THURSDAY, MAY 06, 2010
Decision Day
Thursday, 6 May 2010
What the bookies say - implied probability (%) of outright Tory majority (blue) and hung parliament (red)
Mr and Mrs T are about to hit the election day trail - voting, followed by last minute town centre canvassing, followed by "getting the vote out" (whatever it takes), followed by a nail biting night at the local count.
Locally, the bookies reckon our man now has an 80% + chance of winning - better than a fortnight ago, but way short of comfort in a constituency that hasnever been anything other than Tory.
Nationally, the odds say a hung parliament is the most likely outcome (chart). So we suggest everyone watches some more of that Greek coverage before voting.
Our result is due at 2am, so we hope they have a TV at the count - we certainly don't want to miss any Balls moments.
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