Sunday, 20 February 2011

Liam Halligan

Liam Halligan

Liam Halligan's column tackles head on the key issues facing the British and global economy.

LATEST FROM LIAM HALLIGAN

China's influence is on the rise – the West must stop this self-delusion

The Middle East could be heading for a game-changing implosion. US bond yields are surging and Western central banks, despite growing tension within their ranks, remain in ostrich mode.

19 Feb 2011

UK rate rise is common sense – whatever the inflation-deniers say

'The simplest concept cannot be made clear to the most intelligent man if he is firmly persuaded that he knows already, without a shadow of doubt, what is laid before him,” wrote Leo Tolstoy, the great Russian polymath, in 1893.

12 Feb 2011

Does a surge in food and oil prices mean that it's now time to panic?

"Don't panic – this time it's different." That's the line taken by most Western governments in the face of food prices spiralling upwards and oil jumping above $100 a barrel.

05 Feb 2011

Bankers regain power as summit ends with a fudge

Back in 2009, the Western world's top bankers were so reviled in the aftermath of the sub-prime crisis that they didn't dare attend the annual Davos summit.

29 Jan 2011

Our currency has gone West and stagflation will soon be upon us

High inflation and a falling make it tougher for Britain to sell gilts, which we're about to do in near-record quantities.

22 Jan 2011

BP's Russian deal makes good sense and the West should be cheering

First, a disclaimer. I have a "day-job". As the strap at the bottom of this column states every week, I'm chief economist at a company called Prosperity Capital Management.

15 Jan 2011

Why Congdon is on losing side of monetary easing argument

Liam Halligan firmly believes QE is the wrong response to the financial crisis, so when respected economist Tim Congdon called him a "monetary conservative of the backwoods persuasion" for his vews he felt compelled to respond.

02 Jan 2011

The UK inflation genie is out of the bottle

As 2010 draws to a close, it's becoming ever clearer that the UK's economic prognosis is not good.

26 Dec 2010

China and India's latest love-in raises serious issues for the West

'The dragon and the elephant should tango!" So said Wen Jiabao last week during a rare visit to India. The Chinese premier employed some uncharacteristically colourful language to convey an unusual idea – that of Sino-Indian co-operation.

18 Dec 2010

Market alarm as US fails to control biggest debt in history

US Treasuries last week suffered their biggest two-day sell-off since the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008. The borrowing costs of the government of the world’s largest economy have now risen by a quarter over the past four weeks.

11 Dec 2010

The West has no God-given right to be rich – or to host the World Cup

News of which countries will host the 2018 and 2022 World Cup finals was met with shock, incredulity even. There was actually a sense of outrage at the decisions reached last Wednesday by the 22-member Executive Committee of Fifa, football's world governing body.

04 Dec 2010

Haircuts for all as vexed Germany takes a firm grip on the clippers

The prospect of "haircuts" for all those who leant money to Irish banks has sent banking stocks spiralling downward across the eurozone's periphery.

27 Nov 2010

The rest of the world goes West when America prints more money

Last Wednesday was a hinge point in history. The United States decided to drop all pretence of being interested in leading – or even being part of – a coordinated global policy response to the most serious economic crisis in more than 70 years.

06 Nov 2010

Mervyn King makes a stand for reform as banks seem intent on forgetting

Mervyn King, lest we forget, is Governor of the Bank of England. The "Old Lady of Threadneedle Street", as the Bank is known, is about to take back from the Financial Services Authority responsibility for ensuring the stability of UK banks.

30 Oct 2010

Coalition claims of 'pulling Britain back from the brink' are nonsense

The Government's proposed fiscal retrenchment still looks inadequate, given the scale of the UK's problem.

23 Oct 2010

China's not the villain if the West tries to debase its debt through QE

Tempers are rising, as are protectionist sentiments, as some of the world's leading economies deliberately debase their currencies to make their exports more competitive.

16 Oct 2010

The gloves are off, QE is now seen as an aggressive depreciation tool

We live in a strange world. On Friday, data were released showing that during September alone the US economy lost a worrying 95,000 jobs. In response, Wall Street rallied.

09 Oct 2010

Why we need to follow the Irish and restructure our 'zombie' banks

In Dublin, early last Wednesday morning, a protester rammed a cement truck – with the words "TOXIC BANK" emblazoned on the side – into the ornate iron gates of the Irish Parliament.

02 Oct 2010

Policy makers must do more than print money and hope for the best

Quantitative easing might seem the easiest option but it is storing up major problems for the future.

25 Sep 2010

The real lesson we can learn from Japan's dramatic currency sell-off

Europe's sovereign debt crisis and fears of a US double-dip recession have driven recent demand for the yen as a "safe haven" currency. Japan's economy remains lack-lustre, but investors have been determined to diversify away from the euro and the dollar.

18 Sep 2010

China and Russia drive mineral-rich Mongolia to join the mining elite

Little known to the West, superpowers are investing in Central-Asia as they rush for raw materials.

11 Sep 2010

Western countries need trade liberalisation more than the East

After an awful August, global markets ended the month with a muted cheer. Investors greeted upbeat surveys of manufacturing output in both America and China – the world's two biggest economies – as a sign recovery is happening and we can avoid a "double dip".

04 Sep 2010

How sugar-rush economics has left the West with a headache

In 1944, the summit at Bretton Woods created a monetary system that helped the war-torn West rebuild. In 2010 the Jackson Hole summit showed how little there is in the way of new thinking among A-list policy makers.

28 Aug 2010

Inflation comes through the door and wisdom flies out of the window

There's no mystery about our inflationary problems - but to solve them we need to face up to some harsh realities.

21 Aug 2010