly, the Government's chief whip, Nick Brown, has had to
rule that no action will be taken. Thus, MPs who are supposed to be
helping the Brown administration conduct its work are allowed to
campaign openly against a central plank of policy. That this
indicates extreme weakness is obvious: the PPS rebellion is too large
for Number 10 to countenance any sanctions against its internal
opponents.
Civil servants, knowing that an election is 15 months away, observe
all these developments and draw perfectly understandable conclusions.
Is it a surprise that the usual ministerial levers are said to be
seizing up and frustration abounds? The mandarins are waiting for a
changing of the guard.
Outside the gates of Downing Street, others who have either waited a
long time for their revenge or calculate there is no mileage left in
being closely associated with Brown are speaking up. Yesterday,
Mervyn King, the much put-upon governor of the Bank of England, said
that politicians had been in thrall to bankers for too long and that
the Government had let institutions take too many risks during the
boom years.
He echoed robust remarks made earlier this week by Lord Turner, the
chairman of the Financial Services Authority, that regulators had
been under heavy pressure from Brown not to be "too heavy and
intrusive" with wayward institutions such as Northern Rock. Turner no
longer fears the wrath of Gord.
The PM is not entirely alone in his bunker. Impressed by his
fortitude, there are still loyal friends and advisers hoping that
something, anything, will turn up. Said one earlier this week, before
the death of Ivan Cameron stilled life at Westminster: "We're still
at 30 points in the polls. Thirty points! After everything that's
happened."
But such support has a desperate feel to it and does not disguise the
decay and a very simple truth: this is how governments which have
been in power for too long die.
Friday, 27 February 2009
Posted by Britannia Radio at 18:42